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題名:The Relationship between Returns and Trading Volume: Preliminary Evidence Concerning Taiwan Index Futures Contracts
書刊名:Asia Pacific Management Review
作者:Hsiao, Jung-lieh
出版日期:2004
卷期:9:4
頁次:頁709-727
主題關鍵詞:Causal relationshipZero unconditional covarianceZero conditional covariance
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:7
  • 點閱點閱:46
This paper examines the causal relationship between returns and volume for four Taiwanrelated futures contracts and the co-movement between returns and volume. The findings were as follows: First, past returns could predict the volume for the SIMEX-TW contract; however, a significant lagged volume Granger-caused returns for TF contracts. Second, regarding trading period returns and volume, it was found that volume could be used to forecast returns for TE contracts. There exists a feedback relationship for TF contracts. Third, the study found evidence of significant transitory and permanent covariances except in the case of TX contracts when the close-to-close returns were considered. Fourth, results concerning the covariance between day-time returns and volume corresponded to rejection of the null hypotheses of a zero unconditional covariance (ZUC) and a zero conditional covariance (ZCC); but only in the case of the TE contracts did the author find evidence of ZUC.
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