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題名:Optimal Asset Allocation with Extreme Returns and a VaR Constraint
書刊名:臺大管理論叢
作者:顏錫銘 引用關係李美杏
作者(外文):Yen, Simon H.Lee, Mei-hsing
出版日期:2007
卷期:17:2
頁次:頁41-68
主題關鍵詞:極值左偏肥尾Gram-Charlier expansionValue-at-risk based risk managementLeptokurtic asset returns
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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許多實證研究顯示資產報酬分配呈左偏和肥尾。本文探討當資產報酬分配呈左偏和肥尾時,對風險管理者資產配置之影響。Basak與Shapiro( 2001 )是首位將風險限制式(VaR)納入效用函數內,再極大化投資人之效用函數而求出最適資產配置。本文依據他們的方法,採用Gram-Charlier expansion描述資產報酬左偏和肥尾之特性,探討當資產報酬分配在非常態分配下,其資產配置的變化。對風險管理者而言,最重要的工作就是準確預測損失與發生損失的機率。瞭解資產報酬的型態將有助於準確的預測損失,我們無法降低損失,但可以降低發生損失的機率,本文建議可以降低α值(期末財富損失大於VaR之機率)來達成,而降低α值會使期末財富在好的狀態與壞的狀態的財富稍減。
This study investigates how deviations from normality affect asset choices made by risk managers. This study applies the Gram-Charlier expansion for negatively skewed and excess kurtosis. Following Basak and Shapiro (2001), this study examines how negatively skewed and excess kurtosis affects asset allocations when investors manage market-risk exposure using Value-at-Risk-based risk management (VaR-RM). It is important for risk managers to precisely forecast the loss. The analytical results imply that the impact of leptokurtic asset returns is based on the shape of asset returns, and a correct measurement of leptokurtic asset returns is helpful to risk managers seeking to precisely forecast the loss. A risk manager cannot reduce the loss in bad states, but can reduce the value of α, the probability that a loss exceeds VaR, and the agent will suffer from reduced terminal wealth in both the good and bad states.
期刊論文
1.Jondeau, E.、Rockinger, M.(2001)。Gram-Charlier densities。Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,25(10),1457-1483。  new window
2.Basak, S.、Shapiro, A.(2001)。Value at risk based risk management: Optimal policies and asset prices。Review of Financial Studies,14(2),371-405。  new window
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10.Su, Tie、Corrado, C. J.(1996)。S&P 500 Index Option Tests of Jarrow and Rudd's Approximate Option Valuation Formula。The Journal of Futures Markets,16(6),611-629。  new window
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12.Bidarkota, P. V.、McCulloch, J. H.(2003)。Consumption Asset Pricing with Stable Shocks - Exploring a Solution and Its Implications for Mean Equity Returns。Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,27(3),399-421。  new window
13.Corrado, C. J.、Su, T.(1997)。Implied Volatility Skews and Stock Index Skewness and Kurtosis Implied by S&P 500 Index Option Prices。The Journal of Derivatives,4(4),8-19。  new window
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15.Longstaff, F.(1995)。Option Pricing and the Martingale Restriction。The Review of Financial Studies,8(4),1091-1124。  new window
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17.Gallant, A. R.、Nychka, D. W.(1987)。Semi-nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation。Econometrica,55(2),363-390。  new window
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學位論文
1.Hales, S. J.(1997)。Valuation of Foreign Currency Options with the Paretian Stable Option Pricing Model,USA。  new window
圖書
1.Stulz, R. M.(2003)。Risk Management and Derivatives。Mason, OH:Thomson South-Western。  new window
2.Rachev, S. T.、Mittnik, S.(2000)。Stable Paretian Models in Finance。John Wiley and Sons。  new window
3.Samorodnitsky, G.、Taqqu, M. S.(1994)。Stable non-Gaussian random processes: Stochastic models with infinite variance。Chapman & Hall。  new window
4.Embrechts, P.、Kluppelberg, C.、Mikosch, T.(1997)。Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance。Berlin:Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg。  new window
5.Campbell, John Y.、Lo, Andrew W.-C.、MacKinlay, A. Craig(1997)。The Econometrics of Financial Markets。Princeton University Press。  new window
6.de Vries, Casper G.(1994)。Stylized Facts of Nominal Exchange Rate Returns。The Handbook of International Macroeconomics。Oxford, UK。  new window
 
 
 
 
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