The public security and campus safety have indirectly struck by drop-out juvenile students who run away from their families or schools recently. This study developed an analysis model of system dynamics for representing junior high's physical and mental characteristics in order to simulate, observe and predict the possibilities of drop-out. Four aspects were combined to acquire knowledge of dynamic interactions among drop-out processes for analyzing the factors of the personal, the family, the school and the peers. The four aspects are based on the group and individual tests of a junior high school in southern Taiwan including: parents' discipline attitude test, Lai's characteristics test, the junior high learning and reading devices test and problem check list. Besides, the prediction of the simulation of the model will be helpful for enhancing "preventing guidance" and "developing guidance" of counseling teachers to prevent any possible drop-out student.