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題名:Economic-Demographic Relationships and Urban Development in Taiwan: An Exploratory Analysis
書刊名:朝陽設計學報
作者:劉立偉
作者(外文):Liu, Li-wei
出版日期:2001
卷期:2
頁次:頁11-29
主題關鍵詞:人口成長經濟-人口關聯中介機制都市發展Population growthEconomic-demographic relationshipsIntermediate mechanismUrban development
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本研究以實證分析探討臺灣過去四十年來在人口成長與經濟成長間的相互關係。不同於既有文獻橫斷面的跨國分析方式,本文試圖了解單一國家的人口變化與經濟成長間如何互為影響。就臺灣之發展而言,人口成長與經濟成長並無直接的關聯,人口成長事實上是透過某些中介機制來影響經濟成長。本文驗證兩種中介機制,分別為產業結構的變遷與國家發展政策的適時性。同時,此二種中介機制必須透過空間性的都市發展的進程才得以呈現。因此,都市發展成為人口成長與經濟成長間的重要聯繫。
This paper examines the available empirical evidence on the complex set of interrelationships between population growth and economic growth in Taiwan over the past forty years from a perspective other than that found in the prevailing literature. It attempts to understand how population change affects economic growth in a specific country. This paper thus argues that there is no idrect relationship between population growth and economic growth. Population growth is expected to influence economic growth only through some intermediate mechanisms. Changes of industrial structure and the timing of the development policy are identified as such intermediate mechanisms. Both mechanisms are related to urban development in the context of Taiwan’s experience. Urban development therefore serves as an important linkage between population growth and economic growth.
期刊論文
1.Barlow, Robin(1994)。Population Growth and Economic Growth: Some More Correlations。Population and Development Review,20(1),153-165。  new window
2.Bloom, D. E.、Freeman, R. B.(1988)。Economic Development and the Timing and Components of Population Growth。Journal of Policy Modeling,10(1),57-81。  new window
3.Glaeser, Edward(1994)。Cities, Information and Economic Growth。Cityscape,1,9-47。  new window
4.Jones, Barclay(1984)。Productivity and the Spatial Implications of Structural Change: Empirical Evidence for Simon's Model。Paper of the Regional Science Association,54,1-11。  new window
5.Kelley, Allen、Jeffrey, Williamson(1984)。Population Growth, Industrial Revolutions, and the Urban Transition。Population and Development Review,10(3),419-441。  new window
6.Krugman, Paul(1996)。Urban Concentration: The Role of Increasing Returns and Transport Costs。International Regional Science Review,19(1/2),5-30。  new window
7.Simon, Herbert A.(1947)。Effects of Increased Productivity upon the Ratio of Urban to Rural Population。Econometrica,15(1),31-42。  new window
8.Simon, J. L.(1989)。On Aggregate Empirical Studies Relating Population Variables to Economic Development。Population and Development Review,15(2),323-332。  new window
9.Kelley, A. C.、Schmidt, R. M.(1995)。Aggregate Population and Economic Growth Correlations: The Role of the Components of Demographic Change。Demography,32(4),543-555。  new window
研究報告
1.Bloom, D. E.、Williamson, J. G.(1997)。Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia。Cambridge, MA:National Bureau of Economic Research。  new window
圖書
1.Bogart, William Thomas(1998)。The Economics of Cities and Suburbs。Upper Saddle River, NJ:Prentice Hall。  new window
2.CEPD(1996)。Taiwan Statistical Data Book。Taipei:Council for Economic Planning and Development。  new window
3.Drennan, Matthew、Lobo, José(1997)。U.S. Metropolitan Economic Growth, 1969-1989: The Roles of Human Capital, Trade, and Specialization (draft)。Cornell University。  new window
4.Evans, Alan(1985)。Urban Economics: An Introduction。New York:Basil Blackwell。  new window
5.Meyers, Neil(1994)。Statutory Encouragement of Investment and Economic Development in the Republic of China on Taiwan。Baltimore, Maryland:Occasional Papers/Reprints Series in Contemporary Asian Studies, Inc。  new window
6.Speare, A.、Liu, P.、Tsay, C.(1988)。Urbanization and Development: The Rural-Urban Transition in Taiwan。Boulder, CO:Westview Press。  new window
7.United Nations Population Fund(1993)。Population Fund Population Growth and Economic Development。NY:UNFPA。  new window
圖書論文
1.Ahlburg, Dennis(1987)。The Impact of Population Growth on Economic Growth in Developing Nations。Population Growth and Economic Development。Madison, WI:The University of Wisconsin Press。  new window
2.Goldscheider, Calvin(1988)。[Urbanization and Development: The Rural-Urban Transition in Taiwan] Foreword。Urbanization and Development: The Rural-Urban Transition in Taiwan。  new window
3.Henderson, Vernon(1987)。Industrialization and Urbanization: International Experience。Population Growth and Economic Development: Issues and Evidence。Madison, Wisconsin:The University of Wisconsin Press。  new window
4.Hermalin, A.、Liu, P.、Freedman, D.(1994)。The Social and Economic Transformation of Taiwan。Social Change and the Family in Taiwan。Chicago, IL:The University of Chicago Press。  new window
5.Liu, Paul(1992)。Science, Technology and Human Capital Formation。Taiwan: From Developing to Mature Economy。Boulder, CO:Westview Press。  new window
6.Mason, Andrew(1997)。Population and the Asian Economic Miracle。Asia-Pacific Population and Policy。Honolulu, HI:East-West Center。  new window
7.Pack, Howard(1992)。New Perspectives on Industrial Growth in Taiwan。Taiwan: From Developing to Mature Economy。Boulder, CO:Westview Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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