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來源文獻資料
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外文摘要
引文資料
題名:
貨幣政策宣示與農產品價格的動態調整:固定匯率制度的探討
書刊名:
經濟論文叢刊
作者:
王葳
/
賴景昌
/
胡士文
作者(外文):
Wang, Vey
/
Lai, Ching-chong
/
Hu, Shih-wen
出版日期:
2002
卷期:
30:3
頁次:
頁313-333
主題關鍵詞:
農產品價格
;
政策宣告
;
貨幣政策
;
動態調整
;
Agricultural product prices
;
Policy announcement
;
Monetary policy
;
Dynamic adjustment
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(
4
) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:
4
共同引用:0
點閱:37
相較於實證研究,有關總體變數與農產品價格的理論分析,大部份建構於封閉的經濟體系。本有擬設立具有開放經濟特質,且涵蓋農產品市場、非農產品市場、貨幣市場與外匯市場之固定匯率模型,藉以探討政府所宣示的未來國內信用擴張政策,如何主導經濟體系的相關總體經濟變數的調整。本文的分析結果顯示:長期而言,國內信用擴張,不會影響農產品價格,但會導致外匯存底等量減少;但短期農產品價格會因應政策的宣示,呈現先上漲後下降的走勢。
以文找文
Most, if not all, of the existing theore-tical studies dealing with the linkage between macroeconomic variables and agricultural product product prices are concerned with closed economies. This paper instead constructs an open-economy model under fixed exchange rates. The model we set up includes the agricultural market, the non-agricultural market, the money market, and the foreign exchange market. Based on this open-economy model, we study the characteristics agricultural product prices will exhibit when the monetary authorities engage in a pre-announced monetary policy. Two main conclusions emerge from the analysis. Firstly, the expansion of domestic credit will not affect agricultural product prices, but induce the level of foreign exchange reserves decrease to the same extent as domestic credit. Secondly, agricultural product prices rise process during the period following the announcement but prior to the monetary expansion, while they decline after policy implementation.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Swoboda, A. K.(1972)。Equilibrium, Quasi-equilibrium and Macroeconomic Policy under Fixed Exchange Rates。Quarterly Journal of Economics,86,162-171。
2.
Belongia, M. T.(1991)。Monetary Policy and the Farm/Nonfarm Price Ratio: A Comparison of Effects in Alternative Models。Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,73,30-46。
3.
Bessler, David A.(1984)。Relative Prices and Money: A Vector Autoregression on Brazilian Data。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,66(1),25-30。
4.
Bordo, M. D.(1980)。The Effects of Monetary Change on Relative Commodity Prices and the Role of Long-Term Contracts。Journal of Political Economy,88,1088-1109。
5.
Choe, Young Chan、Koo, Won W.(1993)。Monetary Impacts on Prices in the Short and Long Run: Further Results for the United States。Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics,18(2),211-224。
6.
Frankel, J. A.(1986)。Expectations and Commodity Price Dynamics: The Overshooting Model。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,68,344-348。
7.
Lai, C. C.、Hu, S. W.、Wang, V.(1996)。Commodity Price Dynamics and Anticipated Shocks。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,78,982-990。
8.
Lapp, John S.(1990)。Relative Agricultural Prices and Monetary Policy。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,72(3),622-630。
9.
Isaac, A. G.、Rapach, D. E.(1997)。Monetary Shocks and Relative Farm Prices: A Re-examination。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,79(4),1332-1339。
10.
Taylor, J. S.、Spriggs, J.(1989)。Effects of the Monetary Macro-economy on Canadian Agricultural Prices。Canadian Journal of Economics,22(2),278-289。
11.
Dornbusch, Rudiger(1976)。Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics。Journal of Political Economy,84(6),1161-1176。
12.
Kannapiran, C.(2000)。Commodity price stabilization: macroeconomic impacts and policy options。Agricultural Economics,23。
13.
Orden, D.、Robertson, J. C.(1990)。Monetary Impacts on Prices in the Short and Long Run: Some Evidence from New Zealand。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,72,160-171。
14.
Moutos, T.、Vines, D.(1992)。Output, Inflation and Commodity Prices。Oxford Economic Papers,44,355-372。
15.
Devadoss, S.、Meyers, W. H.(1987)。Relative Prices and Money: Further Results for the United States。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,69,838-842。
16.
Rausser, G. C.、Chalfant, J. A.、Love, H. A.、Stamoulis, K. G.(1986)。Macroeconomic linkages, taxes, and subsides in the U. S. agricultural sector。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,68,399-412。
17.
Gray, Richard S.、Carter, C. A.、Furtan, W. H.(1990)。Exchange rate effects on inputs and outputs in Canadian agriculture。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,72(3),738-743。
18.
Torvik, R.(1997)。Agricultural supply-led industrialization: a macromodel with Sub-Saharan African characteristics。Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,8,351-370。
19.
Barnhart, S. W.(1989)。The Effects of Macroeconomic Announcements on Commodity Prices。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,71,389-403。
20.
Frankel, J. A.、Hardouvelis, G. A.(1985)。Commodity Prices, Money Surprises and Fed Credibility。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,17,425-437。
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