本研究的主要目的，是分析中華女籃的得失分與其預測變項的相關情形，並探討影響中華女籃得失分表現的因子。以參加2005年世界大學運動會中華女籃及其對戰的七場比賽隊伍為研究對象，並以其得分及失分為效標變項，以中華女籃及對戰隊伍的十三種技術表現為預測變項。使用皮爾生積差相關法分析中華女籃的得分、失分與其預測變項的相關情形，以遞減式複迴歸法預測中華女籃得分及失分表現。結果顯示：一、中華女籃的得分與其兩分球命中數、助攻數呈顯著正相關，與對隊的抄截數呈顯著負相關；中華女籃防守時的失分與對隊的兩分球命中數及助攻數呈顯著正相關，與對隊的失誤數及其本身所表現的防守籃板數及抄截數呈顯著負相關。二、中華女籃的兩分球投球數、三分球命中數、罰球命中數、進攻籃板數及對戰球隊的防守籃板數及阻攻數能有效預測中華女籃隊的得分；對戰球隊的兩分球命中數、三分球投球數、罰球命中數、進攻籃板數及中華女籃的犯規數及阻攻數能有效預測中華女籃的失分。結論：中華女籃要提高得分，必須發揮助攻與兩分球命中數，但須防範對隊的抄截。另外，中華女籃要減少失分，須降低對隊的助攻及兩分球命中數，並發揮本身防守籃板及抄截的防守優勢。

This study analyzed the relationship between scores and losing points with the forecast variables, and the factors affecting the Chinese Taipei Female Basketball Team's (CTFB) offense and defense. The CTFB team and seven teams of the 2005 World University Games were the subjects. The CTFB team's scores and losing points were used as dependent variable. The 13 technical performances of the CTFB team and those of its competitor were adopted as forecast variables. The Pearson product moment correlation was used to analyze the relationship between scores and losing points allowed of CTFB team with its achievement in forecasting the 13 variables in technical performance. The backward selection multiple regression was used to seek the best forecast variable combination to forecast that the CTFB team's scores and points allowed for the performance. The material test difference examination standard hypothesis was set at α=.05. The findings were, first, the CTFB team's scores had a positive correlation with 2-point attempts, assists but a negative correlation with competitor's steals. The CTFB team's losing points allowed had a positive correlation with competitor's two points made and assists while having a negative correlation with competitor's turnovers and the CTFB team's defensive rebounds and steals. Second, the CTFB team's 2-point attempts, three points made, free throws made, offensive rebounds, and competitor's defensive rebounds and blocked shots were effective in predicting the scores of the CTFB team. The competitors' two points made, three points attempted, free throws made, offensive rebounds along and the CTFB team's fouls and blocked shots were effective in forecasting the missing points of the CTFB team. This study is concluded that if the CTFB team intends to increase scoring in games, it will need to effectively use the following two elements: quickness and accuracy. But it must beware of the opponents' steals. Also, it intends to decrease the losing points, it will have to decrease two the quickness and accuracy of the opponents and use our defensive advantage of height and speed.