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題名:NBA季後賽四強攻守表現影響因子之探討
書刊名:運動與遊憩研究
作者:劉鎧誠
作者(外文):Liu, Kai-chen
出版日期:2011
卷期:5:4
頁次:頁114-126
主題關鍵詞:籃球攻守技術得失分NBABasketballOffense/defense techniquesNBAScores and losing points
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:64
  • 點閱點閱:58
本研究主要目的爲分析NBA季後賽四強得失分與其預測變項的相關情形,並探討影響得失分表現的因子:以2008-2009球季之季後賽表現爲研究對象數據,統計方法爲敘述統計、多元迴歸分析及單因子變異數分析。研究結果發現,體型高大者並不一定能進入總冠軍賽;另外,以複迴歸方式預測發現,NBA四強得失分表現:一、投籃命中率、三分球命中率、進攻籃板、防守籃板及抄截與得失分變項呈正相關,而失誤及犯規與得失分變項呈負相關;二、投籃命中率、罰球命中率、進攻籃板、抄截、犯規與得分變項呈正相關,而失誤與得分變項呈負相關。影響得失分與得分之關鍵因素有些許不同,如:罰球命中率上升可提高得分能力,但在強力籃球NBA比賽中,並非影響勝負之關鍵因素;然犯規次數越高,雖對得失分呈負向因素,但卻可增進本隊得分能力。建議未來研究可以單一球隊爲分析樣本,獲取單一球隊之影響因子,或進一步分析主力球員攻守技術表現對球隊得失分之關係,作爲將來解析球隊表現之判讀依據。
The main purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between the wining-losing scoring point of the NBA semi-final teams and its forecasted variables along with the factors to affect the wining-losing score. Using the descriptive statistics the multi-regression and the one-way ANOVA method this study analyzes the 2008-2009 playoffs' data. The study concludes that the height and the weight of the players are not decisive factors for the playing teams to enter the semi-final games. In addition, the result of the multi-regression analysis shows the (1) Goal Rate (FG%), Three-Ball Hitting Rate (3P%). Offensive Rebounds Rate (OR), Defensive Rebounds Rate (DR), and Stealing Ball Rate (STL) have a significantly Positive impact on the wining-losing game score while the Error Ball (TO) and Foul show a significantly negative impact on the winning-losing game score; (2) FG%, 3P%, OR, DR, STL and Foul have a significantly positive impact on the goal score, while TO has a significantly negative impact on the Goal score. Key factors to affect the winning-losing game score and goal score may be varied. For example the higher FT% could increase goal score but it's not the main factor to win the NBM game. Another example, more fouling frequent might illustrate negative impact on the wining-losing game score but it can increase the chance for team to gain goal score. For analyzing the performance of the team as a future basis for interpretation, this study suggests that further studies should just focus on one team's performance and to gather all variables which have impacts on the team performance and intensively to analyze the relationship between its key player's offense-defense performance and the winning-losing game score.
期刊論文
1.陳順義、張又文(20080600)。中華女籃攻守表現影響因子之探討。大專體育學刊,10(2),83-92。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.鄭智仁(20060600)。高中女子籃球聯賽攻守技術分析及影響比賽勝負因素之研究。大專體育學刊,8(2),121-131。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.潘一航(19970800)。籃球比賽攻防技術之分析研究。大專體育,32,103-108。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.郭月娥(19811200)。國泰女子籃球隊三年來重要比賽技術分析研究。體育學報,3,59-72。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.曹健仲、張延飛(19941200)。籃球比賽成績的攻防技術代表性項目之編製。體育學報,18,113-123。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.李雲光、江孟珍(20021200)。2001年東亞運籃球比賽攻守紀錄之分析。北體學報,10,211-219。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.Hopkins, D. R.(1977)。Factor analysis of selected basketball skill-tests。Research Quarterly,48,535-540。  new window
會議論文
1.凌貞芳、蔡葉榮(1999)。我國高中男子甲級籃球聯賽前八強之攻防技術分析。臺北:中國文化大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳順義、尙漢鼎(2005)。競爭優勢理論與籃球攻守變項致勝因素之硏究: 以中華女籃參加2003年世大運爲例。中華民國大專院校91年度體育硏討會。桃園。156-162。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.Harrison, E. R.(1969)。A test to measure basket ability for boys(碩士論文)。University of Florida,Gainesville。  new window
圖書
1.葉正(1995)。籃球競賽勝負因素之攻守變項分析--1991-1994年亞洲地區男子籃賽(含瓊斯盃、廣島亞運、亞洲錦標賽比賽記錄分析)。台北市:狀元出版社。  延伸查詢new window
2.Isaacs, N. D.、Motta, D.(1988)。Basketball--The key to excellence spot Illustrated Winner's Circle Books。New York:Muze Inc。  new window
 
 
 
 
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