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題名:亞太地區經濟整合的發展:新型大國關係的變數
作者:許峻賓
作者(外文):HSU, CHUN-PIN
校院名稱:東海大學
系所名稱:政治學系
指導教授:宋興洲
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2017
主題關鍵詞:新古典現實主義亞太區域整合新型大國關係亞太體系美中關係neo-classic realismregional integration of Asia-Pacificnew type of great power relationsrelations between US and ChinaAsia-Pacific system
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本論文基於新古典現實主義的理論基礎,延續現實主義學派所探討的結構要素與單元要素間的影響關係,將國家領導者的決策作為影響一國外交政策的中介變數,探討單元要素中對外行為形塑的過程,進而影響結構的改變。在亞太區域經濟整合發展過程中,亞太體系下的各行為者基於自身國家利益之考量,提出其外交政策影響區域經濟合作的發展。本論文以APEC、東協、TPP、RCEP等區域經濟合作機制的發展為例,探討亞太體系各國的參與策略,其中美、中兩國是影響體系發展的最主要因素,在亞太區域經濟整合的發展過程中,美、中的參與受到領導人的認知影響而採取相對應的外交政策,並逐漸在21世紀形塑成新型大國關係,彼此競爭但相互避免衝突發生,並進而影響亞太體系的變化。此即論證了新古典現實主義的論述,體系結構將會受到單元行為者的政策反饋,讓體系產生變化,中、美兩國的相互避險策略,將讓亞太體系轉變為美、中共同治理的體系結構。
Based on the neo-classical realism theory, this paper seeks to further analyze relationship between crucial structural and unitary factors and considers decision making of leaders as an intervening variable in foreign policy. It analyses how unitary factors shape foreign policy behavior, and eventually leads to structural change.
In the process of regional economic integration development, based on own national interests, individual actors of the Asia Pacific system propose foreign policies containing influencing power over the development of regional economic cooperation.
This paper uses various regional economic integration cooperation case studies, such as APEC, ASEAN, TPP, RCEP to analyze participating strategies of Asian Pacific countries in the process. In particular, US and China’s foreign policy approach adjusts accordingly to their leaders’ beliefs and choices, gradually shaping a new 21st century type of great power relations which mainly competes with each other but avoids conflict that leads to systemic change in the Asia Pacific region.
The findings proved the validity of neo-classical realism argument, in which policies implemented by a unitary actor could lead to a systemic change. Risk strategies undertaken by US and China in containing each other, has change the Asia Pacific system into becoming one that is co-governed by US and China.
參考書目

壹、中文部份

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許峻賓,2012.8,〈中國FTA戰略之研析〉,《台灣經濟研究月刊》,第35卷,第8期,頁112-119。
許峻賓、黃暖婷,2012.12,〈TPP與其他亞太區域經濟整合機制之競合—兼論我國參與策略〉,《亞太經濟合作評論》,第20期,頁105-134。
郭俊麟,2008,〈東南亞區域整合經驗—東協模式的實踐與檢討〉,《台灣國際研究季刊》,第4卷,第1期,頁99-126。
陳宏銘,2003,〈現實主義典範的進步或退化:以Vasques採Lakatos科學研究剛領的論戰為焦點〉,《東吳政治學報》,第17期,頁53-90。
陳欣之,2014.1,〈歧異解讀霸權衰落的美中戰略互動—單極體系中權位轉換的認知因素〉,《遠景基金會季刊》,第15卷,第1期,頁89-139。
陳鴻瑜,1981.4,〈太平洋盆地共同體構想之研析〉,《問題與研究》,第20卷,第7期,頁59-73。
越明昊,2013,〈權力與規則並非敵人--美利堅世界秩序的起源、危機與轉型〉,《美國研究》,第1期。
馮維江,2011,〈試論“ 天下體系冶的秩序特徵、存亡原理及制度遺產〉,《世界經濟與政治》,第8期,頁4-29。
黃暖婷、蔡靜怡、許峻賓,2010.12,〈FTAAP與TPP之進展與美國策略分析〉,《亞太經濟合作評論》,第18期,頁43-48。
黃筱薌,1991.12,〈毛澤東意識型態之研究〉,《復興崗學報》,第46期,。
楊永明,1996,〈APEC架構與運作的發展與兩難〉,《理論與政策》,第11卷,第1期,頁44-57。
楊志誠,1992.7,〈中共國家戰略的探討〉,《共黨問題研究》,第18卷,第7期。
葉伯棠,1976,〈論毛匪澤東的革命外交路線〉,《復興崗學報》,第16期。
葉伯棠,1990.4,〈六四事件後中共外交政策的趨勢〉,《東方雜誌》,第23卷,第10期。
葉翔之,1976.10,〈中共十一大與其對外政策〉,《法論》,第6期。
董慧明,2011,〈論中國崛起:中、西方國際關係理論的觀點〉,《國防雜誌》,第26卷,第6期,頁3-21。
詹滿容,2011.5,〈全球化的發展動態:蛻變中的權力移轉與爭議中的體系變革〉,《台灣經濟研究月刊》,第34卷,第5期,頁15-21。
廖舜右,2004.10,〈APEC Reform 之檢視與分析〉,《APEC Newsletter》,第61期,頁6-7。
廖舜右,2005,〈2005 APEC改革發展趨勢〉,《太平洋企業論壇簡訊》,4月號,頁10-11。
廖舜右,2005.11,〈APEC改革新發展:財務與ESC轉型之分析〉,《APEC Newsletter》,第74期,頁8-10。
熊鈺錚,1972.10,〈由周恩來與季辛吉會談看現階段中共外交〉,《東亞季刊》,第3卷,第2期。
趙建民,1984.7,〈中共的獨立自主外交政策:內政關聯下的基本原則與決定因素〉,《共黨問題研究》,第12卷,第7期。
劉若楠,2010.2,〈新古典現實主義的進展與困境—評『新古典現實主義、國家和外交政策』〉,《國際政治科學》,第22期,頁135-146。
劉豐,2006,〈現實主義理論的內部論爭及其發展方向〉,《國際論壇》,第3期。
劉豐,2007,〈新古典現實主義的發展與前景—評『沒有應答的威脅:均勢的政治制約』〉,《國際政治科學》,第3期(總第11期),頁155-168。
潘錫堂,1989,〈中共獨立自主外交政策形成背景與實質內涵的探討〉,《淡江學報》,第27期。
蔡靜怡、許峻賓,2011.5,〈亞太經濟整合後起之秀—TPP〉,《台經月刊》,第34卷,第5期,頁34-39。
鄭先武,2013,〈東亞大國協調:構建基礎與路徑選擇〉,《世界經濟與政治》,第5期,頁88-113。
鄭端耀,2003.3,〈國際關係守勢與攻勢現實主義理論爭辯之評析〉,《問題與研究》,第42卷,第2期,頁1-21。
鄭端耀,2005.1,〈國際關係新古典現實主義理論〉,《問題與研究》,第44卷,第1期,頁115-140。
蕭全政,2001,〈東亞『區域主義』的發展與臺灣的角色〉,《政治科學論叢》,第14期,頁201-222。

三、論文

許峻賓,2011.6,〈兩岸關係與亞太區域經濟整合發展〉,發表於「我國參與亞太區域整合之策略與前景研討會」,遠景基金會與中華台北APEC研究中心合辦。
許峻賓,2014.9.18,〈2014年APEC會議核心議題及我應有之策略〉,「遠景基金會座談會」。

四、文件

中國外交部,2014.11.12,〈中美元首北京會晤主要共識和成果〉,中國外交部。
中國外交部,2014.11.12,〈習近平同美國總統奧巴馬舉行會談〉,中國外交部。
習近平,2014.11.9,〈習近平在亞太經合組織工商領導人峰會開幕式上的演講〉,中國外交部。

五、報紙

旺報,2012.11.9,〈美國對大陸太陽能企業雙反調查大事紀〉,第A18版。
旺報社論,2013.7.26,〈堅持李克強經濟學〉,旺報,第C5版。
劉大年,2011.1.20,〈中國的FTA思維 —從中國區域經濟整合現狀看未來ECFA走向〉,《工商時報》,A5版。
潘尼塔,2013.1.8,〈美國戰略支持—力挺亞太繁榮〉,《經濟日報》,第A6版。

六、網路

BBC,2013.11.12,〈中共十八屆三中全會公報全文〉,BBC中文網。http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/trad/china/2013/11/131112_183rdannualplenum.
上海證券報,2006.11.16,〈中國FTA戰略佈局大洋洲〉,http://finance.people.com.cn/GB/70392/5047616.html。
中國商務部,2011,〈中日韓自由貿易區可行性聯合研究報告〉,中國自由貿易區服務網:http://fta.mofcom.gov.cn/inforimages/201203/20120330164710381.pdf。
中華人民共和國,2011.3.17,〈國民經濟和社會發展十二五規劃綱要〉,《人民網》,http://www.aces.org.tw/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/China125plan1.pdf。
中華台北APEC研究中心,2012.9,〈第20屆APEC領袖宣言:以整合推動成長,以創新促進繁榮〉,《APEC通訊》,第156期,http://www.ctasc.org.tw/02publication/APEC-156-p03-07.pdf。
王力軍、陳麗紅、張敏,2012,〈略論新自由主義的權力觀〉,「濟南大學學報社會科學版」,http://www.cp.org.cn/showSubject.asp?NewsID=1158。
宋偉,2009,〈從國際政治理論到外交政策理論—比較防禦性現實主義與新古典現實主義〉,《外交評論》,2009年第3期,http://www.cngdsz.net/paper/politics/007/10084.html。
津上俊哉,2003,〈日本在東亞的FTA競爭中不要落後〉,「津上工作室」,http://www.tsugami-workshop.jp/article_cn_class2id20030708.html。
張可云,〈圖解兩橫三縱城鎮化戰略格局與未來核心骨架〉,http://zkeyun.blog.163.com/blog/static/1951550472013111511486195/。
張建平,2011.12.6,〈我國FTA的戰略構想〉,http://pecc-china.org/2011-12-06/A309.html。
郭繼豐,2005.9.13,〈中國FTA戰略:合作共贏全球均衡〉,《第一財經日報》http://finance.sina.com.cn。
劉豐、左希迎,2009,〈新古典現實主義:一個獨立的研究綱領〉,《外交評論》,第4期,頁127-137,http://intl.cssn.cn/gj/gj_gwshkx/gj_zz/201310/t20131026_587403.shtml。
鄭必堅,2003.11.24,〈中國和平發展新道路和亞洲未來〉,《新華網》,http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2003-11/24/content_1195240.htm。
鄭安光,2004,〈自由主義國際關係理論的源流〉,《歷史教學問題》,第6期,http://www.aisixiang.com/data/5852.html。
蘇顯揚,2014.7,〈日本安倍經濟學的內涵與影響〉,財團法人台北外匯市場發展基金會委託研究計畫。http://www.tpefx.com.tw/htm/jpap.pdf。

貳、西文部份

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(II)Periodicals

Acharya, Amitav. 2003. “Democratization and the Prospect for Participatory Regionalism in Southeast Asia.” Third World Quarterly, Vol.24, No.2, pp.375-390.
Breslin, Shaun. 2010. “Comparative theory, China, and the future of East Asian regionalism(s).” Review of International Studies, No.36, pp.709–729.
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Brooks, Stephen G., John Ikenberry and William Wohlforth. 2013. “Don’t Come Home, America: The Case against Retrenchment.” International Security, Vol.37, No.3. pp.7-51.
Chen, Wen-hsien. 2000. “Regional Institutions in East Asia after the Financial Crisis: Challenges and Opportunities.” Issues & Studies, Vol.36, No.3, pp.103-129.
Chiang, Johnny. 2000. “Conceptualizing the APEC Way: International Cooperation in a Non-Institutionalized Regime.” Issues & Studies, Vol.36, No.6, pp.177-204.
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Das, Sanchita Basu. 2013.5.10. “Moving ASEAN+1 FTAs towards an Effective RCEP.” ISEAS Perspective, No.29.
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Gaddis, John Lewis. 1997. “History, Theory, and Common Ground.” International Security, Vol.22, No.1, pp.75-85.
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Glaser, Charles L. 1997.10. “The Security Dilemma Revisited.” World Politics. Vol. 50, pp.171-201.
Hamanaka, Shintaro. 2014.12. “Trans-Pacific Partnership versus Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership: Control of Membership and Agenda Setting.” ADB Working Paper Series on Regional Economic Integration, No.146.
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Ikenberry, G. John. 2008.1. “The Rise of China and the Future of the West: Can the Liberal System Survive?” Foreign Affairs. Vol. 87, No.1. pp.23-37.
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Rose, Gideon, 1998.10. “Neoclassical Realism and Theories of Foreign Policy.” World Politics, Vol. 51, No.1, pp.144-172.
Ruggie, John G. 1975. “International Responses to Technology: Concepts and Trends.” International Organization, Vol.29, No.3.
Schroeder, Paul. 1994. “Historical Reality vs. Neo-Realist Theory.” International Security, Vol.19, No.1. pp.120-124.
Shambaugh, David. 2004. “China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order.” International Security, Vol.29, No.3, pp.64-99.
Snyder, Glenn H. 2002. “Mearsheimer’s World- Offensive Realism and the Struggle for Security: A Review Essay.” International Security. Vol.27, No.1.
Sugawara, Junichi. 2013.2. “Japan’s Strategy on the Regional Economic Integration of the Asia-Pacific Region: Its Role as a Bridge between the ‘Asia-Pacific’ and ‘East Asia’.” Mizuho Research Paper, No.32.
Taliaferro, Jeffery W. 2000. “Security Seeking Under Anarchy: Defensive Realism Revisited.” International Security. Vol.25, No.3.
Walt, Stephen M. 1985. “Alliance Formation and the Balance of World Power.” International Security, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp.208-248.
Walt, Stephen M. 1997.12. “The Progressive Power of Realism.” American Political Science Review, No.91. pp.931-935.
Walt, Stephen M. 1998. “International Relations: One World, Many Theories,” Foreign Policy, No. 110. pp.29-46.
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Webb, Michael C. and Stephen D. Krasner. 1989. "Hegemonic Stability Theory: An Empirical Assessment." Review of International Studies No.15, pp.183-198.
Wendt, Alexander. Spring, 1992. “Anarchy is What States Make of it: The Social Construction of Power Politics.” International Organization, Vol. 46, No.2, pp.391-425.
Wolhforth, Williams. 1999. “The Stability of a Unipolar World.” International Security, Vol.21, No.1, pp.5-41.
Young Oran R. 1979. “International Regime: Problems of Concept Formation.” World Politics. Vol.32. pp.331-405.

(III)Conference Papers

Bergsten, Fred. 2010.5.6. “Shoyld APEC focus on Trade Liberalization.” Initial Statement at the Seventh Annual US Asia Pacific Council panel discussion, East-West Center, Washington.
Hagel, Chuck. 2013.6.1. “The US Approach to Regional Security.” Speech at the 12th IISS Asia Security Summit, the Shangri-La Dialogue.
Hsiung, James C. 2004.4.19. “Anarchy, Hierarchy And Actio Popularis: An International Governance Perspective”, Paper For The Panel on ”Hegemony, Hierarchy And International Order”, The International Studies Association(ISA)Annual Meeting, Montreal, Canada.
Saunders, Phillip C. 2013.8. “The Rebalance to Asia: US-China Relations and Regional Security.” Strategy Forum, Institute for National Strategic Studies.
Terada, Takashi. 2006.3.22-26. “Evolution of Regionalism in Asia and Japan's Role: Leadership, Common Interests and Regional Concepts.” Paper for 27th ISA Convention in San Diego, USA.
Zhang, Yun-ling. 2006.11.29-30. “How to Realize EAFTA: Views from Joint Experts Group.” Conference on South Asia-East Asia Economic Cooperation and Pan-Asian Integration in Singapore.

(IV)Documents

APEC Eminent Persons Group. 1993.10. “A vision for APEC Towards an Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation.” Report of Eminent Persons Group to APEC Ministers, APEC Secretariat.
APEC Eminent Persons Group. 1994.8. “Achieving the APEC Vision — Free and Open Trade in the Asia Pacific.” Second Report of Eminent Persons Group, APEC Secretariat.
Clinton, Bill. 1993.7.12. “Fundamentals of Security for a New Pacific Community.” U.S. Department of State Dispatch, Vol.4, No.28. p.511.
Cooper, William H. 2014.1.13. “Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) and the Role of Congress in Trade Policy.” Congreesional Research Service.
Ferfusson, Ian F., William H. Cooper, Remy Jurenas, & Brock R. Williams. 2013.12.13. “The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Negotiations and Issues for Congree.” Congreesional Research Service.
Fergusson, Ian F., Mark A. Mcminimy, & Brock R. Williams. 2015.1.30. “The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Negotiations and Issue for Congree.” Congreesional Research Servic.
Lee, Chang Jae ed. 2007.6.7. “Desirable and Feasible Option for an East Asia FTA.” A Report by Joint Expert Group on EAFTA Phase II Study.
Lohman, Walter. 2013.12.18. “America’s Economic Commitment to Asia in Perspective.” Testimony before the Subcommittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate.
White House. 2014.11.12.“Remarks by President Obama and President Xi Jinping in Joint Oress Conference.” White House.

(V)Newspapers

Clift, Eleanor. 2014.11.4. “Can Obama and a Republican Senate Find Common Ground?” The Daily Beast. November 4, 2014.
Dobell, Graeme. 2014.8.14. “Great Australian foreign policy speeches: APEC’s creation, by Bob Hawke.” The Interpreter.
Donillon, Tom. 2014.4.20. “Obama is on the right course with the pivot to Asia.” The Washington Post.

(VI)Internet

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Nakajima, T. 2010.8.15. “APEC: The Future Prospects for a Bridge Spanning the Pacific”, ERINA Discussion Paper, No.1003e, The Economic Institute for Northeast Asia. http://www.erina.or.jp/jp/Research/dp/pdf/1003e.pdf
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