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題名:我國入會後農產品進口衝擊之模擬分析
書刊名:華人前瞻研究
作者:黃智輝廖芳心黃孟瑩
作者(外文):Huang, Chi-hueiLao, Fan-shinHuang, Meng-ying
出版日期:2008
卷期:4:1
頁次:頁37-54
主題關鍵詞:特別防衛措施COMPAS模型關稅配額Special safeguardCOMPAS modelTariff rate quotaTRQ
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 共同引用共同引用:45
  • 點閱點閱:28
加入WTO後,我國必須履行WTO協商之承諾,調降各類產品之進口關稅,取消各類進口管制、削減境內補貼等貿易保護措施,國內農產品在未來勢必面對低價進口品的衝擊影響,如何在短時間內快速評估產業損失,值得相關政府單位多加重視。臺灣目前並無農產品貿易救濟案例,為避免國外農產品大量進口,影響我農民權益,本研究以紅豆、椰子、梨子、香菇、乾金針之農產品於實施關稅配額及特別防衛進口制度作為研究對象,並蒐集其產業及國內市場狀況之相關資料,加以研析,利用COMPAS模型預測在取消紅豆、椰子、梨子、香菇、乾金針之相關係護措施後所可能帶來之衝擊影響,結果發現一旦政府相關保護措施的取消,農產品之價格、產出帶來大幅度的負面影響。但對總體經濟淨福利仍有正面效果。本研究結果可提供我國目前正在實施之23項關稅配額(Tariff Rate Quota, TRQ),其中更有15項可以實施特別防衛措施(Special Safeguard; SSG)之產品推估其成本與收益及損害衡量之參考指標,作為政府部門事先預為輔導開放及彌補損害之依據。
Taiwan is a nation of small fanning system, and for a long time the agriculture sector has been protected by the government's protective policies such as high customs duties, quotas, and subsidies. After joining WTO, however, our nation must commit to the terms specified by WTO, including lowering duties for imported products, lifting import restrictions, and reducing subsidies which are primarily focused on agricultural products. Taiwan's agricultural products will meet the impacts from cheaper imports in the future, and the authority needs to determine a way to quickly assess the industrial losses within a very short period of time. In this study, we use the Commerce Policy Analysis System (or "COMPAS" for short) developed by the International Trade Commission of the U.S. to assess the industrial losses seen in agricultural products and the impact on the industry if the needed tariff quota policies or SSG (Special Safeguard) for certain agricultural products are lifted. In order to prevent Taiwan's farmers from being affected by massive imported agricultural products, tariff rate quota and SSG on adzuki beans, coconuts, pears, shiitake, dry lily flower are selected as the research subject. We have also collected the related data on this industry and Taiwan's market for further analysis. COMPAS was used to estimate the possible impacts once the protective measures are lifted, and we have determined that once the government lifts the relevant measures, there will be drastic, negative influences on adzuki beans, coconuts, pears, shiitake, dry lily flower price and output, but there are still have positive influence on net economic welfare effect in all. The results of our study serve as references for the 23 tariff rare quotas that Taiwan is practicing, and 15 of them can serve as the references for determining the cost, benefits, and loses of products under SSG, allowing the government to provide needed support and compensations for the possible losses in advance.
期刊論文
1.黃智輝、廖芳心(20070300)。世界貿易組織衝擊與我國農產品救濟措施之研究。臺灣銀行季刊,58(1),204-227。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.黃智輝(1984)。台灣工業發展策略與貿易型態之轉變。台灣銀行台灣經濟研究論叢,120。  延伸查詢new window
3.邱照仁(19970500)。Compas Methodology在產業損害認定上之運用。貿易調查專刊,2,195-212。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.黃智輝(20000100)。反傾銷稅的經濟福利效益分析。臺灣經濟金融月刊,36(1)=420,66-83。  延伸查詢new window
5.黃智輝(20031200)。反傾銷案件產業損害調查經濟效益實證分析--我國案例探討。臺灣銀行季刊,54(4),216-248。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.黃智輝(20060600)。臺灣農產品救助政策與進品救濟制度運用之效益分析。農業經濟叢刊,11(2),309-340。new window  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.吳再益、賴英崑(1996)。美國實施反傾銷稅暨平衡稅經濟效益分析之研究。台北。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.林柏生、陳坤銘、洪德欽(2002)。反傾銷制度與產業保護效果--台灣個案研究。台北。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.王鳳生(1999)。進口救濟制度對產業結構調整之研究--多部門一般均衡模型。  延伸查詢new window
4.左峻德(1998)。課徵反傾銷稅對產業影響之研究。台北。  延伸查詢new window
5.李淑媛、張静貞(2007)。研析特定農產品停止適用特別防衛或關稅配額之預期效果。  延伸查詢new window
6.徐世勳(2004)。產業損害預警模型--提昇總體性警訊預測成效。台灣大學農業經濟研究所。  延伸查詢new window
7.杜巧霞(2002)。產業損害預警模型之研究--產業損害預警模型之持續及更新。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.李淑媛(2006)。反傾銷案件產業損害認定經濟分析模型之研究-台灣型鋼產業之應用(博士論文)。國立臺灣大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.林大侯(1976)。個體經濟學。台北:天一圖書公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.黃智輝(2004)。世界貿易組織與進口救濟。台北:天一圖書公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.沈筱玲(1999)。反傾銷措施裁定效應之分析--以本土個案為例。台北:天一圖書公司。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.張靜貞(2007)。WTO農業談判與農產品進口損害救助制度(經濟部貿易調查委員會貿易救濟業界意見交流公聽會)。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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