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題名:選民為什麼會支持黑金?一個理性交易的解釋
書刊名:選舉研究
作者:王鼎銘 引用關係
作者(外文):Wang, Ding-ming
出版日期:2004
卷期:11:1
頁次:頁99-126
主題關鍵詞:黑金議題投票隱含交易依附選擇變項CorruptionIssue votingImplicit tradingChoice specific variable
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:124
  • 點閱點閱:167
過去對於台灣黑金問題的研究,多著重於社會制度或歷史結構上的分析,本文則從選民的角度出發,以Barry S. Rundquist等人(1977)所提出的「隱含交易」(implicit trading)理論為基礎,以1996年國大代表的選舉為對象,應用條件式勝算對數模型(Condi-tional Logit),來解構台灣選民投票支持黑金政黨的原因。實證的結果發現,政黨涉及黑金的形象的確不利其吸納選票,但是政黨如果可以提出吸引選民的政見,黑金的負面影響可以獲得大幅改善。換句話說,選民會因為政黨提出他所偏好的政策理念,降低對政黨黑金的苛求,並進一步支持他所認為的黑金政黨。此外本文也發現,選民這種對黑金的刻意忽視,在考量他們本身的政黨認同等其他相關因素之後,愈形明顯。就各別政黨而言,相較於民進黨及新黨,國民黨的政策理念在當年選舉時對其支持度的影響最小,不過對國民黨而言,黑金形象對其選票的殺傷力也遠低於其他政黨。
Previous studies on the corruption have been focused on specific set-tings of the institutions and social structures. This paper, con the con-trary, emphasizes on the individual voters and is aimed to explain why do voters support for the corrupted parties. Based on the “implicit trading theory” proposed by Barry S. Rundquist et al. (1977), Conditional Logit analysis is estimated to understand the Taiwanese voting behavior. The result shows that the party’s corruption imagines has a negative effect to draw votes. While this negative effect can also be minimized if the party proposes the attractive policy platforms. That is to say, voters will com-promise to the corrupted parties for their policy preferences. As for the specific effect to each party, it is the KMT that the corruption imagines has the minimum influence, comparing to DPP and NP.
期刊論文
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2.Argersinger, Peter H.(1985-86)。New perspectives on election fraud in the gilded age。Political Science Quarterly,100(4),669-687。  new window
3.趙永茂(19960600)。臺灣地方派系的發展與政治民主化的關係。政治科學論叢,7,39-55。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.黃德福、劉華宗(19951100)。農會與地方政治:以臺中縣與高雄縣為例。選舉研究,2(2),63-82。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.吳重禮、嚴淑芬(20000300)。候選人賄選動機之分析。理論與政策,14(1)=53,1-21。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Álvarez, Michael R.、Nagler, Jonathan(1998)。When Politics and Models Collide: Estimating Models of Multiparty Elections。American Journal of Political Science,42(1),55-96。  new window
7.Welch, Susan、Hibbing, John R.(199702)。The Effects of Charges of Corruption on Voting Behavior in Congressional Elections, 1982-1990。Journal of Politics,59(1),226-239。  new window
8.陳明通(19990100)。地方派系、賄選風氣與選舉制度設計。國策專刊,7,12-13。  延伸查詢new window
9.王業立(19980500)。選舉、民主化與地方派系。選舉研究,5(1),77-94。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Nye, Joseph S. Jr.(1967)。Corruption and Political Development: A Cost-Benefit Analysis。American Political Science Review,61(2),412-427。  new window
11.王金壽(19971200)。國民黨候選人買票機器的建立與運作:一九九三年風芒縣長選舉的個案研究。臺灣政治學刊,2,3-62。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.張朋園(20010600)。國民黨控制下的國會選舉(1947-1948)。中央研究院近代史研究所集刊,35,145-195。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.王鼎銘(20030500)。政策認同下的投票效用與選擇:空間投票理論在不同選舉制度間的比較。選舉研究,10(1),171-206。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.何金銘(19950500)。賄選現象與賄選效果:高雄市二屆立委選舉的個案分析。政治科學論叢,6,109-144。new window  延伸查詢new window
15.王鼎銘(2001)。Implicit Trading or Material Inducement? Exploring the Bribery Effect in a Taiwan Election。民意研究季刊,216,66-89。  new window
16.Fackler, T.、Lin, Tse-min(1995)。Political Corruption and Presidential Elections, 1929-1992。Journal of Politics,57,971-993。  new window
17.Gist, G.、Gish, Genevieve B.(1961)。Progressive Reform in a Rural Community: The Adams County Vote-Fraud Case。Mississippi Valley Historical Review,48,60-78。  new window
18.Jenkins, J. A.、Sala, B. R.(1998)。The Spatial Theory of Voting and the Presidential Election of 1824。American Journal of Political Science,42,1157-1179。  new window
19.McCook, J. J.(1892)。The Alarming Proportion of Venal Voters。The Forum,14,1-13。  new window
20.Peters, J. G.、Welch, S.(1978)。Political Corruption in America: A Search for Definitions and a Theory。American Political Science Review,72,974-984。  new window
21.Peters, J. G.、Welch, S.(1980)。The Effects of Charges of Corruption on Voting Behavior in Congressional Elections。American Political Science Review,74,697-708。  new window
22.Reynolds, J.(1980)。The Silent Dollar': Vote Buying in New Jersey。New Jersey History,98,191-211。  new window
23.Rundquist, B. S.、Strom, G. S.、Peters, J. G.(1977)。Corrupt Politicians and Their Electoral Support: Some Experimental Observations。American Political Science Review,71,954-963。  new window
24.Speed, J. G.(1905)。The Purchases of Votes。Harper's Weekly,49,386-387。  new window
學位論文
1.王信實(1993)。臺灣地區期約式賄選行為之分析,沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
2.徐志瑩(1998)。期約式賄選下候選人最適行為之分析,沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Deleon, Peter(1993)。Thinking about Political Corruption。Armonk, New York:London, England:M.E. Sharpe, Inc.。  new window
2.Heidenheimer, Arnold J.、Johnston, Michael、Levine, Victor T.(1989)。Political Corruption: A Handbook。Transaction Publishers。  new window
3.Harris, J. P.(1934)。Election Administration in the United States。Washington, D. C.:Brookings Institute。  new window
4.Greene, William H.(1990)。Econometric Analysis。New York:Macmillan Publishing Company。  new window
5.Long, J. Scott(1997)。Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables。Sage Publications。  new window
6.Enelow, James M.、Hinich, Melvin J.(1984)。The Spatial Theory of Voting: An Introduction。Cambridge University Press。  new window
7.陳明通(1995)。派系政治與臺灣政治變遷。月旦出版社股份有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
8.Merrill, Samuel, III、Grofman, Bernard(1999)。A Unified Theory of Voting: Directional and Proximity Spatial Models。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
9.Allen, H. W.、Allen, K. W.(1981)。Vote Fraud and Data Validity。Analyzing Electoral History: A Guide to the Study of American Voting Behavior。Beverly Hills, CA。  new window
10.Benson, G. C. S.(1978)。Political Corruption in America。Political Corruption in America。Lexington, MA。  new window
11.Jensen, R.(1971)。The Winning of the Midwest: Social and Political Conflict, 1888-1896。The Winning of the Midwest: Social and Political Conflict, 1888-1896。Chicago, IL。  new window
 
 
 
 
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