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題名：探索臺灣經濟邊緣化問題：國際總體經濟政策協作思維
書刊名：社會科學論叢
作者：葉國俊 引用關係／侯乃榕
作者(外文)：Yeh, Kuo-chun／Hou, Nai-rong
出版日期：2007
卷期：1:2
頁次：頁71-104
主題關鍵詞：臺灣經濟邊緣化；政策協調；總體賽局模擬；中國；日本；美國；Taiwan's marginalization；Policy coordination；Macroeconomic game；China；Japan；The United States
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:24
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臺灣經濟因參與國際組織失利與兩岸互動僵局，而存在被邊緣化的危險，已成各界討論焦點。本文研究目的，即在於考量中臺日美四國的互動關係之後，運用賽局只探討合作機制效率解，但不論及協商過程的研究方法，觀察在各種經濟衝擊下，臺灣若參與包含中國在內的各種經濟政策協作架構，是否能使我國經濟優於現狀。模擬結果顯示，目前中國未必能夠結合美日等國，使我國落入邊緣化險境中。惟臺灣的損失函數在某些合作賽局機制表現較佳，表未能參與區域經濟協作機制，對我總體經濟穩定確有負面影響。
Economic marginalization has been a main concern in Taiwan because of the country's imbalanced economic and political relations with China, and its failure to participate in important international organizations. In this paper we link the regional cooperative mechanism to economic marginalization, and establish a model to describe the relationship among China, Taiwan, Japan, and the United States. We analyze whether some possible coalitional options to help stabilize Taiwan's economy exists when it is confronted by a shock. The results are: (1) Taiwan should actively participate in regional cooperative organizations including China; (2) China is unable to ally with the United States or Japan to force Taiwan into the stress of marginalization.
期刊論文
1.吳明蕙(20031200)。大陸與香港簽署CEPA對兩岸三地經濟的影響。經濟研究，4，183-200。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Antkiewicz, Agata、Whalley, John(200510)。China’s New Regional Trade Agreements。The World Economy，28(10)，1539-1557。  new window
3.陳之華(20031200)。近十年臺海兩岸對東協貿易之比較研究。經濟研究，4，81-104。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Frankel, J. A.、Rose, A. K.(1998)。The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria。The Economic Journal，108(449)，1009-1025。  new window
5.葉國俊(20051200)。建立兩岸經濟合作機制是臺灣免於經濟邊緣化的唯一選擇? 一項總體經濟賽局模擬初評。經濟論文叢刊，33(4)，229-261。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Van Aarle, B.、Engwerda, J.、Plasmans, J.、Weeren, A.(2001)。Macroeconomic Policy Interaction under EMU: A Dynamic Game Approach。Open Economies Review，12(1)，29-60。  new window
7.Mundell, Robert.(2003)。Prospects for an Asian Currency Area。Journal of Asian Economics，14(1)，1-10。  new window
8.金秀琴(20031200)。東亞區域經濟整合之發展及對我國之影響。經濟研究，4，225-244。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Nash, John F. Jr.(1950)。The bargaining problem。Econometrica，18(2)，155-162。  new window
10.Obstfeld, Maurice、Rogoff, Kenneth(2002)。Global implications of self-oriented national monetary rules。The Quarterly Journal of Economics，117(2)，503-535。  new window
11.洪財隆(2004)。自由貿易協定的虛實與關鍵國家立場之分析：以東亞地區為例。臺經月刊，27(6)，31-39。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.孟岱爾Mundell Robert(2000)。新經濟下的貨幣區域與主要市場。商業現代化，40，26-28。  延伸查詢new window
13.van Aarle, Bas, Jacob Engwerda, and Josef Plasmans.(2002)。Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction in the EMU: A Dynamic Game Approach。Annals of Operations Research，109(1-4)，229-264。  new window
14.van Aarle, Bas, Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, Jacob Engwerda, and Josef Plasmans.(2004)。Policymakers’ Coalitions and Stabilization Policies in the EMU。Journal of Economics，82(1)，1-24。  new window
15.Corsetti, Giancarlo and Paolo Pesenti.(2001)。Welfare and Macroeconomic Interdependence。Quarterly Journal of Economics，116(2)，421-446。  new window
16.Engwerda, Jacob, Bas van Aarle, and Josef Plasmans.(1999)。The (In) finite Horizon Open-loop Nash LQ Game: An Application to the EMU。Annals of Operations Research，8(8)，251-273。  new window
17.Engwerda, Jacob, Bas van Aarle, and Josef Plasmans.(2002)。Cooperative and Non-cooperative Fiscal Stabilization Policies in the EMU。Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control，26(3)，451-481。  new window
18.Karras, Georgios.(2005)。Is There a Yen Optimum Currency Area? Evidence from 18 Asian and Pacific Economies。Japan and the World Economy，17(4)，456-469。  new window
19.McKinnon, Ronald I.(2004)。The East Asian Dollar Standard。China Economic Review，15(3)，325-330。  new window
20.Nash, John.(1953)。Two-person Cooperative Game。Econometrica，21(1)，128-140。  new window
21.Pappa, Evi.(2004)。Do the ECB and the Fed Really Need to Cooperate? Optimal Monetary Policy in a Two-country Word。Journal of Monetary Economics，51(4)，753-779。  new window
22.Razin, Assaf and Chi-wa Yuen.(2002)。The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Closed Economy vs. Open Economy。Economics Letters，75(1)，1-9。  new window
會議論文
1.Goldstein, Martin.(2004)。Adjusting China’s Exchange Rate Policies。Dalian。  new window
2.Gilbert, John, Robert Scollay, and Bijit Bora.(2001)。Assessing Regional Trading Arrangements in the Asia-Pacific。Bangkok。  new window
3.Mundell, Robert.(2003)。Renminbi Valuation and East Asian Currency Stability。Taipei。  new window
研究報告
1.Begg, David, Barry Eichengreen, Laurence Halpern, Jurgen von Hagen, and Charles Wyplosz.(2003)。Policy Paper 10: Sustainable Regimes of Capital Movements in Accession Countries。London。  new window
2.Mundell, Robert.(2000)。Currency Areas, Exchange Rate Systems and International Monetary Reform。  new window
圖書
1.顧瑩華、陳添枝、陳坤銘、連文榮、林祖嘉、李盈嬌、林家慶(2004)。亞太經濟整合對我國產業發展之影響評估。台北：經濟部工業局。  延伸查詢new window
2.McKinnon, Ronald.(2005)。Exchange Rates under the East Asian Dollar Standard: Living with Conflicted Virtue。Cambridge, MA：The MIT Press。  new window
3.World Bank(1993)。Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries。Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries。Washington：The World Bank。  new window
4.Childers, Joseph and Gary Hentzi, eds.(1995)。The Columbia Dictionary of Modern Literacy and Cultural Criticism。The Columbia Dictionary of Modern Literacy and Cultural Criticism。New York, NY：Columbia University Press。  new window
5.Buiter, Willem H.、Marston, Richard C.(1985)。International Economic Policy Coordination。Cambridge：Cambridge University Press。  new window
6.Lardy, Nicholas R.、Rosen, Daniel H.(2004)。Prospects for a US-Taiwan Free Trade Agreement。Washington, DC：Institute for International Economics。  new window
7.詹滿容、洪財隆、郭迺鋒、劉玉皙、吳德鳳(2004)。我國因應中國大陸與東協建立自由貿易區之研究。台北：行政院研考會。  延伸查詢new window
8.Petit, Maria Luisa(1990)。Control Theory and Dynamic Games in Economic Policy Analysis。Cambridge：Cambridge University Press。  new window
9.王儷容與吳秀玲(2000)。亞太地區金融合作暨貨幣聯盟架構之探討。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
10.杜震華(2003)。出口依賴國大陸會讓臺灣邊綠化嗎。臺北。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.De Grauwe, Paul.(2003)。Economics of Monetary Union, 5th ed.。New York。  new window
12.Plasmans, Josef, Jacob Engwerda, Bas van Aarle, G. iovanni Di Bartolomeo, and Tomasz Michalak.(2006)。Dynamic Modeling of Monetary and Fiscal Cooperation among Nations。New York。  new window
13.Wyplosz, Charles.(2004)。“Regional Exchange Rate Arrangements: Lessons from Europe for East Asia,”。Monetary and Financial Integration in East Asia: The Way Ahead。Palgrave。  new window
其他
1.American Chamber of Commerce.(2004)。Taiwan White Paper，Taipei。  new window
2.American Chamber of Commerce.(2005)。Taiwan White Paper，Taipei。  new window
 
 
 
 
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