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引文資料
題名:
應用格位傳送模式建構高速公路動態起迄矩陣推估演算法
書刊名:
運輸學刊
作者:
邱裕鈞
/
藍武王
/
許珮珊
/
曾群明
作者(外文):
Chiou, Yu-chiun
/
Lan, Lawrence W.
/
Shiu, Pei-shan
/
Tseng, Chun-ming
出版日期:
2011
卷期:
23:1
頁次:
頁97-128
主題關鍵詞:
動態起迄矩陣推估
;
進階卡門濾波
;
格位傳送模式
;
Dynamic O-D estimation
;
Extended Kalman filtering
;
Cell transmission model
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(
1
) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:0
共同引用:
2
點閱:21
本研究結合進階卡門濾波與格位傳送模式,建構遞迴動態O-D矩陣推估演算法,藉由該演算法模擬在不同交通情況下車輛到達型態之交通行為,並預測各依時O-D起迄對之到達型態,以便推估動態O-D矩陣。為驗證本演算法,本研究以6個O-D起迄對之小路網為範例,每6秒為1時階,推估90分鐘的O-D矩陣,再與Greenshields巨觀模式預測車輛旅行時間及假設進入車輛會於兩時階範圍內到達迄點之演算法進行比較。結果顯示本模式推估結果之RMSE遠較Greenshields巨觀模式為低。此外,本研究另以國道1號楊梅至泰山收費站間及臺中至臺北間進行實例應用,結果顯示本模式之RMSE均在可接受範圍,說明本演算法的有效性與實用價值。
以文找文
This study proposes an iterative dynamic O-D matrices estimation algorithm to effectively capture the traffic behaviors and their arrival distributions under various traffic conditions. The core logic of the proposed algorithm is to combine extended Kalman filtering with cell transmission model to simulate traffic movement behaviors so as to predict the arrival distributions of all O-D pair traffic in various time intervals, and then to estimate dynamic O-D matrices. To validate the performance of the proposed algorithm, a small-scale corridor example with six O-D pairs is tested, in which a set of 90-minute O-D matrices, varying at every six seconds is estimated. For comparison, the Greenshields macroscopic model, which predicts the travel time by assuming that entered traffic will arrive at their destinations within two time intervals, is also tested in the same corridor example. The results show that the proposed algorithm can obtain a relatively accurate estimation result with RMSE value much smaller than the Greenshields model. To further investigate the applicability of the proposed algorithm, two case corridors on Taiwan Freeway No.1: Yangmei Toll Station to Taishan Toll Station and Taichung Interchange to Taipei Interchange are conducted. The results show that the proposed algorithm can obtain satisfactory RMSE values, suggesting the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed algorithm.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Daganzo, C. F.(1994)。The Cell Transmission Model: A Dynamic Representation of Highway Traffic Consistent with the Hydrodynamic Theory。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,28(4),269-287。
2.
曾國雄、卓訓榮、周幼珍、江勁毅(1997)。動態流量推估動態 O-D 方法之研究。運輪計劃季刊,26(4),615-638。
延伸查詢
3.
Chang, G. L.、Tao, X.(1999)。An Integrated Model for Estimating Time-Varying Network Origin-destination Distribution。Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice,33(5),381-399。
4.
Nihan, N. L.、Davis, G. A.(1987)。Recursive Estimation of Origin-destination Matrices from Input/output Counts。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,21(2),149-163。
5.
Van Zulylen, H.、Willumsen, L. G.(1980)。The Most Likely Trip Matrix Estimated from Traffic Counts。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,14(3),281-293。
6.
Nguyen, S.、Morello, E.、Pallottino, S.(1988)。Discrete Time Dynamic Estimating Model for Passenger Origin-destination Matrices on Transit Network。Transportation Research Part B: Methodlogical,22(4),251-260。
7.
Fisk, C. S.(1988)。On Combining Maximum Entropy Trip Matrix Estimation with User-optimal Assignment。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,22(1),69-73。
8.
Kalman, R. E.(1960)。A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction. Problems。Transactions of the ASME - Journal of Basic Engineering,82(D),35-45。
9.
Kerner, B. S.、Herrmann, M.(1998)。Local Cluster Effect in Different Traffic Flow Models。Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,255(1-2),163-188。
10.
Lin, P. W.、Chang, G. L.(2005)。A Robust Model for Estimating Freeway Dynamic Origin-destination Matrix。Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board,1923,110-118。
11.
Lin, P. W.、Chang, G. L.(2007)。A Generalized Model and Solution Algorithm for Estimating Dynamic Freeway Origin-destination Matrix。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,41(5),554-572。
12.
Maher, M.(1983)。Inferences on. Trip Matrices from Observations on Link Volumes: A Bayesian Statistical Approach。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,17(6),435-447。
13.
Nihan, N. L.、Davis, G. A.(1989)。Application of Prediction-Error Minimization and Maximum Likelihood to Estimate Intersection OD Matrices from Traffic Counts。Transportation Science,23(2),77-90。
14.
Bell, M.(1991)。The Estimation of Origin-destination Matrices by Constrained Generalized Least Squares,。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,25(1),13-22。
15.
Chang, G. L.、Wu, J.(1994)。Recursive Estimation of Time-varying Origin-destination Flows Traffic Counts in Freeway Corridors,。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,28(2),141-160。
16.
Cremer, M.、Keller, H.(1987)。A New Class of Dynamic Methods for the Identification of Origin-destination Flows。Transportation Research Part B,vol. 21,no.2,pp. 117-132。
會議論文
1.
Chang, G. L.、Tao, X.(1996)。Estimation of Dynamic O-Ds for Urban Networks13,1-20。
2.
Okutani, I.(1987)。The Kalman Filtering Approaches in Some Transportation and Traffic Problems397-416。
3.
Sun,X.、Munoz, L.、Horowitz, R.(2003)。Highway Traffic State Estimation Using Improved Mixture Kalman Filters for Effective Ramp Metering Control6333-6338。
4.
Willumsen, L. G.(1984)。Estimating Time-dependent Trip Matrices from Traffic Counts397-411。
研究報告
1.
陳敦基(2010)。高速公路按里程電子收費通行費率之研究。
延伸查詢
圖書
1.
Box, G. E. P.、Jenkins, G. M.、Reinsel, G. C.(1976)。Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control。San Francisco:Holden-Day。
2.
Nguyen, S.(1984)。Estimating Origin-Destination Matrices from Observed Flows。Transportation Planning Models。Amsterdam。
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