決策不確定之因應策略類型與選擇__臺灣人文及社會科學引文索引資料庫

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題名：	決策不確定之因應策略類型與選擇
書刊名：	中華心理學刊
作者：	劉世南／鄭中平
作者(外文)：	Liou, Shyhnan／Cheng, Chung-ping
出版日期：	2006
卷期：	48:3
頁次：	頁219-234
主題關鍵詞：	因應決策不確定策略；不確定概念；認知結構需求；達成認知結構需求能力；Strategies for coping with decisional uncertainty；Uncertainty conceptualization；Need for cognitive structuring；Ability to achieve cognitive structuring
原始連結：	連回原系統網址
相關次數：	被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0) 排除自我引用:1 共同引用:10 點閱:66

本研究旨在探討決策者如何因應決策過程中的不確定，主要議題在於確認真實生活中因應不確定的策略類型及使用時機。本研究首先整理過去文獻所提到關於因應不確定的策略，進而分析這些策略實際被使用的情況。接著，分析決策者理解不確定的概念（作業特性）及達成確定的認識需求和能力（個別差異），對因應策略類型的影響，進而建構五種策略使用選擇的權變模型。為了掌握實際決策的不確定因應行為，研究方法採自然研究分析480份真實決策事件，並以「認知結構需求」與「達成認知結構需求能力」分別測量決策者達成確定的認識需求和能力，組合成為四種認識類型。資料的分析採用對應分析，以處理不同不確定概念與認知類型，對應因應策略之列聯表資料。研究結果顯示實際因應策略(RAFWS)與理論處方(RQP)有不同的分類方式。而就因應策略的選擇權變機制，發現社會認知論最具預測力，亦即是決策者對於所理解不確定的概念及對於達成確定的認知需求決定因應策略的類型，而因應成效則受到符合認知需求類型的能力所調適。

以文找文

This study aimed at exploring how decision makers cope with uncertainty during decision making. We examined the patterns of coping strategies and the conditions to use those strategies in real-time. First, we reviewed and categorized varied types of coping strategies in the literature, and then examined how these prescriptive strategies are used in real life. To analyze individual difference in strategic preference, we examined different ways of uncertainty conceptualization, and ability and need for cognitive structuring. Drawing on those factors, we then constructed five contingent models of coping strategy selection. To examine how coping strategies in prescriptive theories are used in real life, we adopted naturalistic method by analyzing 480 decision making scenarios collected from participants' experience. We measured decision makers' ability and need for cognitive structuring, and divided them into 4 archetypes. We used corresponding analysis to study the systematic mapping among uncertainty conceptualization, ability and need for cognitive structuring, and patterns of selected strategies. The result indicates that those uncertainty coping strategies suggested by prescriptive theories are used unequally in real life. The result also supports that social cognition model, which includes individual's perception (uncertainty conceptualization) and motivated cognition (ability and need for cognitive structuring), is of best descriptive power.

以文找文

期刊論文
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會議論文
1.	劉世南、黃榮村(1997)。不確定感與不確定態度對決策選擇行為的影響及表現該效應之決策模型的建立。0。2，345-375。延伸查詢
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其他
1.	劉世南。不確定下的決策與選擇行為：從實驗經濟學到社會認知，0。延伸查詢

圖書論文
1.	Smith, C. A.、Lazarus, R. S.(1990)。Emotion and adaptation。Handbook of personality: theory and research。New York：The Guilford Press。
2.	March, James G.(1981)。Decisions in Organizations and Theories of Choice。Perspectives on Organization Design and Behavior。New York：Wiley。
3.	Simon, H. A.(1980)。Problem Solving and Education。Problem Solving and Education: Issues in Teaching and Research。Hillsdale, NJ：Lawrence Erlbarm Associates。

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