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題名:一九六○年代以來臺灣地區之氣溫變化與經濟發展的關係
書刊名:地理學報
作者:賴栗葦 引用關係姜善鑫 引用關係
作者(外文):Lay, Li-vaChiang, Shan-hsin
出版日期:2005
卷期:40
頁次:頁99-116
主題關鍵詞:氣溫變遷經濟發展臺灣Temperature changesEconomic developmentTaiwan
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:3
  • 點閱點閱:40
百年來全球大部分地區氣溫變遷的趨勢相當明顯。本文的目的在分析臺灣地區影響年平均溫度、年平均最高溫度、年平均最低溫度及年平圾日溫差的自然與人為因素,並找出各因子的重要性及影響力。本研究採積差相關法、複迴歸模型及時間度列迴歸模型分析1961年至2000年的氣溫與潛在影響氣溫因子的資料。分析結果顯示,影響臺灣地區氣溫變化的因素偏重於人為因素,各大都市氣溫變化和產業場所數相關明顯,屬氣候類型相似之大都市的年平均最高溫度及年平均最低溫變的趨勢不同,而且各大都市的氣溫變化和產業類別關係互異;這些結果均顯現出經濟發展可能會影響氣溫的變化。
In the past 100 years, the rates of temperature changes have been obvious in the world. The objective of this study was to analyze the natural and artificial factors that could potentially influence annual mean temperature, annual mean maximum temperature (T□), annual mean minimum temperature (T□) as well as annual mean diurnal temperature range in Taiwan and to know the importance and the contribution of these factors. The product-moment correlation, the multi-regression model and the time series regression model were used to analyze the temperature data and potential factors affecting temperature changes for the period form 1961 to 2000. the results indicated that the artificial factors influencing the temperature changes were more important than the natural ones. Furthermore, the temperature change in big cities were significantly correlated to the amount of industries. Finally, the rare of increase or decrease for T□ and T□ differed among big cities with similar climate conditions and the correlations between temperature changes and the amount of different industries also differed. Above all, the economic development may affect the temperature changes in urban areas.
期刊論文
1.賴栗葦、姜善鑫(20030600)。臺灣地區之降雨變遷研究。中華水土保持學報,34(2),161-170。  延伸查詢new window
2.賴栗葦(20010500)。以介入模式分析聖嬰、拉尼那現象對臺灣降水之影響。地理學報,29,93-106。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.賴栗葦、姜善鑫(20040100)。臺灣地區之氣溫變遷研究。中國地理學會會刊,33,1-20。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Agnew, M. D.、Palutikof, J. P.(1999)。The impacts of climate on retailing in the UK with particular reference to the anomalously hot summer of 1995。International Journal of Climatology,19,1493-1507。  new window
5.Subak, S.、Palutikof, J. P.、Agnew, M. D.、Watson, S. J.、Bentham, C. G.、Cannell, M.、Hulme, M. G. R.、McNally, S.、Thornes, J. E.、Waughray, D.、Woods, J. C.(2000)。The impact of the anomalous weather of 1995 on the U.K. economy。Climate Change,44,1-26。  new window
6.賴粟葦、姜善鑫(20040600)。臺灣地區月平均氣溫日較差趨勢分析。地理學報,36,101-116。new window  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.工業技術研究院能源與資源研究所(2000)。臺灣溫室氣體排放統計。  延伸查詢new window
2.內政部(2001)。中華民國臺閩地區人口統計。  延伸查詢new window
3.內政部營建署(2001)。營建統計年報。  延伸查詢new window
4.交通部統計處(2001)。中華民國交通統計要覽。  延伸查詢new window
5.交通部中央氣象局(2001)。中央氣象局氣候資料年報。  延伸查詢new window
6.行政院經濟建設委員會都市及住宅發展處(2001)。都市集區域發展統計彙編。  延伸查詢new window
7.行政院主計處(2001)。中華民國臺灣地區國民所得。  延伸查詢new window
8.行政院主計處(2001)。臺閩地區工商及服務業普查初步綜合報告。  延伸查詢new window
9.行政院環保署(2000)。各縣市排放量清單--行業類別統計。  延伸查詢new window
10.經濟部統計處(2001)。中華民國臺灣地區經濟統計年報。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Bowerman, B. L.、O'Connell, R. J.(1993)。Forecasting and Time Series。Belmont, CA:Duxbury Press。  new window
2.Faith, W. L.、Atkisson, Jr.、Arthur, A.(1972)。Air Pollution。New York:Wiley-Interscience。  new window
3.Haggett, Peter(2001)。Geography: A Global Synthesis。Harlow, Essex:Prentice Hall。  new window
4.Herber, D. E.、Myers, R. H.(1986)。Multiple Regression Analysis: Applications in the Health Sciences。New York:the American Institute of Physics。  new window
5.IPCC(2001)。Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report. A Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
6.Wesolowsky, G. O.(1976)。Multiple Regression and Analysis of Variance: An Introduction for Computer Users in Management and Economics。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
 
 
 
 
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