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題名：勞動市場條件對結婚率下降之影響
書刊名：人口學刊
作者：郭祐誠 引用關係／林佳慧
作者(外文)：Kuo, Yu-chen／Lin, Jia-huey
出版日期：2012
卷期：44
頁次：頁87-124
主題關鍵詞：婚姻；女性勞動需求；產業結構變遷；人口政策；Marriage；Female labor demand；Industrial structure change；Population policy
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:6
  • 共同引用共同引用:138
  • 點閱點閱:259
臺灣地區近年來未婚及晚婚趨勢十分明顯，本文利用1982-2008年人力運用調查資料，分別透過集體層次以及個別層次資料，分析社會經濟層面中，勞動市場之經濟條件改變與女性結婚傾向之間的關連，以及哪些經濟因素與結婚率的下降最為相關。本研究主要實證結果發現，一地區的男性及女性的平均就業情形，與當地女性的結婚態度存有明顯關聯性。若一地區婚姻市場有利於男性就業，則當地女性結婚的可能性會提高，此一結果某一程度而言，支持Wilson（1987）所主張當婚姻市場上適合結婚的男人多時，有助於婚姻形成的假說。另一方面，本文實證結果也發現在女性在有較多工作機會的地區，女性傾向延長其搜尋潛在伴侶的時間，不婚的可能性也會提高，此一結果間接支持女性經濟獨立的論點。而本文關於男女就業率對於結婚率的發現，即使在考慮計量模型可能存有的內生性問題下，在透過工具變數法估計後，實證結果依舊沒有改變。
A growing number of individuals have postponed their first marriage and are currently single in Taiwan. This paper employs the Manpower Utilization Survey (MUS) during the period of 1982-2008 to investigate the connection between local marriage propensity and local labor market conditions. Our empirical results indicate that young women are more likely to get married in an area with a higher male employment rate and a lower female employment rate. Women tend to stay single longer when the labor market for women improves or the labor market for men worsens. These findings remain even after we adopt the instrument variable estimation to consider the potential endogeneity problem of local male or female employment rates in the settings.
期刊論文
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3.Moffitt, Robert A.(1992)。Incentive Effects of the U.S. Welfare System: A Review。Journal of Economic Literature，30(1)，1-61。  new window
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5.林明仁、劉仲偉(20061200)。失業真的會導致犯罪嗎？--以臺灣1978年至2003年縣市資料為例。經濟論文叢刊，34(4)，445-483。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.徐美、陳明郎、方俊德(20061200)。臺灣產業結構變遷和性別歧視對男女薪資溢酬變動趨勢之影響。經濟論文，34(4)，505-539。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.Stock, James H.、Wright, Jonathan H.、Yogo, Motohiro(2002)。A Survey of Weak Instruments and Weak Identification in Generalized Method of Moments。Journal of Business and Economic Statistics，20(4)，518-529。  new window
8.Angrist, Josh(2002)。How Do Sex Ratios Affect Marriage and Labor Markets? Evidence from America's Second Generation。Journal of Economics，117(3)，997-1038。  new window
9.Lin, M. J.(2008)。Does unemployment increase crime? Evidence from U.S. data 1974-2000。Journal of Human Resources，43(2)，413-436。  new window
10.Cragg, John G.、Donald, Stephen G.(1993)。Testing Identifiability and Specification in Instrumental Variable Models。Econometric Theory，9(2)，222-240。  new window
11.Lichter, Daniel T.、LeClere, Felicia B.、McLaughlin, Diane K.(1991)。Local marriage markets and the marital behavior of black and white women。American Journal of Sociology，96(4)，843-867。  new window
12.陳婉琪、吳慧靖(20110600)。女性就業與離婚風險。人口學刊，42，81-114。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.陳肇男、駱明慶、吳惠林(20030100)。應該用政策鼓勵生育嗎？。經濟前瞻，85，10-20。  延伸查詢new window
14.Oppenheimer, Valerie K.(1997)。Women's Employment and the Gains to Marriage: The Specialization and Trading Model。Annual Review of Sociology，23，431-453。  new window
15.Becker, Gary Stanley(1973)。A Theory of Marriage: Part I。Journal of Political Economy，81(4)，813-846。  new window
16.Katz, Lawrence F.、Murphy, Kevin M.(1992)。Changes in relative wages, 1963-1987: Supply and demand factors。Quarterly Journal of Economics，107(1)，35-78。  new window
17.楊靜利、李大正、陳寬政(20061200)。臺灣傳統婚配空間的變化與婚姻行為之變遷。人口學刊，33，1-32。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.涂肇慶、李美玲(19940700)。Changes in Marital Life Cycle in Taiwan--1976 and 1989。人口學刊，16，17-28。new window  new window
19.蔡淑鈴(19940600)。臺灣之婚姻配對模式。人文及社會科學集刊，6(2)，335-371。new window  延伸查詢new window
20.Brien, M. J.(1997)。Racial Differences in Marriage and the Role of Marriage Markets。The Journal of Human Resources，32(4)，741-778。  new window
21.Blau, F. D.、Kahn, L. M.、Waldfogel, J.(2000)。Understanding Young Women’s Marriage Decisions: The Role of Labor and Marriage Market Conditions。Industrial and Labor Relations Review，53(4)，624-647。  new window
22.Blackburn, M.、S. Korenman.(1994)。The Declining Marital-Status Earnings Differential。Journal of Population Economics，7(3)，247-270。  new window
23.Freiden, A.(1974)。The United States Marriage Market。Journal of Political Economy，82(2)，S34-S53。  new window
24.Gray, J. S.(1997)。The Fall in Men’s Return to Marriage: Declining Productivity Effects or Changing Selection?。Journal of Human Resources，32(3)，481-504。  new window
25.Sassler, S.、Schoen, R.(1999)。The Effect of Attitudes and Economic Activity on Marriage。Journal of Marriage and the Family，61(1)，147-159。  new window
26.Chiappori, P. A.、Iyigun, M.、Weiss, Y.(2009)。Investment in Schooling and the Marriage Market。American Economic Review，99(5)，1689-1713。  new window
27.Grossbard-Shechtman, S. A.(1984)。A Theory of Allocation of Time in Markets for Labor and Marriage。The Economic Journal，94，863-882。  new window
28.Grossbard-Shechtman, S. A.、Neuman, S.(1988)。Women’s Labor Supply and Marital Choice。Journal of Political Economy，96(6)，1294-1302。  new window
29.Newey, W. K.(1987)。Efficient Estimation of Limited Dependent Variable Models with Endogenous Explanatory Variables。Journal of Econometrics，36(3)，231-250。  new window
30.Ono, H.(2003)。Women's Economic Standing, Marriage Timing, and Cross-National Contexts of Gender。Journal of Marriage and Family，65(2)，275-286。  new window
31.White, L.、Rogers, S. J.(2000)。Economic Circumstances and Family Outcomes: A Review of the 1990s。Journal of Marriage and Family，62(4)，1035-1051。  new window
32.Willis, R. J.(1999)。A Theory of Out-of-Wedlock Childbearing。Journal Political Economy，107(6)，S33-S64。  new window
33.Wood, R. G.(1995)。Marriage Rates and Marriageable Men: A Test of the Wilson Hypothesis。The Journal of Human Resources，30(1)，163-193。  new window
34.Cotter, D. A.、DeFiore, J.、Hermsen, J. M.、Kowalewski, B. M.、Vanneman, R.(1998)。The Demand for Female Labor。American Journal of Sociology，103(6)，1673-1712。  new window
會議論文
1.楊靜利、李大正(2007)。臺灣婚姻機會成本之變遷。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
2.Cox, A. C.、Hermsen, J. M.(1996)。The Effect of Employment Opportunities on U.S. Women’s Marriage Rates: A Metropolitan Area Analysis。New York。  new window
研究報告
1.Dong, Y.、Lewbel, A.(2012)。Simple Estimator for Binary Choice Models with Endogenous Regressors。  new window
學位論文
1.李大正(2002)。臺灣地區婦女勞動參與歷程的變遷。南華大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Wilson, W. J.(1987)。The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, the Underclass and Public Policy。Chicago：The University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.Becker, Gary S.(1991)。A Treatise on the Family。Harvard University Press。  new window
3.Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.(2002)。Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data。Cambridge, Massachusetts：MIT Press。  new window
4.Kuo, Y. C.(2005)。Marriage, Fertility, and Labor Market Prospects in the United States, 1960-2000。  new window
5.Moffitt, R.(2000)。Female Wages, Male Wages, and the Economic Model of Marriage: the Basic Evidence。The Ties that Bind: Perspectives on Marriage and Cohabitation。New York。  new window
其他
1.(2009)。高學歷熟女不婚　亞洲男慧眼不識英雌？。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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