一個決策過程的系統式思考型構__臺灣人文及社會科學引文索引資料庫

:::

詳目顯示

第 1 筆 / 總合 1 筆

/1頁

論文基本資料
摘要
外文摘要
參考文獻

題名：	一個決策過程的系統式思考型構
作者：	許芳銘
作者(外文)：	Fang-Ming Hsu
校院名稱：	國立交通大學
系所名稱：	經營管理研究所
指導教授：	唐明月楊千陳英亮
學位類別：	博士
出版日期：	1999
主題關鍵詞：	決策過程；思考型構；系統式思考；評估系統；系統設計；decision process；framework for thinking；systematic thinking；evaluation system；system design
原始連結：	連回原系統網址
相關次數：	被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0) 排除自我引用:1 共同引用:0 點閱:1

　　為了應付人類決策思考內涵的複雜，過去之學者建立許多外顯的決策架構以引導決策者簡化問題的思考。不同的架構代表著不同的思考假設與方式，然而，若以認知改善做為討論問題思考過程的重點，則可以發現各種問題思考方式彼此之間是呈現一種相輔相成的情況。因此，值得提出一個有關決策思考架構的綜合性概念，以解釋決策問題現有各類思考的方式及內涵。
　　本研究以一般決策過程的階段性思考結果為基礎，整理並解析不同的決策思考型構及認知性質，並以其與相關的決策分析方法或工具相互對應。首先以一個人類知覺的三個構面為起點，構建出一個決策過程的基本思考型構。再以舉例的方式，討論直覺式、最佳模式及模擬模式的決策思考概念與方法，以及它們在此基本思考型構上的意義，然後提出在不可試誤的決策過程中，所產生的階段性思考結果，並據此建構出系統式思考型構。
　　在系統式思考型構中，本研究假設決策者參與決策過程的評估活動是不可替代的一環。因此若能將決策者對問題的看法做適當地表達，對決策過程的進行將有很大的影響。本研究將此一評估概念的表達過程，看成是一個系統形成的過程，並且引用"系統設計"的概念來協助此一表達過程的進行。在一般問題解決的文獻中，此"系統設計"概念常僅隱含在不同的思考方式中，而在方法的討論上被有意或無意的忽略，因此本研究特別在思考型構中加以提示及強調，並做較完整的討論。

以文找文

To face the complex content of decision-making, scholars have built many explicit frameworks for supporting the simplification process of problem thinking. Different assumption and methods lead to different framework. However, these frameworks are complementary from the cognitive perspective. Therefore, a synthesized framework is deserved for integrating these existing problem thinking and decision framework s.
This research used the stage result of thinking in decision processes to integrate and analyze the frameworks and cognitive attributes of related decision-making methods and tools. First, the three-dimension framework of human perception was used for proposing a fundamental framework for thinking in decision process. Then, the thinking concepts and methods of intuition, optimization, and simulation models were discussed by examples. Their corresponding meanings in the proposed framework were also introduced. Third, from the stage result of cognitive thinking that could not use trial-and-error experiment, this research built the framework for systematic thinking in decision process.
In the framework for systematic thinking, the evaluation activities of decision-maker are essential in decision process. Therefore, the appropriate representation of decision problem from the decision-maker''s viewpoint acts an important role in the progress of decision-making. This research recognized this representation activities as a system formulation process and used system design concept to support the implementation of this process. The system design concept was emphasized and discussed carefully to highlight the implicit contents of previous researches.

以文找文

1. 唐明月，管理科學的本質，松崗書局，民國八十三年。
2. 唐明月，系統分析：理論與實務，中興管理顧問公司，民國七十三年。
3. 唐明月、吳壽山，系統績效評估方法的研究，國家科學委員會，民國八十一年。
4. 唐明月、謝清佳，"論一個解決問題程序有效性的評估"，交大管理學報，民國七十二年，pp.41-47。
5. 唐明月、陳海鳴，"決策活動本質的討論"，交大管理學報，民國七十四年。
6. 謝長宏，系統與管理，交大經營管理研究所上課講義，民國八十七年。
7. 陳文哲、葉宏謨，工作研究，中興管理顧問公司，民國七十八年。
8. 謝清佳，資訊概念架構的芻議及其應用，交大管研所博士論文，民國七十八年。
9. 謝清佳，資訊管理：理論與實務，智勝文化，民國八十六年。
10. 陳海鳴，一個決策過程概念及架構的討論--從認知的觀點，交大管研所博士論文，民國七十九年。
11. 顏澤賢，現代系統理論，遠流出版公司，民國八十二年。
12. 張新華，資訊學導論，台灣商務印書館，民國八十年。
13. 漢寶德譯，Rae, P. H., Soulis, G. N., and Handa, V. K.，合理的設計原則，民國六十一年。
14. 劉思量，藝術與創造，藝術家出版社，民國七十八年。
15. 傅電，企業研究與設計導論，大學圖書供應社，民國七十三年。
16. 余秋雨，藝術創造工程，允晨文化公司，民國七十九年。
17. 張建成，基本設計概論，六合，民國八十四年。
18. 徐來，藝術哲學，幼獅，民國六十三年。
19. 賴士葆，生產作業管理，華泰書局，民國八十四年。
20. 郭倉義，生產與服務作業管理，新陸書局，民國八十六年。
21. 鄧啟福，產八十二年度能源科技研究發展計畫成果評估報告，交通大學科技管理研究所，民國八十三年。
22. 何雍慶，工研院歷年來研究專案對產業影響之追蹤與分析，國科會，民國七十六年。
23. 杜文謙，產業科技研發專案成效評估，行政院經建會，民國八十二年。
24. 顏新華譯，Kepner C. H. and Tregoe, B. B.合著，問題分析與決策--KT式理性思考方法，中國生產力中心，民國七十五年。
25. Ackoff, R. L., Scientific Method: Optimizing Applied Research Decisions, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1962.
26. Ackoff, R. L., "Management Misinformation Systems," Management Science, vol. 14, no. 4, 1967, pp.147-156.
27. Ackoff, R. L. and Sasieni, M. W., Fundamentals of Operations Research, Wiley, New York, 1968.
28. Ackoff, R. L., "The Future of Operational Research is Past," Journal of Operation Research Society, vol. 30, no. 2, 1979, pp.93-104.
29. Agre, G. P., "The Concept of Problem," Educational Studies, vol. 13, 1982, pp.121-142.
30. Alexander, E. R., "The Design of Alternatives in Organizational Contexts, A Pilot Study," Administrative Science Quarterly, vol. 24, 1979, pp.382-404.
31. Andriole, S. J., The Handbook of Problem Solving, Petrocelli Books, 1983.
32. Argyris, C., Organizational Learning: A Theory of Action Perspective, Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, 1978.
33. Bailey, K. D., "Relationships among Conceptual, Abstracted, and Concrete Systems," Behavioral Science, vol. 28, 1983, pp.219-232.
34. Bailey, K. D., Social Entropy Theory, State University of New York Press, 1990.
35. Beregi, W. E., "Architecture Prototyping in the Software Engineering Environment," IBM Systems Journal, vol. 23, no. 1, 1984, pp.4-18.
36. Bertalanffy, L., General System Theory, George Braziller, 1968.
37. Boulding, E. E., "General Systems Theory: The Skeleton of Science," Management Science, vol. 2, no.3, Apr. 1956, pp.197-208.
38. Brody, R., Problem Solving, Human Sciences Press, 1982.
39. Brown, M. G. and Svenson, R. A., "Measuring R & D Productivity," Research-Technology Management, vol. 31, no. 4, July/August 1988, pp.11-15.
40. Cohen, W. M. and Levinthal D. A., "Absorptive Capacity：A New Perspective on Learning and Innovation," Administrative Science Quarterly, vol. 35, no. 1, Mar. 1990.
41. Courtney, J. F. and Pracdice, D. B., "Studies in Managerial Problem Formulation Systems," Decision Support Systems, vol. 9, 1996, pp.413-423.
42. Cowan, D.A., "Developing a Classification Structure of Organizational Problems: An Empirical Investigation," Academy of Management Journal, vol. 33, no. 2, 1990, pp.366-390.
43. Dasu, S. and Eastman, C., Management of Design: Engineering and Management Perspectives, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1994.
44. Derr, R. L., "The Concept of Information in Ordinary Discourse," Information Processing & Management, vol. 21, no. 6, 1985, pp.489-499.
45. Dery D., Problem Definition in Policy Analysis, University Press of Kansas, 1984.
46. Deway, J., How We Think, D.C. Health, 1910.
47. Drew, D. R. and Hsieh, C.H., A System View of Management, Cheng-Yang, 1984.
48. Eden, C. and Sims, D., "On the Nature of Problems in Consulting Practice," Omega ,vol. 7, 1979, pp.119-127.
49. Gerber, R., Hong, S. and Saksena, M., "Guaranteeing Real-Time Requirements with Resource-Based Calibration of Periodic Processes," IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, vol. 21, no. 7, Jul. 1995, pp. 579-592.
50. Gibson, M. L. and Hughes, C. T., Systems Analysis and Design, Boyd & Fraser publishing company, 1994.
51. Good, H. H., "Greenhouse of Science for Management," Management Science, Jul. 1958, pp. 3.
52. Gorb, P., "Managing Design in an Uncertain World," European Management Journal, vol. 13, no. 1, Mar. 1995, pp. 120-127.
53. Gore, C., Murray, K. and Richardson, B., Strategic Decision-Making, Cassell, 1992.
54. Gorry, G. A. and Scott Morton, M. S., "A Framework for MIS," Sloan Management Review, Fall 1971, pp. 55-70.
55. Heinich, R., Molenda, M., and Russell, J. D., Instructional Media and The New Technologies of Instruction, Macmillan Publishing Company, 1989.
56. Herden, R. P. and Lyles, M. A., "Individual Attributes and the Problem Conceptualization Process," Human Systems Management, vol. 2, 1981, pp.275-284.
57. Hillier, F. S. and Lieberman, G. J., Introduction to Operations Research, Mc-Graw-Hill, 1995.
58. Huber, G. P., "Organizational Learning: The Contributing Processes and The Literatures," Organization Science, 2, 1, February, 1991, pp.88-115.
59. Jones, D. R., and Schkade, D. A., "Choosing and Translating between Problem Representations," Organizational Behavior & Human Decision Process, vol. 61, no. 2, Feb. 1995, pp. 214-223.
60. Kast, F. and Rosenzweig, J., Organization and Management: A System and Contingency Approach, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1979.
61. Kendall, K. E., and Kendall, J. E., System Analysis and Design, Prentice-Hal, 1992.
62. Khazanchi, D. and Yadav, S. B., "A New Approach to Problem Definition: Using Information Objects," Information Systems Management, vol. 12, no. 2, Spring 1995, pp.21-26.
63. Kickert, W. J. M., Organization of Decision-Making: A Systems Theoretical Approach, North-Holland Publishing Company, 1980.
64. Kilmann, R. H. and Mitroff, I. I., "Problem Defining and the Consulting /Intervention Process," California Management Review, vol. 21, 1979, pp.26-33.
65. Kim, D. H., "The Link between Individual and Organizational Learning," Sloan Management Review, Fall, 1993, pp.37-50.
66. Klein G. a. and Weitzenfeld, J., "Improvement of Skills for Solving Ill-Defined Problems," California Management Review, vol. 21, 1978, pp.26-33.
67. Laudon, K.C. and Laudon, J.P., Management Information Systems:New Approaches to Organization & Technology, Prentice-Hall, 1998.
68. Law, A.M. and Kelton, W.D., Simulation Modeling and Analysis, McGraw-Hill, New York,1991.
69. Lawson, B., How Designers Think: The Design Process Demystified, Butterworth Architecture, 1990.
70. Lindblom, C. E. and Cohen, D. K., Usable Knowledge, Yale University Press, 1979.
71. Loy, S. L., "The Interaction Effects Between General Thinking Skills and an Interactive Graphics-Based DSS to Support Problem Structuring," Decision Science, vol. 22, 1991, pp.846-868.
72. Lyles, M. A. and Thomas, H., "Strategic Problem Formulation: Biases and Assumptions Embedded in Alternative Decision-Making Models," Journal of Management Studies, vol. 25, no. 2, 1988, pp.131-145.
73. Lyles, R. I. "Formulating Strategic Problem: Empirical Analysis and Model Development," Strategic Management Journal, vol. 2, 1981, pp.61-75.
74. Lyles, R. I., Practical Management Problem Solving and Decision Making, Van Nostrand Reinhold Company, 1982.
75. Lyles, R. I. and Mitroff, I. I., "Organizational Problem Formulation: An Empirical Study," Administrative Science Quarterly, vol. 25, 1980, pp.102-119.
76. MacCrimmon, K. R. and Taylor, R. N., "Decision Making and Problem Solving," in Handbook of Industrial and Organizational Psychology, M. D. Dunnette(ed.), Rand McNally College Publishing Co., 1976.
77. MacRae, D. and Wilde, J. A., Policy Analysis for Public Decision, Duxbury Press, 1976.
78. Maier, N. R. F., Problem Solving Discussions and Conferences, University Associates, 1963.
79. Malcolm, D.C., Design: Elements and Principles, Davis Pub., Mass., 1972.
80. Massey, A. P. and Wallace, W. A., "Understanding and Facilitating Group Problem Structuring and Formulation: Mental Representations, Interaction, and Representation Aids," Decision Support Systems, vol. 17, 1996, pp.253-274.
81. McKenney, J. L. and Keen, P.G., "How Managers'' Minds Work," Harvard Business Review, May-Jun. 1974.
82. Miller, J. G., Living Systems, McGraw-Hill, New York, 1978.
83. Mintzberg, H., Raisinghani, P. and Theoret, A., "The Structure of ''Unstructured'' Decision Processes," Administrative Science Quarterly, 21, 1976, pp.246-275.
84. Montgomery, H. and Svenson, O., Process and Structure in Human Decision Making, John Wiley & Sons, 1989.
85. Mortazavian, H. "On System Theory and Its Relevance to Problems in Information Science," in Machlup, F. & Mansfield, U. (ed.) The Study of Information: Interdisciplinary Message, John Wiley & Sons, 1983.
86. Nadler, G., Work Design: A Systems Concept, IRWIN, 1970.
87. Nadler, G. and Hibino, S., Breakthrough Thinking, Prima Publishing, 1990.
88. Newell, A. and Simon, H. A., Human Problem Solving, Prentice-Hall, 1972.
89. Nezu A. and D''Zurilla, T. j., "Effects of Problem Definition and Formulation on the Generation of Alternatives in the Social Problem-Solving Process," Cognitive Theory and Research, vol. 5, 1981, pp.265-271.
90. Nickles, T., "What Is a Problem That We May Solve It?" Synthese, vol. 47, 1981, pp.85-118.
91. Nonaka, I., "A Dynamic Theory of Organizational Knowledge Creation," Organization Science, 5, 1, February, 1994, pp.14-37.
92. Nutt, P. C., "Types of Organizational Decision Processes," Administrative Science Quarterly, vol. 29, Sep. 1984, pp.414-450.
93. Pfeffer, J. and Salancik, G. R., The External Control of Organization. New York: Harper & Row, 1978.
94. Pidd, M., "From Problem-Structuring to Implementation," Journal of Operation Research Society, vol.39, no.2, 1988, pp.115-121.
95. Pidd, M. and Woolley, R. N., "A Pilot Study of Problem-Structuring," Journal of Operation Research Society, vol.31, 1980, pp.1063-1068.
96. Pounds, W. F., "The Process of Problem Finding," Industrial Management Review, 1969, pp.1-19.
97. Read, H., The Meaning of Art, London:Faber, 1954.
98. Rein, M. and Schon, D. A., "Problem Setting in Policy Research," in C. H. Weiss(Ed.), Using Social Research in Public Policy Making, D. C. Health & Co., 1977, pp.235-251.
99. Rittel, H. W. J. and Webber, M. M., "Dilemmas in a General Theory of Planning," Policy Science, vol. 4, 1973, pp.155-169.
100. Rivett, B. H. P., The Art of Model Building, Wiley, Chichester, 1972.
101. Robbins, S. P., Organizational Behavior,Prentice-Hall, 1992.
102. Robbins, S. P., Management, Prentice-Hall, 1994.
103. Rosenhead, J., "What''s the Problem? An Introduction to Problem Structuring Methods," Interfaces, vol. 26, no.6, 1996, pp.117-131.
104. Rosenthal, S. R., Effective Product Design and Development, Business One Irwin, 1992.
105. Rowe, P. G., Design Thinking, The MIS Press, 1987.
106. Schoennauer, A. W. W., Problem Finding and Problem Solving, Nelson-hall, 1981.
107. Schultz, R.L., Slevin, D.P., and Pinto, J.K., "Strategy and Tactics in a Process Model of Project Implementation," Interfaces, Vol. 17, No. 3, May/Jun. 1987, pp.34-46.
108. Schwenk, C. R., "Cognitive Simplification Processes in Strategic Decision-Making," Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 5, 1984, pp.111-128.
109. Scott, R. W., Organization: Rational, Natural, Open system, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, 1987.
110. Shrivastavaa, P. and Mitroff, I. I., "Enhancing Organizational Research Utilization: The Role of Decision Makers'' Assumptions," Academy of Management Review, vol. 9, no. 1, 1984, pp. 18-26.
111. Simon, H. A., Administrative Behavior: A Study of Decision-Making Processes in Administrative Organization, New York:The Macmillan Company, 1959.
112. Simon, H. A., The New Science of Management Decision, Harper & Row, 1960.
113. Simon, H. A., The Science of Artificial, The MIT Press, Massachusetts, 1969.
114. Simon, H. A., "The Structure of Ill-structured Problem," Artificial Intelligence ,vol. 4, 1973, pp.181-201.
115. Sinha, A. P. and Vessey, I., "Cognitive Fit: An Empirical Study of Recursion and Iteration," IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, vol. 18, no. 5, May 1995, pp. 368-379.
116. Slevin, D.P., and Pinto, J.K. "Balancing Strategy and Tactics in Project Implementation," Sloan Management Review, Vol. 29, No. 1, Fall 1987, pp.33-41.
117. Smith, G. F., "Toward a Heuristic Theory of Problem Structuring," Management Science, vol. 34, no. 12, Dec. 1988, pp.1489-1506.
118. Smith, G. F., "Defining Managerial Problems: A Framework for Prescriptive Theorizing," Management Science, vol. 35, no. 8, Aug. 1989, pp.963-981.
119. Smith, G. F., "Toward a Theory of Managerial Problem Solving," Decision Support Systems, vol. 8, 1992, pp.29-40.
120. Sonnenwald, D. H., "Contested Collaboration: A Descriptive Model of Intergroup Communication in Information System Design," Information Processing & Management, vol. 31, no. 6, Nov. 1995, pp. 859-877.
121. Sowa, J. F., Conceptual Structures: Information Processing in Mind and Machine, Addison-Wesley, 1984.
122. Srinivasan, Ananth, and Dov Te eni, "Modeling as Constrained Problem Solving: An Empirical Study of the Data Modeling Process," Management Science, vol. 41, no. 3, Mar. 1995, pp. 419-434.
123. Stonier, T., "Toward a New Theory of Information," Journal of Information Science, vol. 17, 1991, pp.257-263.
124. Taylor, R. N., "Nature of Problem Ill-Structuredness: Implications for Problem Formulation and Solution," Decision Science, vol. 5, 1974, pp.632-643.
125. Thompson, J. D., Organization in Action, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1967.
126. Ulrich, W., "The Design of Problem-Solving Systems," Management Science, vol. 23, no. 10, Jun. 1977, pp.1099-1109.
127. Ulrich, W., "Critical Heuristics of Social Systems Design," European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 31, 1987, pp.2766-283.
128. VanGundy, A. B., Techniques of Structured Problem Solving, Van Nostrand Reinhold Company, 1981.
129. Volkema, R. J., "Problem Formulation in Planning and Design," Management Science, vol. 29, no. 6, Jun. 1983, pp.639-652.
130. Watson, C. E., "The Problems of Problem Solving," Business Horizons, Aug. 1976, pp.88-94.
131. Weick, K.E., "Cognitive Processes in Organizations," in Research in Organizational Behavior, vol.1, JAI Press, Inc., 1979, pp.41-47.
132. Weinberg, G. M., An Introduction to General Systems Thinking, John Wiley & Sons, 1975.
133. White, D. J., Decision Methodology: A Formalization of the OR process, Wiley, 1975.
134. Williams, J. J. and Nobar, P. M., "A Computer Based Learning Software for Teaching Fluid Mechanics," Proceeding of the International Conference on Computer in Education, Singapore, 1995, pp.61-68.
135. Winston, W. L., Operations Research: Applications and Algorithms, Duxbury, 1994.
136. Woolley, R. N. and Pidd, M., "Problem Structuring -- A Literature Review," Journal of Operation Research Society, vol. 32, 1981, pp.197-206.
137. Yadav, S. B., "Determining an Organization''s Information Requirements: A State of the Art Survey," Database, Spr. 1983, pp.3-20.
138. Yang, Chyan, Tarng, Ming-Yueh and Hsu, Fang-Ming, "The Management of Science and Technology Projects in Taiwan," International Journal of Technology Management, vol. 14, no. 5, 1997, pp.528-538.
139. Yuchtman, E. and Seashore, S. E. , Organizational Systems: General System Approaches to Complex Organizations, Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1973.
140. Zingenfuss, J. T., Designing Organizational Futures: A Systems Approach to Strategic Planning with Cases for Public and Non-Profit Organizations, Charles C Thomas Publisher, 1989.

推文
推薦
引用網址
引用嵌入語法
轉寄

top

:::

相關期刊
相關論文
相關專書
相關著作
熱門點閱

1.	探討失能老人家庭選擇長期照護福利服務之決策過程--老人自主權之分析研究
2.	與解決問題有關的知識分享互動模式--以認知觀點

無相關博士論文

無相關書籍

無相關著作

無相關點閱

QR Code

臺灣人文及社會科學引文索引資料庫系統

詳目顯示

臺灣人文及社會科學引文索引資料庫