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題名:Do the Chinese Bourses (Stock Markets) Predict Economic Growth?
書刊名:International Journal of Business and Economics
作者:Jarrett, Jeffrey E.Pan, XiaChen, Shaw
出版日期:2009
卷期:8:3
頁次:頁201-211
主題關鍵詞:Granger causalityGeweke linear dependenceLikelihood ratio testsVector autoregression
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:10
Abstract We study the relationship between the Chinese macroeconomy and the Chinese stock markets, i.e., the bourses in Shanghai and Shenzhen. With this goal, we utilize multiple Granger causality and Geweke linear dependence and examine likelihood ratio statistics between two sectors of the Chinese economy: the Chinese economic prosperity score (EPS)—and its departure from a "healthy level" (EPS-D)—and composite indexes for Chinese securities markets—Shanghai composite (SH) and Shenzhen composite (SZ). The data cover nine years. The authors found no evidence that SH and SZ Granger cause economic prosperity. The evidence supports the notions that Chinese stock markets respond greater to changes in EPS-D than to EPS and that the SZ is more sensitive to changes in the economy than the SH.
期刊論文
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會議論文
1.Barnett, W. A.、Geweke, J.、Shell, K.(1989)。Economic Complexity: Chaos, Sunspots, Bubbles, and Nonlinearity。England。  new window
圖書
1.Thomas, William Arthur(2001)。Western Capitalism in China: A History of the Shanghai Stock Exchange。Aldershot。  new window
2.Chan, N. H.(2002)。Time Series: Applications to Finance。New York, NY。  new window
3.O'Donovan, T. M.(1983)。Short Term Forecasting: Introduction to the Box-Jenkins Approach。Chichester。  new window
4.Zhong, R, S.、Gu, L.、Lui, C. B.(1999)。The Empirical Statistical Analysis of Chinese Stock Markets。Beijing。  new window
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7.Su, D.(1998)。The Behavior of Chinese Stock Markets。Emerging Capital Markets。Westport CT。  new window
 
 
 
 
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