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題名:分量迴歸在報酬率和成交量關係的應用--以臺灣股匯市為例
書刊名:國立臺北商業技術學院學報
作者:莊家彰 引用關係
出版日期:2004
卷期:6
頁次:頁121-139
主題關鍵詞:分量迴歸簡單迴歸股票市場外匯市場
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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     本文擷取臺灣股市的每日收盤加權指數、成交量及匯市收盤價要成交量,以分量迴歸來估計報酬率的中位數、兩尾和成交量的關係,結果顯示:在臺灣的上市股市裡「價量齊揚」的效果比「價跌量縮」來得強。上櫃股市裡「價量齊揚」和「價跌量縮」的差距不像上市股市那麼大。在匯市裡,新臺幣升貶?和成交量對稱關係並對象簡單迴歸所推論的那麼完美,當匯市成交量逐漸擴大時,所對應新臺幣升貶值幅度呈現遞增的狀時。若比較簡單迴歸和中位數分量迴歸所估計報酬率與成交量的關係,則發現當報酬率為不偏分配時(如:上市及上櫃股市),簡單迴歸和中位數分量迴歸的估計結果是一伢的,而不對稱的報酬率分配(如:外匯市場),簡單迴歸和中位數分量迴歸的估計結果並一致,此時以不受極端?影響中位數分量迴歸估計的結果較具代表性,也比較符合樣本期間有大量淨外匯匯入使新臺幣升值的事實。
期刊論文
1.Kocagil, A. E.、Shachmurove, Y.(1998)。Retum-volume dynamics in futures markets。The Journal of Futures Markets,18(4),399-426。  new window
2.Koenker, R.、Machado, J. A. F.(1999)。Goodness of Fit and Related Inference Processes for Quantile Regression。Journal of the American Statistical Association,94(448),1296-1310。  new window
3.Suominen, M.(2001)。Trading volume and information revelation in stock markets。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,36(4),545-565。  new window
4.Barrodale, I.、Roberts, F. D. K.(1974)。Solution of an overdetermined system of equation in the l1 norm。Communications of the Association for Computing Machinery,17,319-320。  new window
5.Hunter, D.、Lange, K.(2000)。Quantile Regression via an MM Algorithm。Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics,9,60-77。  new window
6.Epps, Thomas W.(1975)。Security Price Changes and Transaction Volumes: Theory and Evidence。The American Economic Review,65(4),586-597。  new window
7.Koenker, Roger W.、D'Orey, Vasco(1987)。Algorithm AS 229: Computing Regression Quantiles。Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics),36(3),383-393。  new window
8.McCarthy, J.、Najand, M.(1993)。State Space Modeling of Price and Volume Dependence: Evidence from Currency Futures。Journal of Futures Markets,13,335-344。  new window
9.Jennings, R. H.、Starks, L. T.、Fellingham, J. C.(1981)。An Empirical Model of Asset Trading with Sequential Information Arrival。Journal of Finance,36,143-161。  new window
10.Koenker, Roger、Hallock, Kevin F.(2001)。Quantile Regression: An Introduction。Journal of Economic Perspectives,15(4),143-156。  new window
11.Copeland, T. E.(1976)。A model of asset trading under the assumption of sequential information arrival。Journal of Finance,31,1149-1168。  new window
12.Karpoff, Jonathan M.(1987)。The Relation between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A Survey。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,22(1),109-126。  new window
研究報告
1.Chernozhukov, V.、Hong, H.(2002)。A MCMC Approach to Classical Estimation。  new window
圖書
1.Johnson, N. L.、Kotz, S.、Balakrishnan, N.(1995)。Continuous Univariaye Distributions。New York, NY:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
其他
1.管中閔(2003)。分量迴歸模型(財務時間數列分析應用講習會),世新大學財務金融學系。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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