:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:能源足跡情境分析架構之研提與應用
書刊名:都市與計劃
作者:馮君君
作者(外文):Ferng, Jiun-jiun
出版日期:2001
卷期:28:1
頁次:頁85-105
主題關鍵詞:能源足跡情境分析投入產出分析初級能源需求轉換矩陣可計算一般均衡模型Energy footprintScenario analysisInput-output analysisPrimary energy transformation matrixCGE model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:1
  • 點閱點閱:21
     生態足跡(ecological footprint)指標由Wackernagel and Rees於1996年提出,以土地及水域面積量度一特定地區居民之消費型對水準對生態環境的依賴,例如:資源的提供以及廢棄物的納與淨化。由於生態足跡分析至今仍只用於量度已發生的狀態,因而有學者質疑將生態足跡當做一項永續發展指標的適當性,尤其是有關其中的能源足跡(energy footprint)其估算方式未能考量能源替代方案的情形,更是備受評論。特別關注能源足跡估算,主要是個案研究中生態赤字多導因於能源足跡過於龐大,而能源足跡又以淨化燃燒化石燃料的CO2釋出量所需之森林面積為主,因此若降低最終能源消費量、或調整初級能源轉變投入結構,均有助於大幅降低生態赤字。由於Wackernagel等人估算能源足跡的方式是直接利用初級能源使用量的統計數字,完全忽略驅動初級能源需求的主要因素是為了提供生產活動所需能源以製造出滿足一地區居民消費的物品與服務,以致於估算的結果是反映出支持一地區經濟活動的初級能源量,而非生態足跡指標概念所欲估算之滿足一地區居民消費所利用的初級能源。在缺少這些關係的考量以及估算基礎的偏差,若以原先的估算方式進行情境分析,確有困難之處。 基此,本文研提一個能進行能源足跡情境分析的估算架構,並以臺灣地區1996年的資料為例進行個案估算。在情境分析架構中,本研究建議有關一地區居民最終需求因應相關政策,例如:CO2減量之市場機制,所造成的變動結果,可利用「可計算一般均衡模型」進行概估,並利用投入產出分析推估滿足這些居民最終需求直接與間拉所需之各部門產品,再計算各產業部門的能源投入係數,推估最終能源消費量,接著應用最終能源消費與初級能源需求轉換的關係矩陣,估計不同類別初級能源使用量,再利用相關文獻採用之能源-土地轉換率,估計臺灣地區基期與模擬方案的能源足跡與能源地赤字。
     Wackernagel and Rees proposed the ecological footprint, the area of land and water required for resource provision and environment assimilation in order to support the final consumption of a defined human population, as an index of sustainability in 1996. The purpose of footprint calculations is to provide an evaluation regarding the dependence of humanity on the ecosystem and then to justify whether the human population survives with in the carrying capacity of the earth. So far, the major component of ecological footprints in most case studies is the energy footprint, which represents the area required for assimilating CO2 from burning fossil fuels, for buffering the radiation from nuclear power, and for building dams to generate hydrological electricity. The dominant role of energy footprints has been criticized as not able to reflect the possibility that an significant reduction in energy footprints can be achieved by changing energy structure or decreasing final energy consumption. The original calculation method of energy footprints fails to conducting policy simulation because the calculation is based on the statistics of the primary energy consumption and thus lacks of the relationship linkages between final consumption of goods and services, energy final consumption, and the primary energy use. However, it is these linkages that provide the possibilities for policy simulation. This paper proposes a calculation framework that comprehends the concerned linkages for energy footprint assimilation and then applies the calculation to Taiwan. In the proposed framework, this paper suggests to combine two policy simulation models: a computable general equilibrium model and primary energy transformation matrix. The first one simulates the change of domestic final demand resulting from imposing a new tax; and the second one takes into account the relationship between final energy consumption and primary energy demands of different types that have influences on the size of energy footprint.
期刊論文
1.Bicknell, K. B.、Ball, R. J.、Cullen, R.、Bigsby, H. R.(1998)。New Methodology for the Ecological Footprint with an Application to the New Zealand Economy。Ecological Economics,27,149-160。  new window
2.Ayres, R. U.(2000)。Commentary on the utility of the ecological footprint concept。Ecological Economics,32,347-349。  new window
3.van den Bergh, J. C. J. M.、Verbruggen, H.(1999)。Spatial sustainability, trade and indicators: an evaluation of the ecological footprint。Ecological Economics,29,61-72。  new window
4.Herendeen, R. A.(2000)。Ecological footprint is a vivid indicator of indirect effects。Ecological Economics,32,357-358。  new window
5.van Kooten, G. C.、Bulte, E. H.(2000)。The ecological footprint: useful science or politics。Ecological Economics,32,385-389。  new window
6.Opschoor, H.(2000)。The ecological footprint: measuring rod or metaphor。Ecological Economics,32,363-365。  new window
7.Rees, W. E.(2000)。Eco-footprint analysis: merits and brickbats。Ecological Economics,32(3),371-374。  new window
8.Wackernagel, M.(1999)。An evaluation of the ecological footprint。Ecological Economics,31,317-318。  new window
9.Wackernagel, M.、Onisto, L.、Bello, P.、Linares, A. C.、Falfan, I. S. L.、Garcia, J. M.、Guerrero, A. I. S.、Guerrero, M. G. S.(1999)。National natural capital accounting with the ecological footprint concept。Ecological Economics,29(3),375-390。  new window
10.馮君君(2000)。臺灣地區環境問題與資源使用者結構分析-生態足跡觀念之應用。都市與計劃,27(3),271-296。  延伸查詢new window
11.Alcantara, V.、Roca, J.(1995)。Energy and CO2 emissions in Spain: methodology of analysis and some results for 1980-90。Energy Economics,17,221-230。  new window
12.Eder, P.、Narodoslawsky, M.(1999)。What environmental pressures are a region's industries responsible for? A method of analysis with descriptive indices and input-output models。Ecological Economics,29,359-374。  new window
13.Battjes, J. J.、Noorman, K. J.、Biesiot, W.(1998)。Assessing the energy intensities of imports。Energy Economics,20(1),67-83。  new window
14.Ferng, J.-J.(2001)。Using composition of land multiplier to estimate ecological footprint associated with production activity。Ecological Economics,37,159-172。  new window
15.Kramer, K. J.、Moll, H. C.、Nonhebel, S.、Wilting, H. C.(1999)。Greenhouse gas emissions related to Dutch food consumption。Energy Policy,27,203-216。  new window
16.Kondo, Yoshinori、Moriguchi, Y.、Shimizu, H.(1998)。CO2 emissions in Japan: influences of imports and exports。Applied Energy,59(2/3),163-174。  new window
17.Lenzen, Manfred(1998)。Primary energy and greenhouse gases embodied in Australian final consumption: an input-output analysis。Energy Policy,26(6),495-506。  new window
18.Alexandrov, G. A.、Yamagata, Y.(2001)。Would forestation alleviate the burden of emission reduction? An assessment of the future carbon sink from ARD activities。Climate Policy,1,27-40。  new window
19.Schaeffer, R.、De Sa, A. L.(1996)。The embodiment of carbon associated with Brazilian imports and exports。Energy Conversion and Management,37(6-8),955-960。  new window
20.Lewan, L.、Wackernagel, M.、Hansson, C. B.(1999)。Evaluating the use of natural capital with the ecological footprint。Ambio,28,604-612。  new window
21.Roop, J. M.、Wyckoff, A. W.(1994)。The embodiment of carbon in imports of manufactured products。Energy Policy,22(3),187-194。  new window
會議論文
1.馮君君(1999)。從生態足跡觀點探討臺灣地區環境資源負荷-應用投入產出分析方法。臺北。543-560。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.周鳳瑛、劉曦敏(1999)。節約能源政策的實證情境分析-兼論產業能源的直接與間接需求。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
3.郭迺峰、楊浩彥(1999)。實施市場導向碳排放減量政策對臺灣經濟的影響:整合環境-能源-經濟之CGE實證模型。沒有紀錄。103-127。  延伸查詢new window
4.馮君君(2001)。能源足跡模擬分析架構之研提與應用。臺北。1-23。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.黃宗煌、李秉正、徐世勳、林師模、劉錦龍(1999)。溫室氣體減量成本效益分析--TAIGEM模型建構暨減量策略之經濟評估 (計畫編號:EPA-88-FA31-03-0006)。  延伸查詢new window
2.Robinson, S.、Lewis, J. D.、Devarajan, S.(1991)。From Stylized to Applied Models: Building Multisector CGE Model for Policy Analysis。Berkeley。  new window
圖書
1.Wackemagel, Mathis、Rees, William E.(1996)。Our Ecological Footprint: Reducing Human Impact on the Earth。Gabriola Island, BC:New Society Publishers。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
QR Code
QRCODE