中國大陸自90年代採開放政策以來，全國經濟實力開始呈現快速的成長，並帶動了各產業的加速發展。起初的發展著重於農業、工業、科技、國防等實體項目，未來的發展會呈現於何處，資源配置又會如何？本研究以國家發展理論作為基礎，利用系統動態學建構包含人口、經濟及社會等變動因素的動態模型，觀察並模擬未來中國在人口數量上升及結構老化的情況下，人力資源的配置，以及為達滿足人民社會福利需求的經濟配置下，配置於其他建設需求受到的排擠情形。

Since the open policy was put into practice in 1990s, the economic power of China has become stronger, and the industry of every aspect has become rapidly developed. In the beginning, the development was concentrated on the substantive subjects such as agriculture, industry, technology, and national defense, etc. How will the allocation of resources develop in the future? This study is based on the theory of national development, from which system dynamics is applied to build a dynamic pattern of various factors including population, economy and society. It provides the needs of observation and imitation for the situation of the future increase and ageing of population which will influence the distribution of human resources, and for the economical distribution which can satisfy people's requirements of social welfare, or otherwise push aside by the other requirements.