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題名:人口老化與其變遷趨勢之探討
書刊名:臺灣老人保健學刊
作者:李宗派
作者(外文):Lee, Isaiah C.
出版日期:2006
卷期:2:1
頁次:頁1-32
主題關鍵詞:出生率生命預期死亡率老年依賴率老化人口Ageing populationElderly dependency rateFertility rateLife-expectancyMortality rate
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:35
本文之主要目的在探討全球人口老化趨勢與分析台灣人口老化所面臨之各種問題。要瞭解全球老化人口之趨勢,必須先分析開發國家與未開發國家地區之人口密度差別,各地區之人口爆發速度。蓋因世界人口將在2030年達到歷史上高峰,將有14兆(14 billion)之多,全球之出生率在1970年後開始下降減退。本文也要分析,「零人口成長」(Zero Population Growth)對於整個地球資源之分配影響,全球各地區之生命預期、死亡原因,全球各地區之人口年齡中數,以及老年與少年人口之比率等等主要人口特徵,才能透視全球老化人口之變遷趨勢與瞭解全球之社會資源、經濟生產,與生活資源之分配如何影響各地區之政治、經濟與社會問題。同時也可以觀察到人口數量之增減影響其年齡結構、性別、種族、與收入分配之變遷,這些人口特徵將會解釋為何全球各地與台灣之老化人口數目與比率增加之趨勢。
This paper intends to discuss the trends and characteristics of ageing population in the world and analyze the distribution of ageing population between the more-developed and the less-developed regions of the world. The first section presents the distribution of ageing population in the world and compare the fertility rate, mortality rate, median age, proportion of the young and the old, life-expectancy, population pyramids between the more-developed and the less-developed regions. The second section explores the trends of ageing population and the change of population structure in Taiwan. The factors of rapid increase in ageing population and the ageing speed are compared between the more-developed regions and Taiwan. The third section discusses the various social, economic, welfare, health care, and nursing care problems caused by the rapid ageing population. The conclusion recommends that professionals, scholars, governmental officers, and community leaders should take action in planning the effective national population policy, social security and pension policy, social welfare and health care policy as well as economic development policy to meet the challenges of "population explosion" in the near future.
期刊論文
1.Preston, Samuel H.、Himes, Christine、Eggers, Mitchell(198911)。Demographic Conditions Responsible for Population Aging。Demography,26(4),691-704。  new window
2.Eberstadt N.(1997)。World population implosion?。Public Interest,129,3-22。  new window
3.Kinsella K.、Victoria A.V.(2001)。An Aging World: 2001. U.S. Census Bureau, Series P95/01-1。  new window
4.Wolfgang, L.、Sanderson, W.、Scherbow, S.(20010802)。The end of world population growth。Nature,412,543-545。  new window
研究報告
1.行政院經濟建設委員會。行政院經濟建設委員會之統計資料。1997-2004。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.United Nations(2001)。World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision。New York:United Nations。  new window
2.Preston, Samuel H.、Heuveline, Patrick、Guillot, Michel(2001)。Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes。Oxford:Blackwell。  new window
3.De Grey, Aubrey D.N.、Gavrilov L.、Olshansky S.J.、Coles L.S.、Cutler R.G.、Fossel M.、Harman S.M.(200204)。Antiaging technology and pseudoscience。Science。  new window
4.Garvilov, L.A.、Heuveline, P.(2003)。Aging of Population。The Encyclopedia of Population. New York, Macmillan Reference USA,2003。  new window
5.Gavrilov L.A.、Natalia S.(1991)。The Biology of Life Span: A Quantitative Approach。NY, etc.:Harwood Academic Publication。  new window
6.National Institute on Aging(2006)。Aging World: The Case for Cross-National Research。Washington, DC.:National Academy Press。  new window
7.United Nations(2005)。Human Development Report 2005。Oxford:Oxford University Press。  new window
其他
1.工商時報之工商社論(20031230)。人口老化問題是未來執政者的最大考驗。  延伸查詢new window
2.新華網台北電台(20041229)。台灣進入高齡化的社會老人人數急速攀升 2004年12月29日。  延伸查詢new window
3.中國人口信息網(20060605)。台灣嬰兒出生率再創新低,估10年後現人口零成長 2006年6月5日。  延伸查詢new window
4.Administration on Aging(2001)。A Profile of Older Americans: 2001 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services。  new window
5.Ithaca College Gerontology Institute(2006)。The Changing World Population - Global History。  new window
6.Japan’s Aging Population。  new window
7.Texas Department on Aging。  new window
8.The Federal Reserve Board(20030227)。Aging global population-Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan. Before the Special Committee on Aging, U.S. Senate,Washington, DC.:U.S. Senate。  new window
9.U.S. Census Bureau。  new window
10.U.S. Census Bureau- World Population Information,http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/world.html.。  new window
11.United Nations(2003)。The Ageing of the World’s Population,United Nations Secretariat, New York:Population Division, Department of Economics and Social Affairs。  new window
12.United Nations(2006)。World Population Ageing 1950-2050,DESA, U.N. New York:Population Division。  new window
13.United Nations(2004)。World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision Population Database,Population Division。  new window
圖書論文
1.Weil, D. N.(1997)。The Economics of Population。Handbook of Population and Family Economics。New York:Elsevier。  new window
 
 
 
 
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