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題名：OECD國家財政支出與經濟成長之間的因果關係--Wagner法則的驗證
書刊名：臺灣銀行季刊
作者：陳仕偉 引用關係／陳韻婷
出版日期：2011
卷期：62:2
頁次：頁138-162
主題關鍵詞：政府支出；經濟成長；OECD國家；GDP
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:3
政府支出與經濟成長之間的互動關係，一直是政府相關部門與學者專家關心的議題。Wagner法則認為經濟活動的熱絡會增加政府的稅收而促進政府成長，隱含經濟成長對於政府支出存在因果關係。本文探討政府支出與經濟成長之間的因果關係，我們以OECD七個國家為研究對象，分別為亞洲區域的菲律賓、新加坡與泰國，歐洲區域的丹麥、義大利與瑞士，大洋洲區域的紐西蘭。在研究方法上，首先應用單根定檢視資料的非定態性質，在共整合的檢定過程中，我們採用 Pesaran et al.（2001）的邊界共整合檢定法進行實證研究，為了驗證邊界檢定結果的頑強性，最後以Granger因果檢定法檢定變數間的因果關係。線性因果關係檢定結果可得：泰國支持華格納法則；義大利與紐西蘭支持凱因斯假說；而丹麥、菲律賓、新加坡與瑞士均不支持華格納假說或凱因斯假說。
期刊論文
1.Ram, R.(1987)。Wagner’s Hypothesis in Time-series and Cross-section Perspectives: Evidence from ‘Real’ Data for 115 Countries。Review of Economics and Statistics，69(2)，194-204。  new window
2.Ghali, K. H.(1998)。Government Size and Economic Growth: Evidence from a Multivariate Cointegration Analysis。Applied Economics，31(8)，975-987。  new window
3.Peacock, Alan T.、Wiseman, Jack(1979)。Approaches to the Analysis of Government Expenditure Growth。Public Finance Quarterly，7(1)，3-23。  new window
4.Lin, C. A.(1995)。More evidence on wagner's law for Mexico。Public Finance，50(2)，267-277。  new window
5.Landau, D.(1983)。Government expenditure and economic growth: A cross-country study。Southern Economic Journal，49(3)，783-792。  new window
6.Johansen, Soren、Juselius, Katarina(1990)。Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on co-integration with application to the demand for money。Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics，52(2)，169-210。  new window
7.Bird, R. M.(1971)。Wagner's Law of Expanding State Activity。Public Finance，26(1)，1-26。  new window
8.Johansen, S.(1988)。Statistical Analysis of Co-integration Vectors。Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control，12(2)，231-254。  new window
9.Ahsan, S. M.、Kwan, C. C.、Sahni, B. S.(1996)。Co-integration and Wagner's hypothesis: Time series evidence for Canada。Applied Economics，28(8)，1055-1058。  new window
10.Akitoby, B.、Benedict, C.、Gupta, S.、Inchauste, G.(2006)。Public spending, voracity, and Wagner's law in developing countries。European Journal of Political Economy，22(4)，908-924。  new window
11.Ansari, M. I.(1993)。Testing the relationship between government expenditure and national income in Canada, employing Granger causality and co-integration analysis。Managerial Finance，19(7)，31-46。  new window
12.Beak, Morris(1979)。Public sector growth: A real perspective。Public Finance/Finances Publiques，34(3)，313-355。  new window
13.Biswal, B.、Dhawan, U.、Lee, H. Y.(1999)。Testing Wagner versus Keynes using disaggregated public expenditure data for Canada。Applied Economics，31(10)，1283-1291。  new window
14.Burney, N. A.(2002)。Wagner's hypothesis: Evidence from Kuwait using co-integration tests。Applied Economics，34(1)，49-57。  new window
15.Chang, T.(2002)。An econometric test of Wagner's law for six countries based on co-integration and error-correction modeling techniques。Applied Economics，34(9)，1157-1169。  new window
16.Chang, T.、Liu, W.、Caudill, S. B.(2004)。A re-examination of Wagner's law for ten countries based on cointegration and error-correction modeling techniques。Applied Financial Economics，14(8)，577-589。  new window
17.Gandhi, V. P.(1971)。Wagner's law of public expenditure: Do recent cross-section studies confirm it?。Public Finance/Finances Publiques，26(1)，44-56。  new window
18.Ghartey, E. E.(2008)。The budgetary process and economic growth: Empirical evidence of the Jamaican economy。Economic Modelling，25(1)，1128-1136。  new window
19.Goffman. I. J.(1968)。On the empirical testing of Wagner's law: A technical note。Public Finance/Finances Publiques，23(3)，359-364。  new window
20.Granger, C. W. J.(1969)。Investigating causal relationships by econometric models and cross-spectral methods。Econometrica，37(3)，150-161。  new window
21.Gupta, S. P.(1967)。Public expenditure and economic growth: A time series analysis。Public Finance，22(4)，423-466。  new window
22.Hall, A. D.(1994)。Testing for a unit root in time series with pretest data based model selection。Journal of Business Economic Statistics，12(2)，461-470。  new window
23.Halicioglu, F.(2003)。Testing Wagner's law for Turkey, 1960-2000。Review of Middle East Economics and Finance，1(2)，129-140。  new window
24.Huang, C. J.(2006)。Testing Wagner's law using bonds test and a new Granger non-causality test: Evidence for Taiwan。The Journal of American Academy of Business，8，86-90。  new window
25.Islam, A. M.(2001)。Wagner's law revisited: Co-integration and exogeneity tests for the USA。Applied Economics Letters，8(8)，509-515。  new window
26.Iyare, S. O.、Lorde, T.(2004)。Co-integration, causality and Wagner's law: Tests for selected Caribbean countries。Applied Economics Letters，11(13)，815-825。  new window
27.Lane, P. R.(2003)。The cyclical behavior of fiscal policy: Evidence from the OECD。Journal of Public Economics，87(12)，2661-2675。  new window
28.Loizides, J.、Vamvoukas, G.(2005)。Government expenditure and economic growth: Evidence from trivariate causality testing。Journal of Applied Economics，8(1)，125-152。  new window
29.Mohammadi, H.、Cak, M.、Cak, D.(2008)。Wagner's hypothesis: New evidence from Turkey using the bounds testing approach。Journal of Economic Studies，35(1)，94-106。  new window
30.Murthy, N. R. V.(1981)。Wagner's law of public expenditure: An empirical investigation of the Indian economy using the appropriate measure for a valid test。Indian Economic Journal，28，86-93。  new window
31.Narayan, P. K.、Nielsen, I.、Smyth, R.(2008)。Panel data, co-integration, causality and Wagner's law: Empirical evidence from Chinese provinces。China Economic Review，19(2)，297-307。  new window
32.Narayan, P. K.、Prasad, A.、Singh, B.(2007)。A test of the Wagner's hypothesis for the Fiji islands。Applied Economics，40(2)，2793-2801。  new window
33.Narayan, P. K.(2004)。Do public investments crowd out private investments? Fresh evidence from Fiji。Journal of Policy Modeling，26(6)，747-753。  new window
34.Oxley, L.(1994)。Co-integration, causality and Wagner's law: A test for Britain 1870-1913。Scottish Journal of Political Economy，41(3)，286-298。  new window
35.Ram, R.(1986)。Causality between income and government expenditure: A broad international perspective。Public Finance，41(3)，393-413。  new window
36.Sahni, B. S.、Singh, B.(1984)。On the causal directions between national income and government expenditure in Canada。Public Finance/Finances Publiques，39(3)，359-393。  new window
37.Samudrain. M.、Nain M.(2008)。Keynes and Wagner on government expenditures and economic development: The case of a developing economy。Empirical Economics，36(3)，697-712。  new window
38.Thornton, J.(1999)。Co-integration, causality and Wagner's Law in 19th century Europe。Applied Economics Letters，6(7)，413-416。  new window
39.Wahab, M.(2004)。Economic growth and government expenditure: Evidence from a new test specification。Applied Economics，36(19)，2125-2135。  new window
40.Engle, Robert F.、Granger, Clive W. J.(1987)。Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society，55(2)，251-276。  new window
41.Pesaran, M. Hashem、Shin, Yongcheol、Smith, Richard J.(2001)。Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships。Journal of Applied Econometrics，16(3)，289-326。  new window
42.Perron, Pierre(1989)。The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society，57(6)，1361-1401。  new window
43.Zivot, Eric、Andrews, Donald W. K.(1992)。Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-price Shock, and the Unit-root Hypothesis。Journal of Business and Economic Statistics，10(3)，251-270。  new window
44.Granger, Clive William John、Newbold, Paul(1974)。Spurious Regressions in Econometrics。Journal of econometrics，2(2)，111-120。  new window
45.Kolluri, B. R.、Panik, M. J.、Wahab, M. S.(2000)。Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence from G7 Countries。Applied Economics，32(8)，1059-1068。  new window
圖書
1.Narayan, Paresh Kumar(2004)。Reformulating Critical Values for the Bounds F-Statistics Approach to Cointegration: An Application to the Tourism Demand Model for Fiji。Melbourne：Department of Economics, Monash University。  new window
2.Musgrave, Richard A.(1969)。Fiscal Systems。Yale University Press。  new window
3.Bird, R. M.(1970)。The Growth of Government Spending in Canada。Toronto：Canadian Tax Foundation。  new window
4.吳定、張潤書、陳德禹、賴維堯(2001)。行政學。台北市：國立空中大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.Peacock, A. T.、Wiseman, J.(1967)。The Growth of Public Expenditure in the United Kingdom。London：George Allen & Unwin。  new window
6.Wagner, A.(1890)。Finanzwissenchaft。Leipzig：Winter。  new window
 
 
 
 
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