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題名:選民投票的策略因素辨析:「杜瓦傑法則」及「策略投票」的再觀察
書刊名:黃埔學報
作者:林國棟
作者(外文):Lin, Kuo-tung
出版日期:2007
卷期:52(社會科學類)
頁次:頁65-84
主題關鍵詞:杜瓦傑法則單記不可讓渡制策略投票Duverger's lawSingle non-transferable voteSNTVStrategic voting
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:64
  • 點閱點閱:35
民主國家的選舉制度中,選民的政黨認同越強者,越可能進行策略性投票。選民在單一選區的策略投票為黨際間選票之轉移,在複數選區是黨內間之轉移。如果政黨提名多名候選人,政黨認同愈強者,全家越不可能投給同一候選人。不管是在那一種選舉制度之下,對選舉結果越關心者越可能從事策略性投票。觀察國內歷屆行政首長選舉的各政黨得票率之波動程度遠高於複數選區之選舉,不同選制的確造成選民策略投票上的差異。台灣自第七屆(2007)立委選制從廢除SNTV 改採「單一選區兩票制」,是不是會發展出兩黨體制?因此,「杜瓦傑法則」及「策略投票」是觀察台灣的策略投票行為的重要指標。
In the election system of the democratic nation, the political party approbation of the votes is more strong, may carry on a strategy vote more. Votes at single strategy vote of district constituency for the party Ji the ballot transfer, at the plural district constituency is a party inside it transfers. If the political party nominates several candidates, the political party approbation more strong, whole family the more impossible hurl give same candidate. Ignoring is under that election system, concerning more as a result to the election may work on a strategy vote more. Observe each political party of the domestic and successive administration chief election ticket the motion degree of the rate is far high in the election of the plural district constituency, the dissimilarity chooses the difference that system really causes the votes strategy vote. Does Taiwan choose system to change to adopt “single district constituency two ticket systems”, would develop two party systems from the abrogation SNTV from the seventh (2007) legislator? Therefore, “Duverger’s Law " and "strategic voting” is the important index sign of the strategy vote behavior that observes Taiwan.
期刊論文
1.吳文程(20010300)。Duverger's Hypothesis Revisited。東吳政治學報,12,41-73。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.田弘華、劉義周(20050600)。政黨合作與杜瓦傑法則:連宋配、國親合的賽局分析。臺灣政治學刊,9(1),3-37。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.許勝懋(20010500)。臺北市選民的分裂投票行為--一九九八年市長選舉分析。選舉研究,8(1),117-158。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Blais, Andre、Nadeau, Richard(1996)。Measuring Strategic Voting: A Two-Step Procedure。Electoral Studies,15(1),39-52。  new window
5.Cox, Gary W.、Niou, Emerson M. S.(1994)。Seat Bonuses Under the Single Nontransferable Vote System: Evidence From Japan and Taiwan。Comparative Politics,26(2),221-236。  new window
6.Niemi, Richard G.、Whitten, Gary、Franklin, Mark N.(1992)。Constituency Characteristics, Individual Characteristics and Tactical Voting in the 1987 British General Election。British Journal of Political Science,22(2),229-254。  new window
7.蘇彥圖(20020300)。「國會改選後的政府組成」系列研究(2)--臺灣憲政制度下的政府組成:兼論選後政局的因應之道。新世紀智庫論壇,17,83-100。  延伸查詢new window
8.徐永明(20010300)。九四、九八臺北雙城記:不確定中大眾選擇的分流點。東吳政治學報,12,75-112。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.黃秀端(20010900)。單一選區與複數選區相對多數制下的選民策略投票。東吳政治學報,13,37-75。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Cox, Gary W.、Munger, Michael(1989)。Closeness, Expenditures, and Turnout in the 1982 U. S. House Elections。American Political Science Review,83(1),217-231。  new window
11.Fey, Mark(1997)。Stability and Coordination in Duverger's Law: A Formal Model of Pre - election Polls and Strategic Voting。American Political Science Review,91(1),135-147。  new window
會議論文
1.洪永泰(2000)。政治版圖重組:2000年總統選舉的選後評估。2000年選舉研究學術研討會。臺北:國立政治大學選舉研究中心。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.彭懷恩、胡祖慶(198903)。進入政治學的世界。臺北:洞察出版社。  延伸查詢new window
2.Cox, Gary W.(1997)。Making Votes Count。Cambridge。  new window
3.王業立。比較選舉制度。台北:五南。  延伸查詢new window
4.雷競旋(1989)。選舉制度概論。臺北:洞察出版社。  延伸查詢new window
5.Rae, Douglas W.(1967)。The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws。New Haven:Yale University Press。  new window
6.Duverger, Maurice(1954)。Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern State。New York:John Wiley and Sons, Inc.。  new window
7.Downs, Anthony J.(1957)。An Economic Theory of Democracy。New York:Harper and Row。  new window
圖書論文
1.Riker, William H.(1986)。Duverger's Law Revisited。Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences。New York:Agathon Press, Inc.。  new window
2.Duverger, Maurice(1986)。Duverger's Law: Forty Years Later。Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences。New York:Agathon Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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