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題名：在動態調整下重新驗證資訊科技生產力逆說
書刊名：經濟論文叢刊
作者：蔡蕙安 引用關係／楊佳勳
作者(外文)：Tsai, Diana H. A.／Yang, J. S.
出版日期：2009
卷期：37:4
頁次：頁455-481
主題關鍵詞：自動化科技；資訊科技；擴散效果；動態調整；產業動態模型；臺灣製造業；Automation information communication technology；AICT；Information communication technology；ICT；Diffusion effect；Dynamic adjustment；Industry dynamic model
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:10
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本文加入動態調整的考量重新驗證90年代之生產力逆說，探討各製造業採用資訊科技所產生之動態調整與生產力成長。本文應用動態的要素需求模型，假設產業以極小化預期未來生產成本貼現值爲目標，考慮準固定要素的落後生產效果，及自動化科技在生產過程之調整效果。在變數設定方面，將勞動與準固定要素劃分爲一般勞動、自動化相關勞動及一般資本、自動化資本。實證結果推翻生產力逆說，並得出高科技產業比較於傳統產業，能以較低調整成本、較快速調整速度達到長期均衡，顯示台灣高科技廠商之投資決策較佳。再者，高科技產業由於使用自動化科技的層面較廣，因此在自動化科技的產出貢獻就比傳統產業大；而自動化勞動在生產力上又比自動化資本來的高，這表示相關人員的訓練比不斷投資自動化資本來的重要。
This paper reconsiders the 1990s productivity paradox for information communication technology (ICT), controlling for industry heterogeneity, endogeneity of ICT investments, and associated dynamic adjustments. We apply a dynamic factor demand model that assumes each firm derives an optimal plan such that the expected present value of current and future cost streams is minimized. Labor inputs are divided into ICT labor and non-ICT labor; and capital inputs are divided into automation capital and physical capital. The empirical evidence shows the followings. First, the adjustment speed of quasi-fixed inputs-ICTs and physical capital-are relatively faster in high-technology industries compared to other industries, showing Taiwan's high-technology industries may have performed better in facing environmental shocks. Second, the contribution of ICTs to high-technology industries is more significant than to traditional industries due to wide uses of the ICTs. Third, the productivity of automation labor is higher than ICT capital, indicating that the investment in ICT capital should be accompanied by automation personnel training.
期刊論文
1.Dedrick, J.、Gurbaxani, V.、Kraemer, K. L.(2003)。Information Technology and Economic Performance: A Critical Review of the Empirical Evidence。Computing Surveys，35(1)，1-28。  new window
2.Oliner, S. D.、Sichel, D. E.(2000)。The resurgence of growth in the late 1990s: Is information technology the story?。Journal of Economic Perspective，14(4)，3-22。  new window
3.Stratopoulos, T.、Etehning, B.(2000)。Does Successful Investment in Information Technology Solve the Productivity Paradox?。Information & Management，38(2)，103-117。  new window
4.Brynjolfsson, Erik(1993)。The Productivity Paradox of Information Technology。Communications of the ACM，36(12)，67-77。  new window
5.Barua, A.、Kriebel, C. H.、Mukhopadhyay, T.(1995)。Information Technologies and Business Value: An Analytical and Empirical Investigation。Information Systems Research，6(1)，3-23。  new window
6.Weill, Peter(1992)。The Relationship between Investment in Information Technology and Firm Performance: A Study of the Value Manufacturing Sector。Information System Research，3(4)，307-333。  new window
7.Brynjolfsson, Erik、Hitt, Lorinl M.(1996)。Paradox Lost? Firm-Level Evidence on the Returns to Information Systems Spending。Management Science，42(4)，541-558。  new window
8.蔡蕙安、陳致綱(20020600)。研究發展外溢效果對廠商成本結構之影響--臺灣高科技產業之實證分析。經濟論文叢刊，30(2)，175-204。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Brynjolfsson, Erik、Hitt, Lorin M.(2000)。Beyond Computation: Information Technology, Organizational Transformation and Business Performance。The Journal of Economic Perspectives，14(4)，23-48。  new window
10.蔡蕙安(1999)。靜態與非靜態預期下產業動態模型之研究：以臺灣電信業為例。亞太經濟管理評論，3(1)，21-40。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Baily, Martin N.、Gordon, Robert J.(1998)。The Productivity Slowdown, Measurement Issues, and the Explosion of Computer Power。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity，1988(2)，347-420。  new window
12.Berndt, Ernst R.、Morrison, Catherine J.(1995)。High-tech Capital Fotmation and Economic Performance in U.S. Manufacturing Industries: An Exploratory Analysis。Journal of Econometrics，65(1)，9-43。  new window
13.Creti, Anna(2001)。Network Technologies, Communication Externalities and Total Factor Productivity。Structural Change and Economic Dynamics，12(1)，1-28。  new window
14.Epstein, Larry G.、Yatchew, Adonis J.(1985)。The Empirical Determination of Technology and Expectations: A Simplified Procedure。Journal of Econometrics，27(2)，235-258。  new window
15.Gould, J. P.(1968)。Adjustment Costs in the Theory of Investment of the Firm。The Review of Economic Studies，35(1)，47-55。  new window
16.Lehr, William、Lichtenberg, Frank R.(1998)。Computer Use and Productivity Growth in U.S. Federal Government Agencies, 1987-1992。The Journal of Industrial Economics，46(2)，257-279。  new window
17.Lucas, Robert E., Jr.(1967)。Adjustment Costs and the Theory of Supply。The Journal of Political Economy，75(4)，321-334。  new window
18.McGuckin, Robert H.、Streitwieser, Mary L.、Doms, Mark(1998)。The Effect of Technology Use on Productivity Growth。Economics of Innovation and New Technology，7(1)，1-26。  new window
19.Mohnen, Pierre A.、Nadiri, M. Ishaq、Prucha, Ingmar R.(1986)。R&D Production Structure and Rates of Return in the U.S., Japanese and German Manufacturing Sectors: A Non-separable Dynamic Factor Demand Model。European Economic Review，30(4)，749-771。  new window
20.Mukhopadhyay, Tridas、Cooper, Randolph B.(1992)。Impact of Management Information Systems on Decisions。Omega，20(1)，37-49。  new window
21.Mukhopadhyay, Tridas、Cooper, Randolph B.(1993)。A Microeconomic Production Assessment of the Business Value of Management Information Systems: The Case of Inventory Control。Journal of Management Information Systems，10(1)，33-35。  new window
22.Nadiri, M. Ishaq、Prucha, Ingmar R.(1990)。Dynamic Factor Demand Models, Productivity Measurement, and Rates of Return: Theory and an Empirical Application to the U.S. Bell System。Structural Change and Economic Dynamics，1(2)，263-289。  new window
23.Nadiri, M. Ishao、Prucha, Ingmar R.(1996)。Endogenous Capital Utilization and Productivity Measurement in Dynamic Factor Demand Models Theory and an Application to the U.S. Electrical Machinery Industry。Journal of Econometrics，71(1/ 2)，343-379。  new window
24.Prucha, Ingmar R.、Nadiri, M. Ishaq(1986)。A Comparison of Alternative Methods for the Estimation of Dynamic Factor Demand Models under Nonstatic Expectations。Journal of Econometrics，33(1/ 2)，187-211。  new window
25.Solow, R. M.(19870712)。We'd Better Watch Out。New York Times Book Review，July，36。  new window
26.Triplett, Jack E.(1997)。Measuring Consumption: The Post-1973 Slowdown and the Research Issues。Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review，79，9-42。  new window
會議論文
1.Crowston, K.、Treacy, M. E.(1986)。Assessing the Impact of Information Technology on Enterprise Level Performance。San Diego, CA。  new window
2.Tsai, Diana H. A.、Chang, Chiung-Yun(2005)。Uncertainty and Diffusion of the Information Communication Technologies。  new window
研究報告
1.Bosworth, B. P.、Triplett, J. E.(2000)。What's New about the New Economy? IT, Economic Growth and Productivity。Washington, DC。  new window
2.Mairesse, J.、Greenan, N.、Topiol-Bensaid, Agnès(2001)。Information Technology and Research and Development Impacts on Productivity and Skills: Looking for Correlations on French Firm Level Data。Cambridge, MA：National Bureau of Economic Research。  new window
3.Mamuneas, T.、Nadiri, M. I.(1995)。Public R&D Policies and Post Behavior of the U.S. Manufacturing Industries。Cambridge, MA。  new window
4.Morrison, C. J.、Berndt, E. R.(1990)。Assessing the Productivity of Information Technology Equipment in the U.S. Manufacturing Industries。Cambridge, MA。  new window
5.Nadiri, M. I.、Prucha, I. R.(1999)。Dynamic Factor Demand Models and Productivity Analysis。Cambridge, MA。  new window
6.Srinivasan, S.(1996)。Estimation of Own R&D, R&D Spillovers and Exogenous Technical Change Effects in Some U.S. High-technology Industries。Southampton, UK。  new window
圖書
1.Kauffman, R. J.、Kriebel, C. H.(1989)。Identifying Business Value Linkages for Production Processes Involving Information Technology。Identifying Business Value Linkages for Production Processes Involving Information Technology。Connecticut。  new window
2.Loveman, G.(1994)。Information Technology and the Corporation in the 1990s。Information Technology and the Corporation in the 1990s。Cambridge, MA。  new window
3.Roach, S. S.(1987)。America's Technology Dilemma: A Profile of the Information Economy。America's Technology Dilemma: A Profile of the Information Economy。New York, NY。  new window
4.Schrage, M.(1997)。Collaborative Tools: A First Look。Knowledge Management Tools。Boston, MA。  new window
5.Strassmann, Paul A.(1997)。The Squandered Computer: Evaluating the Business Alignment of Information Technologies。The Squandered Computer: Evaluating the Business Alignment of Information Technologies。New Canaan, CT。  new window
 
 
 
 
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