近年來台灣經濟快速成長、人民生活富裕，國人於物質生活滿足後，開始重視有品味的休閒生活，短天數、精緻型旅遊型態逐漸在旅遊市場上佔有一席之地。政府相關單位及國民旅遊業者亦積極開拓國民旅遊市場，國人開始享受本土化、精緻型休閒旅遊。而民國87年台灣地區實施隔週休二日，民國90年公務人員全面實施週休二日，國人休閒時間增加，一般預期將刺激國民旅遊意願，從而促進整體休閒旅遊事業發展。近二年台灣經濟景氣有下降趨勢，國民所得若因而變動是否會影響國民旅遊意願？本研究即以休假日數及國民所得為變數以迴歸分析，運用政府機關之調查統計資料建立迴歸模型，以預測未來之旅遊需求。

Because of economic development, Taiwanese's wealth and material life are significantly improved over not many years ago. Leisure is important and the number short but quality trips keep growing in Taiwan. Government agencies and domestic tourism businessmen are working aggressively to increase the volume and impact of domestic tourism. Taiwanese's domestic travel will increase because of the implementation of the alternative 2-day weekend in 1998 and 2-day weekend in 2001. During the past two years, economic growth was slow in Taiwan. The purpose of this study is to model the relationship of the GNP and changes in monthly days off to Taiwanese's domestic traveler number.