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題名:包含失業隔閡之總供需估測模型
書刊名:臺灣經濟預測與政策
作者:吳中書高志祥蘇文瑩陳雅玫單易王淑娟蔡秀慧黃純宜羅雅惠
作者(外文):Wu, Chung-shuGau, Jr-shiangSu, Wen-yinChen, Ya-meiShann, YihWang, Shu-chuanTsai, Shiou-hueiHuang, Chwen-yiLo, Ya-hui
出版日期:2002
卷期:33:1
頁次:頁111-160
主題關鍵詞:總體計量模型潛在產出無通膨預期失業率膨脹缺口擴大內需NAIRU
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(5) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:3
  • 點閱點閱:26
     本文參考詹維玲等(1999)及吳中書等(1998) 之總供需估測模型,擴充生產面設定,並加入代表勞動供給的勞動參與率函數,嘗試估計我國之無通膨失業率;再透過兩要素的生產函數,推估潛在產出,建構一個包含需求面與生產面行為之總合供需模型。除用於基準預測外,本文亦應用此模型對政府執行擴大內需政策的總體經濟效果進行模擬分析。
      To strengthen the framework of Taiwan's macro-econometric model, we modify the aggregate supply and labor market sectors of the simultaneous equation systems by Chan et al.(1999) and Wu et al. (1998), consider functions of labor force participation as labor supply, and estimate Taiwan's Non-accelerating Inflation Rates of Unemployment (NAIRU), which are introduced into aggregate production function to evaluate Taiwan's potential GDP. In addition to project the benchmark forecasts of Taiwan economy, this revised model is also used to assess the macroeconomic effects when the domestic demand expansion policy is undertaken.
期刊論文
1.陳旭播(2001)。臺灣地區非勞動力變化與影響之研析。臺灣經濟金融月刊,37(6),38-47。  延伸查詢new window
2.Adams, Charles、Coe, David T.(1990)。A System Approach to Estimating the Natural Rate of Unemployment and Potential Output for the United States。IMF Staff Papers,37(2),232-293。  new window
3.Beenstock, Michael、Lavi, Yaakov、Offenbacher, Akiva(1994)。A Macroeconometric Model for Isreal 1962-90: A Market Equilibrium Approach to Aggregate Demand and Supply。Economic Modelling,11(4),413-462。  new window
4.Butkiewicz, J. L.、Yohe, W. P.(1993)。A Quarterly Model of the US Economy during and after World War I。Economic Modelling,10(1),22-34。  new window
5.Darby, Julia、Ireland, Jonathan、Leithand, Campbell、Wren-Lewis, Simon(1999)。COMPACT: a Rational Expectations, Intertemporal Model of the United Kingdom Economy。Economic Modelling,16,1-52。  new window
6.Gorden, Robert(1997)。The Time-Varying NAIRU and its Implications for Economy Policy。The Journal of Economic Perspectives,11(1),11-32。  new window
7.Papanikos, G. T.(1991)。A Small Macroeconometric Model with Direct Government Intervention on the Demand and the Supply Side。Economic Modelling,8(2),187-200。  new window
會議論文
1.何金巡、周麗芳、林建甫(2001)。開放經濟體系勞工退休制度之總體經濟計量分析。2001年總體經濟計量模型研討會。臺北:中央研究院經濟研究所。  延伸查詢new window
2.吳中書(1996)。台灣總體經濟計量模型研討會論文集。台灣總體經濟計量模型研討會。中央研究院經濟研究所。  延伸查詢new window
3.吳中書、單易、王淑娟、羅雅惠、鄭淑如、梅家瑗、蘇文瑩、黃純宜、高志祥(1998)。臺灣總體計量動態季模型。沒有紀錄。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.詹維玲、蔡美娜、高志祥、鄭淑如、梅家瑗、蘇文瑩、單易、羅雅惠、黃純宜、王淑娟(1999)。臺灣總體經濟計量季模型-兼論金融自由化對總體經濟之影響。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Romer, David(1996)。Advanced Macroeconomics。New York, NY:McGraw-Hill Company。  new window
2.Pindyck, R. S.、Rubinfeld, D. L.(1991)。Econometric Models & Economic Forecasts。McGraw-Hill。  new window
3.何金巡、于宗先(1988)。全國總供需估測:回顧與展望。全國總供需估測:回顧與展望。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
4.DRI-WEFA(2002)。World Economic Outlook。World Economic Outlook。Eddyston。  new window
5.Estrella, Arturo、Mishkin, Frederic S.(1999)。Rethinking the Role of NAIRU in Monetary Policy: Implications of Model Formulation and Uncertainty。Monetary Policy Rules。Chicago, IL。  new window
6.International Monetary Fund(2000)。World Economic Outlook。World Economic Outlook。沒有紀錄。  new window
7.Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development(2001)。Economic Outlook, 69。Economic Outlook, 69。沒有紀錄。  new window
8.Schuh, Scott(1996)。Evidence on the Link Between Firm-Level and Aggregate Inventory Behavior。Evidence on the Link Between Firm-Level and Aggregate Inventory Behavior。沒有紀錄。  new window
其他
1.Fair, Ray(2000)。The Workbook of Fair Model,沒有紀錄。  new window
2.National Institution of Economic and Scoicology Research(1999)。NiDEM Model Manual,沒有紀錄。  new window
 
 
 
 
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