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來源文獻資料
外文摘要
引文資料
題名:
The Perception of Threats and Pragmatic Policy Choice: A Survey of Public Opinion in Taiwan
書刊名:
Issues & Studies
作者:
王德育
作者(外文):
Wang, T. Y.
出版日期:
2005
卷期:
41:1
頁次:
頁87-111
主題關鍵詞:
Cross-Strait relations
;
Threat
;
Unification
;
Independence
;
Logit analysis
;
Survey
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(
2
) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:
2
共同引用:0
點閱:28
On the issue of unification vs. independence, the majority opinion in Taiwan is the maintenance of the status quo with divisions over the island’s long-term relations with China. Unlike those who are determined to pursue immediate unification or immediate independence, those who prefer the maintenance of the status quo are potentially flexible in their future decisions. Employing recently collected survey data, this study finds that the policy preferences of the island’s citizens are not just a function of primordial factors but are also conditional on their perceptions of threats, i.e., the likelihood of armed intervention by the United States on Taiwan’s behalf in a cross-Strait military conflict and a generally unfriendly Beijing policy toward Taiwan. These findings have important policy implications to all parties involved in the cross-Strait dispute, as citizens’ preferences concerning the island’s future status may be manipulated through various policy initiatives.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Gates, William R.、Terasawa, Katsuaki L.(199203)。Commitment, Threat Perceptions, and Expenditures in a Defense Alliance。International Studies Quarterly,36(1),101-118。
2.
Gordon, Carol、Arian, Asher(2001)。Threat and Decision Making。Journal of Conflict Resolution,45(2),196-215。
3.
Doty, Richard M.、Peterson, Bill E.、Winter, David G.(1991)。Threat and Authoritarianism in the United States, 1978-1987。Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,61(4),629-640。
4.
Copper, John F.(1997)。The Origins of Conflict Across the Taiwan Strait: The Problem of Differences in Perceptions。Journal of Contemporary China,6(15),199-227。
5.
Cohen, Raymond(1978)。Threat Perception in International Crisis。Political Science Quarterly,93(1),93-107。
6.
Gartner, Scott Sigmund、Regan, Patrick M.(1996)。Threat and Repression: The Non-Linear Relationship between Government and Opposition Violence。Journal of Peace Research,33(3),273-287。
7.
Fordham, Benjamin(1998)。The Politics of Threat Perception and the Use of Force: A Political Economy Model of U.S. Uses of Force, 1949-1994。International Studies Quarterly,42(3),567-590。
8.
McCann, Stewart J. H.(1997)。Threatening Times and the Election of Charismatic U.S. Presidents: With and Without FDR。The Journal of Psychology,131,393-400。
9.
State Council of the PRC(1993)。The Taiwan Question and Reunification of China。Beijing Review,36(36),1-8。
10.
Schafer, Mark(1999)。Cooperative and Conflictual Policy Preferences: The Effect of Identity, Security, and Image of the Other。Political Psychology,20(4),829-844。
11.
Sales, Stephen M.(1973)。Threat as a Factor in Authoritarianism: An Analysis of Archival Data。Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,28(1),44-57。
12.
Swaine, Michael D.(2004)。Trouble in Taiwan。Foreign Affairs,83(2),39-49。
13.
Roy, Denny(1994)。Hegemon on the Horizon? China's Threat to East Asian Security。International Security,19(1),149-168。
14.
Ho, Szu-yin、Liu, I-chou(2002)。The Taiwanese/Chinese Identity fo the Taiwan People in the 1990s。The American Asian Review,20(2),29-74。
15.
Christensen, Thomas J.(2002)。The Contemporary Security Dilemma: Deterring a Taiwan Conflict。The Washington Quarterly,25(4),7-21。
16.
Niou, Emerson M. S.(2004)。Understanding Taiwan Independence and Its Policy Implications。Asian Survey,44(4),555-567。
17.
Gallagher, Michael G.(1994)。China's Illusory Threat to the South China Sea。International Security,19(1),164-194。
圖書
1.
Hughes, Christopher(2002)。Taiwan and Chinese Nationalism: National Identity and Status in International Society。London:Routledge。
2.
Long, J. Scott、Freese, Jeremy(2003)。Regression Models for Categorical Dependent Variables Using STATA。College Station, Tex:STATA Corporation。
3.
Long, J. Scott(1997)。Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables。Sage Publications。
4.
Ryan, T. P.(1997)。Modern Regression Methods。New York:John Wiley and Sons。
5.
賴澤涵、馬若孟、魏萼(1991)。A Tragic Beginning: The Taiwan Uprising of February 28, 1947。Stanford, California:Hoover Institution, Stanford University Press。
6.
Schelling, Thomas C.(1966)。Arms and Influence。New Haven, CT:Yale University Press。
其他
1.
Powell, Colin L.(20041025)。Interview with Anthony Yuen of Phoenix TV,http://www.state.gov/secretary/rrn/37361pf.htm。
2.
Keith, Bradsher,Kahn, Joseph(20031206)。Running for Re-Election Taiwan Leader Takes on China,http://www.washingtonpost.com/。
3.
Federal Document Clearing House(20031209)。Bush, Wen Meet at the White House: Text of the Chinese and American Leaders' Comments,http://www.washingtonpost.com/。
4.
Kelly, James A.(20040421)。Overview of U.S. Policy toward Taiwan,Washington, D.C.:House International Relations Committee。,http://www.state.gov/p/eap/rls/rm/2004/31649pf.htm。
5.
Lin, Chieh-yu,Chu, Monique(20030528)。Chen Vows Tough Fight on WTO Name,http://www.taipeitimes.com/。
6.
(20020115)。New China-Taiwan Battle: 3 Words on Passports,http://www.nytimes.com。
7.
Tung, Chen-yuan(20030528)。China's New Thinking Dies Early,http://www.taipeitimes.com/。
8.
Taiwan Affairs Office and the Information Office of the State Council.(20000221)。The One-China Principle and the Taiwan Issue,http://www.peopledaily.com.cn。
9.
Powell, Colin L.(20041025)。Interview with Mike Chinoy of CNN International TV,Beijing。,http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/37366pf.htm。
圖書論文
1.
Huang, Chi。Dimensions of Taiwanese/Chinese Identity and National Identity in Taiwan: A Latent Class Analysis。Taiwan's National Identity and Democratization。Special Issue of the Journal of Asian and African Studies。
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