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來源文獻資料
摘要
外文摘要
引文資料
題名:
反彈道導彈條約爭議與中俄關係的發展
書刊名:
問題與研究
作者:
張雅君
作者(外文):
Chang, Yachun
出版日期:
2003
卷期:
42:3
頁次:
頁27-55
主題關鍵詞:
ABM條約
;
戰略利益
;
地緣政治
;
反恐怖主義
;
ABM Treaty
;
NMD
;
Strategic interest
;
Geopolitics
;
Anti-terrorism
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(
1
) 博士論文(
1
) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:
1
共同引用:
1
點閱:25
中俄兩國在維護美國為發展NMD而意圖修改的反彈道導彈條約(ABM)上具有重要戰略利益,使得俄美之間的ABM 條約爭議成為一九九七年後中俄戰略夥件關係持續發展的動力。不過由於中俄兩國在經濟上同美國相互依賴的程度遠大於中俄彼此的依賴,而且中俄兩國在冷戰後實力不足,雙方聯合並不足以對美國的國際行為產生關鍵影響,反彈導導彈修約爭議在中俄關係發展中的促進作用因此有其侷限性。此侷限又對中俄在反彈道防禦導彈上的合作產生三個影響:步一,俄羅斯在反道彈導彈問題的國際鬥爭上,並不單一的以聯合中共作為唯一策略;第二,反彈道導彈條約爭議在中俄關係中呈現強烈工具性色彩,中俄雙方都企圖利用維護反彈道導彈條約的合作來獲取其他利益;第三,九一一推件後反彈道導彈條約對促進中俄關係的功能進一步弱化。基於此種侷限,中俄雙方對於美國在二○○一年年底正式宣佈退出反彈道導彈條約,及以條約在二○○二年六月自動失效的六成事實態度低調,同時,中俄戰略協作夥伴關係不但未進一步朝抗衡美國方向發展,反而是美俄關係大幅改善。不過,反彈道導彈條約失效及美俄關係的改善同樣的也不致於導致中俄關係的停滯或倒退,主要是因為過去十年來中俄關係在各領域的互動已日趨憲度化,同時俄羅斯在融入西方的過程中仍存在相當大的不確定性,最重要是中俄在二十一世紀仍具有在地緣政治、經貿、軍事、反恐及地區穩定上必須相互合作的利益。
以文找文
China and Russia share crucial interests in maintaining the ABM treaty. The U.S. has, however, attempted to reverse this treaty in order to develop NMD. This has influenced the Sino-Russian strategic partnership initiated in 1997. However, this promotion has its limits because China and Russia need the U.S. economically more than they need each other. Furthermore, because of their relative weakness vis avis the U.S., it is difficult for China and Russia to pose any significant challenge to the U.S. Sino-Russian cooperation on the ABM treaty has thus been limited. First, Russia does not regard uniting with China as the only strategy for preserving the ABM treaty. Second, China and Russia are attempting to use the ABM treaty cooperation as an instrument to achieve other respective interests. Third, the function of the ABM treaty to promote Sino-Russia partnership has been further weakened since September 11. Based on these limitations, China and Russia facing the U.S. withdraw from the ABM treaty announced at the end of 2001 made no serious attempt to oppose the U.S. as some western observers and predicted. Furthermore, U.S.-Russian relations have improved a great deal under the anti-terrorism campaign. This development and automatic nullification of the ABM treaty will likely result in harmful influences on the Sino-Russia partnership in the future. These influences, however, would be limited because of the following reasons: over the past ten years. Second, there is still uncertainty in the process of Russian integration with the west. Third, China and Russia still share common interests in geopolitics, economic and trade interaction, military sales, anti-terrorism, and regional security.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Russett, Bruce、Stam, Allan(1998)。Courting Disaster: An Expanded NATO vs. Russia and China。Political Science Quarterly,113(3),361-367。
2.
Rozman, G.(1998)。Sino-Russian Relations in the 1990s: A Balance Sheet。Post-Soviet Affairs,14(2),93-113。
3.
Voskressenski,Alexei D.(19970300)。The Perceptions of China by Russia's Foreign Policy Elite。Issues and Studies,33(3),1-20。
4.
De Castro, Renato Cruz(19980400)。Interactive Military Modernization in Russia and the PRC。Issues & Studies,34(4),90-123。
5.
呂其昌(2001)。國際圍繞NMD展開激烈鬥爭。現代國際關係,104(4),7-11。
延伸查詢
6.
張錫模(2002)。俄中關係:管理俄羅斯霸權的衰退。中國事務,7,22-34。
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7.
蔡政文(2000)。U. S Draft Protocol to the ABM Treaty And Associated Talking Points'。Arms Control Today,30(4),16/ 16-20。
8.
Bin, L.(2001)。The Effects of NMD on Chinese Strategy。Jane's Intelligence Review,13(3)。
9.
Bowen, W. Q.(2001)。Missile defence and the transatlantic security。International Affairs,77(3),485-507。
10.
Cohen, A.(2001)。The Russia-China Friendship and Cooperation Treaty: A Strategic Shift in Eurasia?。The Heritage Foundation Backgrounder,1459,3-4。
11.
Ferguson, C.(2000)。Sparking a Building: U. S. Missile Defense and China's Nuclear Arsenal。Arms Control Today,30(2),13-18。
12.
Freedman, L.(2000)。Does deterrence Have a Future?。Arms Control Today,30(8),3-5。
13.
Fushi、Wang, W. L.(2000)。Russia's Geopolitical Problems in the Face of NATO's Enlargement to the East。Far Eastern Affairs,1,18-24。
14.
Garret, B.(2000)。Facing the China Factor。Arms Control Today,30(8)。
15.
Gordon, P. H.(2000)。Bush, missile defence and the Atlantic alliance。Survival,43(1),17-36。
16.
Herspring, D. R.(1998)。Russia's Crumbling Military。Current History,97(621),325-328。
17.
Hewish, M.(2000)。Ballistic Missile Threat Evolves: Missiles Have Become Instrument or Coercive Diplomacy。Jane's International Defense Review,12(33),39-40。
18.
Jinglie, L.(2000)。Pillars of the Sino-Russian Partnership。Orbis,44(4),527-539。
19.
Lambeth, B. S.(1995)。Russia's Wounded Military。Foreign Affairs,74(2),86-98。
20.
Larin, A.(2001)。Russia's Chinese Policy under President Vladimir Putin。The Far Eastern Affairs,3,3-18。
21.
Levin, Carl(2000)。Toward an Agreement with Russia on Missile defense。Arms Control Today,30(2),3-7。
22.
Levin, C.(2001)。A Debate deferred: Missile Defense After the September 11 Attacks。Arms Control Today,31(9),3-11。
23.
Newbouse, J.(2001)。The Missile Defense Debate。Foreign Affairs,80(4),97-109。
24.
O'Neill, M. R.(1995)。Staying Prepared Against Ballistic Missiles。American Force Information Service: Defense Viewpoint,11(18),1-18。
25.
Shoumikhin, A.(1999)。Current Russian Perspectives on Arms Control and Missile Defense。Comparative Strategy,18(1),49-57。
26.
Voronin, Gennadi Petrovich(1994)。How Russia's Defense Industry Responds to Military-Technical Policy。Comparative Strategy,13(1),77-86。
27.
Wallander, C. A.(2000)。Russia's New Security policy and the Ballistic Missile Defense Debate。Current History,99(639),339-344。
28.
Wishnick, E.(1998)。Prospects for the Sino-Russian Partnership: Views From Moscow and the Russian Far East。The Journal of East Asian Affairs,7(2),418-451。
29.
Wishnick, E.(2001)。Russia and China: Brother Again?。Asian Survey,61(5),797-821。
圖書
1.
朱鋒(2001)。彈道導彈防禦計劃與國際安全。上海:上海人民出版社。
延伸查詢
2.
蔡政文(1977)。核子時代國際關係的特質。台北:蔡政文。
延伸查詢
3.
張文木(2000)。中國新世紀安全戰略。山東:山東人民出版社。
延伸查詢
4.
Dittmer, L.(1989)。Sino-Soviet Normalization and Its International Implications, 1945-1990。Sino-Soviet Normalization and Its International Implications, 1945-1990。London, UK/ Seattle, WA。
5.
Garver, J. W.(1994)。Sino-Russian Relations。China and the World: Chinese Foreign Relations Faces the New Millennium。Boulder, CO。
6.
尤里.米哈伊洛維奇、加列諾維奇(1999)。世紀之交的俄羅斯與中國。世紀之交的俄羅斯與中國。四川。
延伸查詢
7.
施岳群、陳佩堯(2000)。探索冷戰後的世界。探索冷戰後的世界。上海。
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