:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:養殖土地利用變遷預測模式之建立個體施為取徑
書刊名:地理學報
作者:謝啟賢蔡博文 引用關係張康聰 引用關係
作者(外文):Hsieh, Chi-HsienTasi, Bor-WenChang, Kang-Tsung
出版日期:2007
卷期:47
頁次:頁1-18
主題關鍵詞:土地利用變遷個體施為驅動因子判別分析水產養殖Land use cover changeLUCCAgent-basedDriving forcesDiscriminant analysisAquaculture
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:50
  • 點閱點閱:25
土地利用變遷是人與環境互動展現在地表的結果,土地利用的分佈狀況表現出人類在其所居住土地的活動類型與決策行為。在地區尺度下,土地利用的型態受到自然環境、社會經濟面向因子…等等的影響,這些因子作用於土地決策者,再由決策者反映在土地利用的型態上。為了評估在地區尺度下各類土地利用驅動因子的影響力,並建構土地利用變遷預測模式,本研究以宜蘭水產養殖業為個家研究,間接剖析養殖者的決策,預測人的行為決策是否造成養殖的土地利用變遷,而非傳統研究透過土地分佈型態預測土地利用變遷。研究方法主要運用地理資訊系統與統計學的方法,GIS方法包括近鄰分析、環域分析等;統計方法包括卡方分析與t檢定來尋找造成養殖土地決策者棄養的驅動因子,並將找到的因子納入多變量的判別分析來建構棄養行為之預測模式,期望能將個體施為決策與各類驅動因子的互動關係以模式化的方式進行分析與討論。研究結果發現卡方分析與t檢定辨別出9個影響宜蘭地區養殖者棄養的可能因素;判別分析則顯葉棄養與否主要受到棄養經驗、自有資金、技術與距離道路的距離等4個因素的影響。在判別分析中,整體的預測結果達到89.1%的正確率,顯示透過養殖業者的屬性資料即可預測其行為決策的可能性,因此此種分析方法應用於土地利用變遷分析的效果是十分良好的。
Land-use/land-cover change (LUCC), the consequence of the interactions between humans and the environment, signifies the living pattern of human activities and the decision-making process involved in such activities. At the local level, land-use decisions are usually restricted and made by lands agents. To evaluate the effects of various land-use driving forces and to establish a predictive model for LUCC, this project used Ilan aquaculture as case study. For analysis of survey data, we employed chi-square test and t-test to find driving forces and discriminant analysis to establish a predictive model. The results of chi-square test and t-test showed significant differences in 9 variables, which were possible driving forces for the abandonment of aquaculture. These variables could distinguish abandoned farmer and unabandoned farmer efficiently. The results of discriminant analysis showed that factors determining whether land agents abandoned their aquaculture land or not could be divided into two different groups based on past abandonment experience, capital for the farming costs, willing to experiment with new farming technologies and distance to road. The model achieved a high accuracy rate, demonstrating that discriminant analysis is a useful tool for analyzing land use changes and the relationships between various LUCC driving forces.
期刊論文
1.Verburg, P. H.、Veldkamp, A.(2005)。Introduction to the special issue on spatial modeling to explore land use dynamics。International Journal of Geographical Information Science,19(2),99-102。  new window
2.Serneels, S.、Lambin, E. F.(2001)。Proximate Causes of Land-Use Change in Narok District, Kenya: A Spatial Statistical Model。Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment,85,65-81。  new window
3.楊萬全(19881200)。臺灣地區地盤下陷問題之探討。礦業技術,26(4),216-245。  延伸查詢new window
4.Geoghegan, J.、Wainger, L. A.、Bockstael, N. E.(1997)。Spatial landscape indices in a hedonic framework: an ecological economics analysis using GIS。Ecological Economics,23(3),251-264。  new window
5.張康聰、張長義、蔡博文(2001)。蘭陽平原養殖土地利用變遷分析。中國地理學會會刊,29,93-101。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Zoebisch, M. A.、Rasul, G.、Thapa, G. B.(2004)。Determinants of Land-use Changes in the Chittagong Hill Tracts of Bangladesh。Applied Geography,24,217-240。  new window
7.王柏山(1994)。宜蘭地區養殖行為影響因素之研究。中國地理學會會刊,22,35-56。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.王柏山(1992)。宜蘭地區養殖魚類組合區與區域特性。中國地理學會會刊,20,59-78。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.劉宗沂(1973)。臺灣水產養殖之發展-從地理觀點分析。臺灣銀行季刊,24(4),264-287。  延伸查詢new window
10.Overmars, K. P.、Verburg, P. H.(2005)。Analysis of Land Use Drivers at the Watershed and Household Level: Linking Two Paradigms at the Philippine Forest Fringe。International Journal of Geographical Information Science,19,125-152。  new window
11.Tsai, B.-W.、Chang, K.-T.、Chang, C.-Y.、Chu, J.-M.(2006)。Analyzing Spatial and Temporal Changes of Aquaculture in Yunlin County, Taiwan。The Professional Geographer,58(2),161-171。  new window
12.Ling, B.、Leung, P. S.、Shang, Y. C.(1999)。Comparing Asian Shrimp Farming: The Domestic Resource Cost Approach。Aquaculture,175,31-48。  new window
13.Verburg, P. H.、Schot, P.、Dijst, M.、Veldkamp, A.(2004)。Land Use Change Modelling: Current Practice and Research Priorities。GeoJournal,61,309-324。  new window
14.Turner, B. L., II(1994)。Local Faces, Global Flows: The Role of Land Use and Land Cover in Global Environmental Change。Land Degradation and Rehabilitation,5,71-78。  new window
15.Geoghegan, J.、Cortina, V. S.、Klepeis, P.、Macario, M. P.、Ogneva-Himmelberger, Y.、Chowdhury, R. R.、Turner, B. L., II、Vance, C.(2001)。Modeling Tropical Deforestation in the Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region: Comparing Survey and Satellite Data。Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment,82,25-46。  new window
16.Lee, W.、Chen, Y.、Lee, Y.、Liao, I. C.(2003)。The Competitiveness of the Eel Aquaculture in Taiwan, Japan, and China。Aquaculture,221,115-124。  new window
17.Köbrich, C.、Rehman, T.、Khan, M.(2003)。Typification of Farming Systems for Constructing Representative Farm Models: Two Illustrations of the Application of Multi-variate Analyses in Chile and Pakistan。Agricultural Systems,76,141-157。  new window
研究報告
1.Parker, D. C.、Berger, T.、Manson, S. M.(2001)。Agent-based Models of Land-use and Land-cover Change。0。  new window
2.Lesschen, J. P.、Verburg, P. H.、Staal, S. J.(2005)。Statistical Methods for Analysing the Spatial Dimension of Changes in Land Use and Farming Systems。0。  new window
學位論文
1.張曜麟(2005)。都市土地使用變遷之研究(博士論文)。國立成功大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.丁志堅(2002)。屏東平原土地利用變遷分析與模式建立(博士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.王柏山(1998)。臺灣水產養殖業之區域發展--型態、過程與機制(博士論文)。國立師範大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.陳鸞鳳(1982)。屏東縣沿海草蝦養殖業之地理研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
5.林祈萬(1989)。宜蘭地區草蝦養殖業的發展及其影響,0。  延伸查詢new window
6.江廲英(1991)。彰化縣沿海地區養殖漁業的發展過程,0。  延伸查詢new window
7.周文玲(1992)。宜蘭沿海養殖區環境災害識覺與調適行為之研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
8.魏君杰(1995)。農地變更使用影響因子之探討-崙背鄉之個案研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
9.蔡宗穎(2000)。水產養殖土地利用變遷之多變量預測模式建立-以屏東縣水產養殖用地為例,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.林師模、陳苑欽(2003)。多變量分析:管理上的應用。臺北:雙葉書廊。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.曾憲雄、蔡秀滿、蘇東興、曾秋蓉、王慶堯(2005)。資料探勘。臺北:旗標出版股份有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.Hair, J. F.、Anderson, R. E.、Tatham, R. L.、Black, W. C.(1995)。Multivariate data analysis with readings。Upper Saddler River, NJ:Prentice-Hall。  new window
4.陳順宇(1998)。多變量分析。臺南市:陳順宇發行 臺北市 : 華泰書局總經銷。  延伸查詢new window
5.黃俊英(2000)。多變量分析。台北:中國經濟企業研究所。  延伸查詢new window
6.Lambin, E. F.、Baulies, X.、Bockstael, N.、Fischer, G.、Krug, T.、Leemans, R.、Moran, E. F.、Rindfuss, R. R.、Sato, Y.、Skole, D.、Turner, B. L., II、Vogel, C.(2000)。Land-use and Land-cover Change (LUCC), Implementation Strategy。Land-use and Land-cover Change (LUCC), Implementation Strategy。Bonn, Germany/ Stockholm, Sweden。  new window
7.Rindfuss, R. R.、Walsh, S. J.、Mishra, V.、Fox, J.、Dolcemascolo, G. P.(2002)。Linking Household and Remotely Sensed Data: Methodological and Practical Problems。People and the Environment-approaches for Linking Household and Community Surveys to Remote Sensing and GIS。Boston, MA。  new window
8.Axinn, W. G.、Barber, J. S.(2002)。Linking People and Land Use: A Sociological Perspective。People and the Environment - Approaches for Linking Household and Community Surveys to Remote Sensing and GIS。Boston, MA。  new window
其他
1.(1953)。漁業年報,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
2.Ojima, D. S.,Moran, E.(2004)。Global Land Project: Draft Science Plan,0。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
:::
無相關書籍
 
無相關著作
 
無相關點閱
 
QR Code
QRCODE