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題名:亞洲金融風暴對臺灣貿易收支之影響
書刊名:國立屏東商業技術學院學報
作者:劉子年 引用關係顏信利
出版日期:2000
卷期:2
頁次:頁105-129
主題關鍵詞:亞洲金融風暴貿易收支價格彈性所得彈性Asian financial crisisTrade balancePrice elasticityIncome elasticity
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     本文主題為探討亞洲金融風暴對臺灣貿易收支之影響。研究目的有二:第一為分析亞洲金融風暴發生之原因以及對臺灣與主要貿易對手國間進出口貿易之影響;第二為實證研究亞洲金融風暴對臺灣貿易收支之影響,以供政府制定經貿政策之參考。 本文實證研究結果顯示,由於亞洲金融風暴引發我國以及亞洲貿易對手國經濟成長之衰退,因此導致我國對亞洲各國貿易量之大幅縮減。由於我國對日本出口之所得彈性似乎大於我國由日本進口之所得彈性值,因此造成我國對日之貿易逆差持續擴大。然而由於美國經濟穩定成長以及臺灣對美出口之所得彈性似乎大於臺灣自美進口之所得彈性值,因此我國對美出口仍可維持固定水準。但由於我國經濟成長衰退導致自美進口縮減,所以我國對美貿易順差又呈現擴大趨勢。匯率變動所引起之價格效果似乎小於經濟成長所產生之所得效果,因此匯率政策對貿易收支之影響效果並不顯著,我國對外貿易收支之表現仍然主要須視貿易伙伴國經濟景氣循環之變化而定。
期刊論文
1.Junz, H. B.、Rhomberg, R. R.(1973)。Price Competitiveness in Export Trade among Industrial Countries。American Economic Review,63(2),412-418。  new window
2.Goldstein, M.、Khan, M. S.(1978)。The supply and demand for exports: a simultaneous approach。Review of Economics and Statistics,60,275-286。  new window
3.Lawrence, R. Z.(1990)。US current account adjustment: an appraisal。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,2,343-382。  new window
4.Krugman, P.(1989)。Differences in income elasticities and trends in real exchange rates。European Economic Review,33,1031-1054。  new window
5.Moffett, M.(1989)。The J-curve revisited: an empirical examination for the United States。Journal of International Money and Finance,8,425-444。  new window
6.Rose, A. K.(1990)。Exchange rates and the trade balance。Economics Letter,34,271-275。  new window
7.Rose, A. K.(1991)。The role of exchange rates in a popular model of international trade: does the Marshall Lerner condition hold?。Journal of International Economics,30,301-316。  new window
8.Rose, A. K.、Yellen, J. L. L.(1989)。Is there a J-curve?。Journal of Monetary Economics,24,53-68。  new window
9.Magee, S. P.(1973)。Currency contracts, pass-through, and devaluation。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,1,303-325。  new window
10.Bickerdike, C. F.(1920)。The instability of foreign exchange。Economic Journal,30(1),118-122。  new window
11.周濟(1998)。台灣在亞洲金融風暴中受害較淺原因的探索。國策專刊,2。  延伸查詢new window
12.簡錦漢(1998)。臺灣經濟最近情勢:對外貿易。臺灣經濟預測與政策,29(1),9-10。  延伸查詢new window
13.高仙桂、徐如賓、鄭雅綺(19980300)。東亞金融危機解析--對全球及臺灣經貿的影響。自由中國之工業,88(3),71-96。  延伸查詢new window
14.Houthakker, Hendrik S.、Magee, Stephen P.(1969)。Income and price elasticities in world trade。Review of Economics and Statistics,51(2),111-125。  new window
15.Orcutt, Guy H.(1955)。Measurement of Price Elasticities in International Trade。Review of Economics and Statistics,32(2),117-132。  new window
16.Krugman, Paul R.(1994)。The Myth of Asia's Miracle。Foreign Affairs,73(6),62-78。  new window
研究報告
1.Hooper, P.、Marquez, J.(1993)。Exchange Rates, Prices, and External Adjustment in the United States and Japan, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System。  new window
2.行政院主計處(19991100)。中華民國臺灣地區國民經濟動向統計季報。台北:行政院主計處。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.Liu, Tzu-Nien(1996)。Exchange Rates and Trade Balance Adjustment: the Case of Taiwan(博士論文)。University of Hawaii。  new window
2.陳孟韓(1992)。國內外相對價格、有效匯率與進出口--臺灣的實驗研究(碩士論文)。國立中興大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Central Bank of China。Financial Statistics, Taiwan District, Republic of China, various issues。Taipei:Central Bank of China。  new window
2.李榮謙(1999)。國際貨幣與金融。台北:智勝文化事業有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.Council of Economic Planning and Development(1993)。Taiwan Statistical Data Book。Taipei:Council for International Economic Cooperation and Development。  new window
4.Goldstein, M.(1998)。The Asian Financial Crisis: Causes, Cures, and Systemic Implications。Washington, DC:Institute for International Economics。  new window
5.Cline, W. R.(1989)。External Adjustment and the World Economy。Washington, D. C.:Institute for International Economics。  new window
6.Stern, R. M.、Francis, J.、Schumacher, B.(1976)。Price Elasticities in International Trade: An Annotated Bibliography。London:Macmillan。  new window
7.International Financial Statistics, various issues。Washington, D. C.:International Monetary Fund。  new window
8.Buiter, Willem H.(1989)。Budgetary Policy, International and Intertemporal Trade in the Global Economy。Amsterdam:North-Holland。  new window
9.Robinson, J.(1937)。Essays in the Theory of Employment。London:Macmillan。  new window
10.台灣經濟研究院(19991223)。國際經濟情勢週報。台灣經濟研究院。  延伸查詢new window
11.Blecker, R. A.(1992)。Beyond the Twin Deficits。New York:M. E. Sharpe。  new window
12.Roubini, N.(1999)。An Introduction to Open Economy Macroeconomics, Currency Crises and the Asian Crisis。New York University。  new window
13.Learner, Stern(1970)。Quantitative International Economics。Chicago:Aldine Publishing Co.。  new window
其他
1.Krugman, P.(1998)。What happened to Asia?,http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/DISINTER.htmL。  new window
2.Artus, Jacques,Knight, Malcolm D.(1984)。Issues in the assessment of the exchange rates of industrial countries,Washington, D.C.:International Monetary Fund。  new window
3.Krugman, P.(1999)。Analytical afterthoughts on the Asian crisis,http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/MINICRIS.html。  new window
圖書論文
1.Metzler, L. A.(1948)。The theory of international trade。A Survey of Contemporary Economics。Philadelphi:Blakiston。  new window
2.Goldstein, M.、Khan, M. S.(1985)。Income and price effects in foreign trade。Handbook of International Economics。Amsterdam:North-Holland。  new window
3.Magee, S. P.(1975)。Prices, income and foreign trade: A survey of recent economic studies。International Trade and Finance: Frontiers for Research。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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