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引文資料
題名:
Accounting for Taiwan's First Post-War Negative Economic Growth
書刊名:
臺灣經濟預測與政策
作者:
何泰寬
作者(外文):
Ho, Tai-kuang
出版日期:
2011
卷期:
41:2
頁次:
頁1-49
主題關鍵詞:
景氣循環會計方法
;
臺灣2001年經濟衰退
;
同期選擇摩擦
;
Business cycle accounting
;
Taiwan's 2001 recession
;
Intra-temporal wedges
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(
2
) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:
2
共同引用:0
點閱:35
本文應用景氣循環會計方法來分析臺灣在2001年所經歷的經濟負成長。這是臺灣在第二次世界大戰之後,所經歷的第一次經濟負成長。我們發現勞動 (同期選擇) 摩擦是導致2001年產出與勞動投入下跌的主要因素。反應國外需求衝擊的淨出口摩擦 ,則是導致投資下跌的主要因素。既有的文獻曾經指出國外需求衝擊的影響,但是卻未曾注意到勞動 (同期選擇) 摩擦的重要性。即便在考慮不同的生產函數設定與投資調整成本之後, 我們的主要結果還是相當穩健。我們更進一步證實, 營運資金的限制是產生勞動 (同期選擇) 摩擦的最可能因素。
以文找文
Weapply the method of business cycle accounting to Taiwan’s first postwar negative economic growth in 2001. We find that labor (intra-temporal) wedge was the most important factor causing the declines in output and in labor input. Net exports wedge, which represents foreign demand shock, was the most important factor causing the declines in investment. While the foreign demand shock has received attention in the literature, the importance of labor (intra-temporal)wedge to the 2001 recession is new to the literature. These findings are robust to the specification of the technology of the prototype model and the investment adjustment costs. Further more, we show that the presence of working capital constraint is the most plausible friction that has generated the observed labor (intra-temporal) wedge.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Chow, Gregory、Lin, An-loh(2002)。Accounting for Economic Growth in Taiwan and Mainland China: A Comparative Analysis。Journal of Comparative Economics,30(3),507-530。
2.
Chen, S. W.、Lin, J. L.(2000)。Modeling business cycles in Taiwan with Time-Varying Markov-Switching models。Academia Economic Papers,28,17-42。
3.
Ahearne, A.、F. Kydland、M. A. Wynne(2006)。Ireland’s Great Depression。The Economic and Social Review,37(2),215-243。
4.
Chakraborty, Suparna(2009)。The Boom and the Bust of the Japanese Economy: A Quantitative Look at the Period 1980-2000。Japan and the World Economy,21(1),116-131。
5.
Chari, Varadarajan V.、Kehoe, Patrick J.、McGrattan, Ellen R.(2007)。Business Cycle Accounting。Econometrica,75(3),781-836。
6.
Chen, Y.-T.、C.-S. Hsieh(2006)。On the Regime-Switching Behavior of Taiwan Real GNP Growth Rate。Academia Economic Papers,34(1),41-91。
7.
Bordo, M.、C. Erceg、C. Evans(2000)。Money, Sticky Wages, and the Great Depression。American Economic Review,90,1447-1463。
8.
Cole, H. L.、L. E. Ohanian(2004)。New Deal Policies and the Persistence of the Great Depression: A General Equilibrium Analysis。Journal of Political Economy,112(4),779-816。
9.
Kehoe, T.、E. C. Prescott(2002)。Great Depressions of the 20th Century。Review of Economic Dynamics,5,1-18。
10.
Kersting, E. K.(2008)。The 1980s Recession in the UK: A Business Cycle Accounting Perspective。Review of Economic Dynamics,11,179-191。
11.
Kilian, L.、L. E. Ohanian(2002)。Unit Roots, Trend Breaks, and Transitory Dynamics: A Macroeconomic Perspective。Macroeconomic Dynamics,6,614-632。
12.
Kliesen, K. L.(2003)。The 2001 Recession: How Was It Different and What Developments May Have Caused It?。Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,85(5),23-38。
13.
He, Q.、T. T.-L. Chong、K. Shi(2009)。What Accounts for Chinese Business Cycle?。China Economic Review,20(4),650-661。
14.
Hong, H.-Y.、S.-L. Li(2002)。Causes of the Current Economic Recession。Economic Research,2,1-20。
15.
Saijo, H.(2008)。The Japanese Depression in the Interwar Period: A General Equilibrium Analysis。The B. E. Journal of Macroeconomics,8(1),1-24。
16.
Kobayashi, Keiichiro、Inaba, Masaru(2006)。Business Cycle Accounting for the Japanese Economy。Japan and the World Economy,18(4),418-440。
17.
Lin, K. S.、Y.-L. Huang、C.-M. Kuan(1998)。Identifying the Turing Points of Business Cycles and Forecasting Real GNP Growth Rates in Taiwan。Taiwan Economic Review,26(4),431-457。
18.
McGrattan, E.(1996)。Solving the Stochastic Growth Model with a Finite Element Method。Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,20,19-42。
19.
Meza, F.(2008)。Financial Crisis, Fiscal Policy and the 1995 GDP Contraction in Mexico。Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,40(6),1239-1261。
20.
Meza, F.、E. Quintin(2007)。Factor Utilization and the Real Impact of Financial Crises。The B. E. Journal of Macroeconomics,7(1),1-39。
21.
Neumeyer, P. A.、F. Perri(2005)。Business Cycles in Emerging Economies: The Role of Interest Rates。Journal of Monetary Economics,52,345-380。
22.
Nordhaus, W. D.(2002)。The Recent Recession, the Current Recovery, and Stock Prices。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,2002(1),199-220。
23.
Otsu, Keisuke(2010)。A Neoclassical Analysis of the Asian Crisis: Business Cycle Accounting for a Small Open Economy。The B. E. Journal of Macroeconomics,10(1),1-37。
研究報告
1.
Roubini, N.(2008)。Macroeconomic Issues and Vulnerabilities in the US and Global Economy。
2.
Lama, R.(2009)。Accounting for Output Drops in Latin America。
圖書
1.
Bernanke, B.s.、Gertler, M.、Gilchrist, S.(1999)。The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework。Amsterdam:North-Holland。
2.
Anderson, E. W.、L. P. Hansen、E. R. McGrattan、T. J. Sargent(1996)。Mechanics of Forming and Estimating Dynamic Linear Economies。Handbook of Computational Economics, Volume 1。Amsterdam。
3.
Corsetti, G.、P. Pesenti、N. Roubini(2001)。Fundamental Determinants of the Asian Crisis: The Role of Financial Fragility and External Imbalances。Regional and Global Capital Flows: Macroeconomic Causes and Consequences。Chicago, Illinois。
4.
Wu, T.-M.(2007)。Macroeconomics。Taipei。
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