| 期刊論文1. | Saul, Peter(20060200)。Seeing the Future in Weak Signals。Journal of Futures Studies,10:3,頁93-102。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Snowden, D.(2002)。Complex acts of knowing: paradox and descriptive self-awareness。Journal of Knowledge Management,6(2),100-111。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Schultz, Wendy L.(2006)。The cultural contradictions of managing change: using horizon scanning in an evidence-based policy context。Foresight,8(4),3-12。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Barsh, Joanna(2008)。Innovative management: A conversation with Gary Hamel and Lowell Bryan。McKinsey Quarterly,1,31。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Curry, Andrew(2000)。Learning the lessons of videoway: The corporate economy of new media trials。The Information Society,16(14),311-318。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Dator, Jim(1999)。From tsunamis to long waves and back again。Futures,31(1)。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書1. | MacKenzie, D.、Wajcman, J.(1985)。The Social Shaping of Technology。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Schön, D.(1973)。Beyond the Stable State。Beyond the Stable State。Harmondsworth, UK:Random House。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Elise Boulding、Polak, Frederik L.(1973)。The image of the future。San Francisco:Elsevier Scientific。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Modis, Theodore(1998)。Conquering uncertainty。New York:McGraw-Hill/ Business Week。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Schwartz, P.(1996)。The Art of the Long View: Planning for the future in an Uncertain World。New York:Doubleday。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Christensen, Clayton M.(1997)。The Innovator's Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail。Harvard Business School Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Baghai, Mehrdad、Coley, Stephen、White, David(1999)。The alchemy of growth。New York。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Bijker, Wiebe(1997)。Of bicycles, bakelites, and bulbs。Cambridge, MA。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Brand, Stewart(1999)。The clock of the long now。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Chicoine-Piper, Gary、Chicoine-Piper, Nela、Hodgson, Anthony(1997)。Scenario thinking: How to navigate the uncertainties of unknown futures。Pitlochry。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Curry, Andrew、Kelnar, Rachel(2004)。Fat is a strategic issue。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Curry, Andrew, et al.(2006)。Intelligent infrastructure systems: The scenarios - towards 2055。\url\http://www.foresight.gov.uk/Previous_Projects/Intelligent_Infrastructure_Systems/Reports_and_Publications/Intelligent_Infrastructure_Futures/Index.html $d20080418。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Emery, Fred、Trist, Eric(1969)。Socio-technical systems。Systems thinking \\ Emery, Fred (Ed.)。Harmondsworth, UK。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Emery, Fred、Trist, Eric(1965)。The causal texture of organisational environments。Systems thinking \\ Emery, Fred (Ed.)。Harmondsworth, UK。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Hampden-Turner, Charles(1990)。Charting the corporate mind。Oxford。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Hodgson, Anthony、Sharpe, Bill(2007)。Deepening futures with system structure。Scenarios for success \\ Sharpe, Bill ; Heijden, Kees van der (Eds.)。Chichester, UK。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | Homer-Dixon, Thomas(2000)。The ingenuity gap。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | Jungk, Robert、Mullert, Norbert(1996)。Future workshops。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | Kahane, Adam(2004)。Solving tough problems。San Francisco。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | Katz, Daniel、Kahn, Robert L.(1969)。Common characteristics of open systems。Systems thinking \\ Emery, Frederick (Ed.)。Harmondsworth, UK。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 21. | Kuhn, Thomas S.(2000)。Reflections on my critics: The road since structure。Chicago。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 22. | McNichol, Tom(2006)。AC/DC。Chichester, UK。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 23. | Moore, Geoffrey(1998)。Crossing the chasm。Oxford。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 24. | Sharpe, Bill、Hodgson, Anthony(2006)。Technology forward look。\url\http://www.foresight.gov.uk/Previous_Projects/Intelligent_Infrastructure_Systems/Reports_and_Publications/Intelligent_Infrastructure_Futures/Index.html $d20080229。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 25. | Slaughter, Richard(2004)。Futures beyond dystopia。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 26. | Winstanley, Gerrard(1986)。A new year's gift for the parliament and the armie。Divine right and democracy \\ Wooton, David (Ed.)。London。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 其他1. | Sharpe, Bill,Hodgson, Anthony,Page, Ian(2006)。IFF energy security and climate change。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書論文1. | Inayatullah, Sohail(2004)。Causal layered analysis: Theory, historical context, and case studies。The causal layered analysis reader。Taipei,Taiwan:Tamkang University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | |