| 期刊論文1. | Fuhrer. J. C.(1995)。The Phillips Curve is Alive and Well。New England Economic Review,1995(Mar.),41-56。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Hansen, B.(1970)。Excess Demand, Unemployment, Vacancies and Wages。Quarterly Journal of Economics,84(1),1-23。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Blanchard, O. J.、Diamond, P.(1989)。The Beveridge Curve。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,1,1-76。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Hodrick, R. J.、Prescott, E. C.(1997)。Post-war US business cycles: An empirical investigation。Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,29,1-16。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Barro, R. J.(1977)。Unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States。The American Economic Review,67(2),101-115。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Phillips, A. W.(1958)。The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861-1957。Economica,25(100),283-299。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Lilien, D. M.(1982)。Sectoral Shifts and Cyclical Unemployment。Journal of Political Economy,90(4),777-793。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Weiner, Stuart E.(1993)。New Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment。Economic Review of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas,78,53-69。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Tootell, Geoffrey M. B.(1994)。Restructuring, the NAIRU, and the Phillips Curve。New England Economic Review,1994(Sep./Oct.),31-44。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Motley, Brain。Has there been a Change in the Natural Rate of Unemployment?。Economic Review of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco,Winter(1),3-16。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Ooi, Soon-Huay、Groenewold, N.(1992)。The Causes of Unemployment in Australia 1986-1997。Australian Economic Papers,77,77-93。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Phelps, E. S.(1967)。Phillips Curve, Expectation of Inflation and Optimal Unemployment Over times。Econometrica,34,254-281。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Topel, Robert H.、Juhn, Chinhui、Murphy, Kevin M.(1991)。Why has the Natural Rate of Unemployment Increased Over time?。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,2,75-126。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | King, Robert G.、Stock, James H.、Watson, Mark W.(1995)。Temporal Instability of the Unemployment--Inflation Relationship。Economic Perspectives of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago,19(3),2-12。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Layard, R.、Nickell, S.(1985)。The Causes of British Unemployment。National Institute Economic Review,111,62-85。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Harper, I. R.(1980)。The Relationship Between Unemployment and Unfilled Vacancies in Australia: 1952-1978。Economic Record,56(154),231-243。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | Gruen, D.、Pagan, A.、Thompson, C.(1999)。The Phillips Curve in Australia。Journal of Monetary Economics,44,223-258。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | Groenewold, Nicolaas、Hagger, Alfred J.(2000)。The Natural Rate of Unemployment in Australia: Estimates from a Structural VAR。Australian Economic Papers,20,121-137。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | Groenewold, N.、Tang, S. H. K.(2002)。The Asian Financial Crisis and Natural Rate of Unemployment: Estimates from a Structure VAR for the Newly Industrializing Economics of Asia。Discussion paper--Department of Economics。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | Hall, Robert E.(1979)。A theory of the Natural Unemployment Rate and The Duration of Employment。Journal of Monetary Economics,5,153-169。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 21. | Gordon, Robert J.(1985)。The Natural Rate of Unemployment and the Growth of Potential Output in the 1980' s。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 22. | Gordon, Robert J.(1998)。Foundations of the Goldilocks Economy: Supply Shocks and the Time-Varying NAIRU。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,2,297-333。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 23. | Basdevant, Olivier(2003)。On Applications of State-space Modelling in Macroeconomics。Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Discussion Paper Series。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 24. | Blanchard, O. J.、Quah, D.(1989)。The Dynamic Effects of Demand and Supply Disturbances。American Economic Review,79,655-673。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 25. | Crosby, M.、Olekahns, N.(1998)。Inflation, Unemployment and the NAIRU in Australia。Australian Economic Review,31,117-129。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 26. | 林慈芳(20020600)。自然失業率之分析與對策。自由中國之工業,92(6),111-128。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 27. | 許永河(19981100)。臺灣地區自然失業率之估計。成功大學學報,33(人文.社會篇),125-158。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 28. | 張聖英(20020700)。臺灣地區失業率與經濟變遷之研析--除景氣走緩造成之循環性失業增加外,結構性失業亦逐漸浮現。主計月刊,559,102-113。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 29. | Barro, Robert J.(1978)。Unanticipated Money, Output, and the Price Level in the United States。Journal of Political Economy,86(4),549-580。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 研究報告1. | Staiger, D.、Stock, J. H.、Watson, M. W.(1996)。How Precise are Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment?。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | U. S. Congressional Budget Office(1987)。The Economic and Budget Outlook。Washington, D. C.。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | U. S. Congressional Budget Office(1994)。Reestimating the NAIRU, the Economic and Budget Outlook。Washington, D. C.。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Nishizaki, Fumihira(1997)。The NAIRU in Japan: Measurement and its Implications。Paris:OECD。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Gordon, Robert J.(1996)。The Time-Varying NAIRU and its Implications for Economic Policy。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Blanchard, Olivier、Katz, Lawrence F.(1996)。What We Know and Do Not Know about the Natural Rate of Unemployment。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Ball, Laurence、Mankiw, N. G.(2002)。The NAIRU in Theory and Practice。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | 吳中書、林金龍(2000)。臺灣潛在國內生產毛額的推估及其在政策上的應用。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | 陳仕偉(2001)。自然失業率的時序變動行為:臺灣的實證分析 (計畫編號:NSC90-2415-H-029-003)。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書1. | Layard, R.、Nickell, S.、Jackman, R.(1991)。Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market。Oxford University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Hamilton, J. D.(1994)。Time Series Analysis。Princeton, New Jersey:Princeton University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Harvey, Andrew C.(1989)。Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | 日本經濟企劃應調查局(2000)。政策效果分析報告。日本經濟企劃應調查局。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | U. S. Congressional Budget Office(2001)。CBO' s method for estimating potential Output: An update。Washington, D. C.。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | U. S. Congressional Budget Office(2002)。The Effect of Changes in Labor Markets on the Natural Rate of Unemployment。Washington, D. C.。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Rose, David E.(1998)。The NAIRU in Canada: Concepts, Determinates and Estimates。Bank of Canada。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Otoo, Maria Ward(19990700)。Temporary Employment and The Natural Rate of Unemployment。Washington, D. C.:Federal Reserve Board。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Greenslade, Jennifer V.、Pierse, Richard G.、Saleheen, Jumana(2003)。A Kalman filter approach to estimating the UK NAIRU。Bank of England。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Driver, Rebecca L.、Greenslade, Jennifer V.、Pierse, Richard G.。The Role of Expectations in Estimates of the NAIRU on the United States and the United Kingdom。Bank of England。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Estrade, Angel、Hernandez, Ignacio、L' opez-Salida, J. David(2000)。Measuring the NAIRU in the Spanish Economy。Banco de Espana。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Fahrer, Jerome、Pease, Andrew(1993)。The Unemployment/Vacancy Relationship in Australia。Reserve Bank of Australia。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | St. Aubyn, Miguel(2002)。Testing for Asymmetry in the Inflation-Unemployment Trade-Off: Some Evidence for the USA。Instituto Superior de Economia。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 單篇論文1. | Eisner, Robert(1995)。A New View of the NAIRU,Northwestern University。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書論文1. | Gordon, Robert J.(1982)。Inflation, Flexible Exchange Rates and the Natural Rate of Unemployment。Workers, Jobs and Inflation。Washington D. C.:The Brookings Institution。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Gordon, Robert J.(1990)。US Inflation, Labor' s Share, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment。Economics of Wage Determination。Berlin and:New York:Springer Verlag。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Barro, R. J.、Rush, M.(1980)。Unanticipated Money and Economic Activity。Rational Expectations and Economic Policy。Chicago, IL:University of Chicago for the National Bureau of Economic Research。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | |