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題名:口語評估詞統計值估計之研究
作者:蕭文峰
作者(外文):Wen-Feng Hsiao
校院名稱:國立中山大學
系所名稱:資訊管理學系研究所
指導教授:林信惠
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2001
主題關鍵詞:口語共識判斷口語資訊口語意見綜合認知直覺運算口語表達verbal informationcognitive operationand consensus judgment of verbal opinionsaggregation of verbal opinionsverbal representation
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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口語形式的資訊在人類日常溝通中佔極重要角色。最近的研究指出人類認知在處理口語形式的資訊與數值形式的資訊並無顯著差異。然而目前尚無適當的模式可用以描述認知之口語資訊處理。因此,本論文探討人類認知與規範性方法(包括數值方法與模糊集合方法)在處理口語資訊上的差異、並分析人類認知之共通決策法則,以藉此對口語運算之描述性模式提出建議。所探討之口語運算包括口語統計值之位置、均值、及變異。
在口語位置研究中,本論文探討口語五等級評估尺度之數值表示法、模糊表示法、及認知表示法之差異。其中,認知表示法是以所提之區間估計方式獲取。研究結果發現認知之口語表達與數值表示法的等距(equal interval),或模糊表示法之對稱、等區間(equal space)的假設不符。
在均值運算方面,本研究首先探討數值方法、模糊方法、及認知方法三者在綜合口語評估詞之差異。研究結果顯示數值運算表現最差,與人類認知運算有顯著差異。模糊集合運算之表現亦普遍不佳;此意謂著以模糊集合運算充當描述性運算仍有一段距離。另外,以所提之認知表示法進行模糊數運算,可得到較接近人類認知之口語綜合(相符比由0.62提昇為0.77)。為瞭解決策者綜合口語資訊所採用之決策法則,本研究並以多維尺度法(Multi-Dimensional Scaling)分析三個實驗的資料。分析結果指出受試者綜合口語資訊時,除了受口語詞的數值均值影響外,尚會考慮口語詞的「極值」與「極性」。
在變異運算方面,本研究以基準比較法獲取受試者的主觀判斷,並以因子實驗探討受試者之口語變異估計受那些因素影響。其結果發現受試者之口語變異估計會受口語詞的「數值變異」、「熵值」、「極性」、「數值變異與極性的交互作用」、「熵值與極性的交互作用」、及「數值變異、熵值、與極性的交互作用」所影響。而且「熵值」比「數值變異」更能描述人類認知之口語變異估計。
本論文之結果可用以輔助現有數量方法處理定性資料。論文最後並說明這些研究發現的可能應用。
關鍵詞:口語資訊、認知直覺運算、口語表達、口語意見綜合、口語共識判斷。
Verbal information plays a pivot role in human daily communication. Recent research has pointed out that the performance of human cognition in processing verbal information has no significant difference from that in processing numerical information. However, no proper model is available to describe human cognition in processing of verbal information. Therefore, this dissertation explores the difference between human cognition and normative models in processing verbal terms, and further analyzes the decision rules employed by decision-makers to illustrate the proper form of a descriptive model. The explored verbal operations include the following statistics: representation, mean, and variance.
In the study of verbal representation, the differences among numerical representation, fuzzy representation, and cognitive representation of Likert verbal evaluations are revealed. This cognitive representation is obtained by the proposed interval estimation method. The proposed method can simultaneously construct the verbal categories in a Likert scale. The result shows that the cognitive representation is inconsistent with the assumption of equal interval in numerical representation, and those of symmetry and equal space in fuzzy representation.
In the study of verbal mean operation, the research first investigated the differences among numerical, fuzzy, and cognitive methods in aggregating verbal terms by conducting three experiments. The results reveal that the numerical operation deviates much from actually decision making. The performances of fuzzy aggregations are also poor. This fact shows that fuzzy aggregations are still not qualified as descriptive operators. However, using cognitive representation to conduct fuzzy number operations can obtain a higher match-rate with the human decision (from 0.62 to 0.77). To understand the decision rules underlying human cognition, the research conduct a Multi-Dimensional Scaling (MDS) analysis. The results show that, other than numerical mean, subjects use two intuitive rules to aggregate opinions, namely, extreme-value and polarity.
In the study of verbal variance operation, the research obtained the subjective judgments by a paired-comparison procedure. Furthermore, a factorial experiment is conducted to investigate the factors that might influence subjects’ verbal consensus judgment. The results show that subjects’ verbal consensus judgment is related to numerical variance, entropy, polarity, the interaction between numerical variance and polarity, the interaction between entropy and polarity, and the interaction among numerical variance, entropy, and polarity. Above all, entropy is a more significant descriptive operator than numerical variance.
The results of the dissertation could complement the current numerical methods in processing qualitative data. Possible applications of the research findings are also discussed.
Keywords: verbal information, cognitive operation, verbal representation, aggregation of verbal opinions, and consensus judgment of verbal opinions.
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