A healthy and efficient stock exchange should possess the characteristics of a perfect competitivemarket, wherein price fluctuation patterns behave as a random sequence. To hypothesize that security price fluctuations follow the random walk pattern is to test the randomness character of the price fluctua-tion patterns. The hypothesis of random walk is based on two conditions: (l)the changes in security prices should be an independent sequence, and (2) they are identically distributed.
Most well established stock exchanges in the world have experts to analyze price fluctuation patterns. Their purpose is to investigate the randomness trend of stock price fluctuations. A large portion of the papers published thus for investigate the validity of random walk hypothesis based on the theory ofprobability. A majority of the papers which treatschanges in security prices as an independent, sequence are relatively complete. As to the question whether price changes are Identically distributed, no con- clusion has been reached because of the lack ofstationary properties in stock price fluctuation dis- tribution. However, most of the literature which support the stable paretian distribution assumption are to a certain extent complete.
Whether the change in security prices are identically distributed is directly affected by the statlonarity of the sequence of price changes. If there is no stationarity in price changes, no commondistribution can be found because of the non- existence of such distributions. Though the problem of stationarity was first brought up a number of years ago, detailed literature did not appear until 1978. For consistency and completeness, this paper will test the stationarity of the distribution of price changes before trying to find the common distribution while investigating and analyzing the two conditions of random walk hypothesis, that is the changes in security prices form an independentsequence and are identically distributed.
The results of an extensive research support the independence hypothesis with respect to the overall price fluctuations of the stock market with the exception of a few securities which appear to have steady price increasing or decreasing trends because of fluctuation in operations and/or changes in financial structure.
The results of this study show conclusive evi-dences that price changes are stationary in Taiwan stock market. We found obvious converging trend in testing the stationarity using the cumulative samplestandard deviation. However, we do not know whether it will converge to a constant because of the limi- tation ofsamnie time intervals.
Since the results support the stationarity, a common distribution should exist. In fact, the evidences show that the distribution of securityprice changes in Taiwan stock market is the stableparetian distribution.
The results of this paper support the two conditions of random walk hypothesis. Therefore, Taiwan stock market should approximately be a perfect competitive market.