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題名:實質所得、相對價格、匯率與國際貿易之關聯分析:以臺灣對美貿易為例
書刊名:華人經濟研究
作者:柯勝揮 引用關係江朝宗
作者(外文):Ko, Sheng-hueiJiang, Chao-zong
出版日期:2011
卷期:9:2
頁次:頁21-32
主題關鍵詞:實質所得相對價格匯率國際貿易Real incomePrice ratioExchange rateInternational trade
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:4
  • 點閱點閱:69
台灣對外貿易依存度高,國際貿易國眾多,美國與台灣貿易關係密切。國內外研究匯率、相對價格和實質所得對國際貿易影響的文獻不勝枚舉,但其結果都不太一致,因此本研究針對台灣主要貿易對象美國進行實證分析。實證結果顯示:1.台灣出口匯率、美國實質所得和相對出口價格對台灣向美國出口值都有顯著影響,相對出口價格係數為0.370876及出口匯率係數為-1.613815,在在顯示台灣外銷美國大多係屬缺乏彈性之商品;2.台灣進口匯率、台灣實質所得和相對進口價格對台灣向美國進口值都會有影響,美國相對進口價格下降或匯率升值,將導致台灣進口值增加,此結果意味著,台灣由美進口大多係屬富有彈性之商品。
Taiwan has high dependence on foreign trade which trades with many Countries, trade between Taiwan and the United States are much closed. There are many studies about exchange rate, price ratio and real income effects on international trade, but the results are not consistent. Therefore, the main purpose of this study is to explore the trade relationship between Taiwan and U.S. Empirical results show Taiwan export exchange rate, U.S. real income and the export price ratio has a significant effects on Taiwan exporting to the U.S. The export price ratio coefficient is 0.370876 and the export exchange rate coefficient is -1.613815 that indicates that most of the products of Taiwan exporting to U.S. are inelastic. Second. Taiwan import exchange rate, Taiwan real income and the import price ratio has significant effects on Taiwan importing to the U.S. The US relative import price ratio drops or the exchange rate appreciates will cause Taiwan's import increase. The result indicates that most of the products of Taiwan importing from U.S. are elastic.
期刊論文
1.Sukar, A. H.、Hassan, S.(2001)。US Exports and Time-Varying Volatility of Real Exchange Rate。Global Finance Journal,12(1),109-119。  new window
2.Dellas, H.、Zilberfarb, B. Z.(1993)。Real Exchange Rate Volatility and International Trade: A Reexamination of the Theory。Southern Economic Journal,59(4),641-647。  new window
3.Slottje, Daniel J.、Osang, Thomas、Arize, Augustine C.(2000)。Exchange-rate Volatility and Foreign Trade: Evidence from Thirteen LDC's。Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,18(1),10-17。  new window
4.Arize, A. C.(1997)。Foreign Trade and Exchange-Rate Risk in the G-7 Countries: Cointegration and Error-Correction Models。Review of Financial Economics,6(1),95-112。  new window
5.Sercu, P.、Vanhulle, C.(1992)。Exchange rate volatility, International Trade, and the Value of Exporting Firms。Journal of Banking and Finance,16(1),155-182。  new window
6.Baak, S. J.(2008)。The bilateral real exchange rates and trade between China and the U.S.。China Economic Review,19(2),117-127。  new window
7.Chowdhury, A. R.(1993)。Does Exchange Rate Volatility Depress Trade Flows? Evidence from Error-correction Models。The Review of Economics and Statistics,75(4),700-706。  new window
8.Rodrik, Dani、Kenen, Peter B.(1986)。Measuring and Analyzing the Effects of Short-term Volatility in Real Exchange Rates。The Review of Economics and Statistics,68(2),311-315。  new window
9.柯勝揮、吳雪伶(2009)。臺日匯率、物價之因果與時差之探討--多變數光譜分析法之應用。文大商管學報,14(2),53-70。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Asseery, A.、Peel, D. A.(1991)。Estimates of a Traditional Aggregate Import Demand Model for Five Countries。Economics Letters,35(4),435-439。  new window
11.Arize, A. C.(1995)。Trade Flows and Real Exchange-rate Volatility: An Application of Cointegration and Error-correction Modeling。The North American Journal of Economics and Finance,6(1),37-51。  new window
12.Arize, A. C.、Osang, T.、Slottje, D. J.(2008)。Exchange-rate Volatility in Latin America and its Impact on Foreign Trade。International Review of Economics & Finance,17(1),33-44。  new window
13.Choudhry, T.(2005)。Exchange Rate Volatility and the United States Exports: Evidence from Canada and Japan。Journal of the Japanese and International Economies,19(1),51-71。  new window
14.Daly, K.(1998)。Does Exchange Rate Volatility Impede the Volume of Japan’s Bilateral Trade?。Japan and the World Economy,10(3),333-348。  new window
15.De Grauwe, P.(1988)。Exchange Rate Variability and the Slowdown in Growth of International Trade。International Monetary Fund Staff Papers,35(1),63-84。  new window
16.Klein, M. W.(1990)。Sectoral Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on United States Exports。Journal of International Money and Finance,9(3),299-308。  new window
研究報告
1.Akhtar, M.、Hilton, R. Spence(1984)。Effects of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on German and US Trade。Federal Reserve Bank of New York:Research Paper。  new window
學位論文
1.趙蒼頡(2006)。匯率波動對台灣出口量的影響:以新加坡和泰國為例(碩士論文)。臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.蔡孟純(2000)。匯率波動風險對出口量的影響--對不同資料型態的分析(碩士論文)。淡江大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.江朝宗(2011)。實質所得、相對價格、匯率與國際貿易之 關聯分析:以台灣對美日貿易為例(碩士論文)。中國文化大學。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.行政院主計處(2010)。國民所得統計常用資料[線上資料],http://www.dgbas.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=14616&CtNode=3566&mp=1。  延伸查詢new window
2.經濟部國際貿易局(2010)。中華民國進出口貿易國家名次表[線上資料],http://cus93.trade.gov.tw/FSCI/。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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