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題名:人壽保險商品的評價
書刊名:保險專刊
作者:張文武涂兆賢
作者(外文):Chang, Wen-wuTu, Jau-shyan
出版日期:2000
卷期:62
頁次:頁48-75
主題關鍵詞:期望淨現值終身壽險定期壽險Expected net present valueWhole lifeTerm life
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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     本文研究目的是依據我國保單實際給付條件修正Babbel(1978)期望淨現值的模型,以評價我國終身壽險和定期壽險商品的價值,本文實證結果如下:首先,不考慮紅利給付和續保定期壽險沒有加費情況下,當折現率等於保單預定利率時,不論性別、公司、終身壽險以及定期壽險的期望淨現值均為負值,且隨著投保年齡的增加呈現遞減趨勢,這顯示越年輕投保壽險越有利。其次,如果考慮定期壽險續保時有加費的情形,結果顯示年輕時投保定期壽險較有利,而年紀稍長,則應投保終身壽險較有利。第三,在隨機利率情況下,考慮紅利給付的期望淨現值與未考慮紅利給付之間的趨勢相近。最後,本文估計終身壽險的隱含附加費用率,實證結果符合法令的規定。
     This paper modifies Babbel's (1978) expected net present value (ENPV) model and evaluates the Value of whole life insurance and term life insurance according to the terms of policy issued by Taiwan life insurance firms. The result shows as follows: First, under the conditions of ruling out the factors of dividends and premium-added renew terms life insurance, when discount rate is equal to policy interest rate, ENPV is constantly negative. Second, under the conditions of not ruling out the premium-added renew term life insurance, the term life insurance is favorable to juniors and the whole life insurance is favorable to the seniors. Third, when interest rates are stochastic, the trends of ENPV are similar, whatever with or without considering the factor of dividends. Finally, The loading of whole life insurance is consistent with the present regulations.
期刊論文
1.Mitchell, O. S.、Porterba, J. M.、Warshawsky, M. J.、Brown, J. R.(1999)。New Evidence on the Money's Worth of Individual Annuities。American Economic Review,89(4),1299-1318。  new window
2.Babble, D. F.、Staking, K. B.(1983)。A Capital Budgeting Analysis of Life Insurance Costs in the United States: 1950-1979。Journal of Finance,38(1),149-170。  new window
3.Babbel, D. F.(1978)。Consumer Valuation of Life Insurance: Comment。Journal of Risk and Insurance,45(3),516-521。  new window
4.Kensicki, P. R.(1974)。Consumer Valuation of Life Insurance: A Capital Budgeting Approach。Journal of Risk and Insurance,41(4),655-665。  new window
5.Murray, M. L.(1976)。Analyzing the Investment Value of Cash Value Life Insurance。The Journal of Risk and Insurance,43,121-128。  new window
6.Babbel, D. F.、Ohtsuka, E.(1989)。Aspects of optimal multiperiod life insurance。Journal of Risk and Insurance,56(3),460-481。  new window
7.Ferrari, J. R.(1968)。Investment life insurance versus term insurance and separate in vestment: A determination of expected-return equivalents。Journal of Risk and Insurance,35(2),181-198。  new window
8.Mclure, C. E. Jr.(1973)。Investment life insurance versus term insurance and separate investment: A determination of expected-return equivalents。Comment. Journal of Risk and Insurance,40(2),291-293。  new window
9.Smith, M. L.(1982)。The life insurance policy as an options package。Journal of Risk and Insurance,49(4),583-601。  new window
10.Walden, M. L.(1985)。The whole life policy as an options package: An empirical investigation。Journal of Risk and Insurance,52(1),44-58。  new window
11.Chan, Kalok C.、Karolyi, George Andrew、Longstaff, Francis A.、Sanders, Anthony B.(1992)。An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Models of the Short-term Interest Rate。Journal of Finance,47(3),1209-1227。  new window
會議論文
1.曾郁仁、張永郎(1999)。人壽保險保單購買抉擇:終身壽險與定期壽險比較分析。政治大學風險管理與保險學術研討會。  延伸查詢new window
2.張文武、涂兆賢(2000)。我國個人年金貨幣價值之研究。2000跨世紀風險管理與保險學術暨實務研討會,高雄第一科技大學主辦 。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Finkelstein, A.、Poterba, J.(1999)。Selection effects in the market for individual annuities: New evidence from the United Kingdom。  new window
圖書
1.鄭濟世(1999)。保險法令彙編。臺北市:財團法人保險事業發展中心。  延伸查詢new window
2.Black, Kenneth Jr.、Skipper, Harold Jr.(1994)。Life Insurance。New Jersey:Prentice-Hall Inc.。  new window
3.Chen, Ren-Raw(1996)。Understanding and Managing Interest Rate Risks。Singapore:World Scientific。  new window
4.Hull, John C.(1997)。Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives。Upper Saddle River, NJ:Prentice-Hall Inc.。  new window
 
 
 
 
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