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題名:The Structural Change of Stock Returns and Volatility Subsequent to the Deregulation for Foreign Investement in Taiwan Markets
書刊名:交大管理學報
作者:蔡璧徽 引用關係
作者(外文):Tsai, Bi-huei
出版日期:2009
卷期:29:1
頁次:頁175-208
主題關鍵詞:動能假說資訊效果假說GARCH模型結構性變遷買賣超機構投資Buy-sell differenceStructural changeCARCH modelInstitutional investorsMomentum hypothesisInformation effect hypothesis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:21
過去文獻鮮少探討開放外資投資限制之後,外資的行為對股市的增額影響。本文採用結構性變遷的GARCH模型捕捉民國九十二台灣全面開放外資前復,台灣股市報酬率與波動性的轉變,本研究主題為:一、政府開放外資後,外資買(賣)超對台灣股票報酬率的影響是否產生結構性變化。二、比較政府開放外資前後,台灣股市波動性的差異。三、針對外國證券投資與外國直接投資比重高的公司,探討政府全面開放外資投資後,該公司外資買(賣)超對其報酬率或波動性的影響,並和其他外資投資比重低的公司加以分析比較差異之處。本研究中模型配適度的檢定證實結構性變遷GARCH模型的解釋能力較傳統模型為佳,該結構性變遷模型實證結果顯示外資買賣超影響台灣股市報酬率,而在政府全面放寬外資管制之後,外資交易行為對股市報酬率影響程度呈現結構性下降的趨勢;研究結果隱含台灣投資人會參酌外資的投資策略作投資,而當台灣證券市場投資環境更為開放時,外資進入台灣股市交易頻繁,外資買賣行為對投資大眾指標意義下降,故外資交易行為對台灣股市邊際影響力因而隨之縮小。尤其,外人證券投資與外人直接投資比重高的股票群組股價波動性隨著放寬外資限制制度而顯著縮小,本研究結果隱含開放外資來台從事證券投資可穩定台灣證券交易市場,由於新興國家(例如中國大陸)仍管制外國人到其資本市場從事外人證券投資,該實證研究可作為這些政府開放證券市場的政策參考。
期刊論文
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20.Hong, Harrison、Stein, Jeremy C.(1999)。A Unified Theory of Underreaction, Momentum Trading, and Overreacton in Asset Markets。Journal of Finance,54(6),2143-2184。  new window
21.Bailey, W.、Chung, Y. P.、Kang, J. K.(1999)。Foreign Ownership Restrictions and Equity Price Premiums: What Drives the Demand for Cross-border Investments?。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,34(4),489-511。  new window
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學位論文
1.Chang, H. Y.(1999)。The Impact of Foreign Ownership on MSCI stock Returns and Volatility。  new window
2.Ou, Y.-L.(1994)。The Effect of Foreign Capital on the Volatility of the Stock Market。  new window
3.Wu, B. F.(2005)。The Effect Caused by Foreign Investors' Trading on the return and Fluctuation of Taiwan Stock Market。  new window
圖書論文
1.Froot, K. A.、Rogoff, K.(1995)。Perspectives on PPP and Long-run Real Exchange Rates。Handbook of International Economics。Amsterdam:North-Holland。  new window
 
 
 
 
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