Forecasting Enrollments of Students by Using Fuzzy Time Series and Genetic Algorithms_

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題名：	Forecasting Enrollments of Students by Using Fuzzy Time Series and Genetic Algorithms
書刊名：	International Journal of Information and Management Sciences
作者：	Chen, Shyi-ming／Chung, Nien-yi
出版日期：	2006
卷期：	17:3
頁次：	頁1-17
主題關鍵詞：	Fuzzy time series；Genetic algorithms；Fuzzy logical relationship；Fuzzy logical relationship groups；Mean square error
原始連結：	連回原系統網址
相關次數：	被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0) 排除自我引用:1 共同引用:0 點閱:27

The definition of fuzzy time series was proposed by song and Chissom. They presented the time-invariant model and the time-variant model for dealing with forecasting problems. In recent years, many methods have been proposed to deal with forecasting problems using fuzzy time series. In this paper, we present a new method to deal with forecasting problems based on fuzzy time series and genetic algorithms. The proposed method adjusts the length of each interval in the universe of discourse for forecasting the enrollments of the University of Alabama. The experimental results show that the proposed method gets good forecasting results.

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期刊論文
1.	Hwang, J. R.、Chen, Shyi-Ming、Lee, Chia-Hoang(1998)。Handling forecasting problems using fuzzy time series。Fuzzy Sets and Systems，100(1-3)，217-228。
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會議論文
1.	Chung, N. Y.、Chen, S. M.(2002)。A New Method to Forecast Enrollments Based on Fuzzy Time Series and Genetic Algorithms。Hsinchu。
2.	Damousis, I. G.、Dokopoulos, P.(2001)。A Fuzzy Expert System for the Forecasting of Wind Speed and Power Generation in Wind Farms。Sydney, Australia。63-69。
3.	Muhammad, A.、King, G. A.(1997)。Foreign Exchange Market Forecasting Using Evolutionary Fuzzy Net-works。New York, NY。213-219。
4.	Park, S.、Lee-Kwang, H.(2001)。A Designing Method for Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems Using Genetic Algorithms。Vancouver, Canada。2567-2572。
5.	Ringwood, J. V.(1997)。Optimization of Fuzzy Electricity Forecasting Models Using Genetic Algorithms。Aachen, Germany。2457-2464。

圖書
1.	Holland, J. H.(1975)。Adaption in Natural and Artificial Systems。University of Michigan Press。
2.	Gen, M.、Cheng, R.(1997)。Genetic Algorithms and Engineering Design。New York：John Wiley & Sons。
3.	Davis, L. D.、Mitchell, M.(1991)。Handbook of Genetic Algorithms。New York：Van Nostrand Reinhold。
4.	Klir, George J.、Yuan, Bo(1995)。Fuzzy Sets and Fuzzy Logic: Theory and Applications。Prentice-Hall。
5.	Goldberg, D. E.(1989)。Genetic Algorithms in Search, Optimization and Machine Learning。Addison-Wesley Publishing Company Inc.。

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