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題名:市場交易訊息對匯率之影響
書刊名:亞太經濟管理評論
作者:李建慧 引用關係黃信棠
出版日期:2011
卷期:15:1
頁次:頁59-82
主題關鍵詞:匯率委託單流量總體新聞宣告Exchange ratesOrder flowMacroeconomic announcements
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:18
本文利用電子仲介服務系統 2007年 1月至 2007年 12月 EUR/USD與 USD/JPY每分鐘逐筆交易,探討總體新聞宣告、委託單流量及匯率三者關係。實證結果顯示:(1)委託單流量對匯率報酬顯著影響;(2)總體新聞宣告對匯率報酬有兩個影響途徑:直接經由立即的總體新聞宣告反應,以及間接經由委託單流量傳遞,因此,委託單流量不僅包含私有訊息亦包含公開訊息;(3)進一步發現,委託單流量與匯率報酬兩者之間存在回饋關係。
In this study, we examine the impacts of macroeconomic announcements and order flow on exchange rates. This study uses the tick-by-tick and minutely data from electronic brokerage services, including EUR/USD and USD/JPY from January 2007 to December 2007. The empirical results show that order flow has an influence on exchange rates. Moreover, macroeconomic announcements have an impact on the EUR/USD and USD/JPY market which is transmitted directly via immediate reactions and indirectly via order flow. Therefore, order flow contains not only public information but also private information. In addition, order flow and exchange rates have a feedback relationship with each other.
期刊論文
1.Daníelsson, J.、Love, R.(2006)。Feedback Trading。International Journal of Finance and Economics,11,35-55。  new window
2.Balduzzi, P.、Elton, E. J.、Green, T. C.(2001)。Economic News and Bond Prices: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury Market。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,36,532-543。  new window
3.Berger, David W.、Chaboud, Alain P.、Chernenko, Sergey V.、Howorka, Edward、Wright, Jonathan H.(2008)。Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics in Electronic Brokerage System Data。Journal of International Economics,75(1),93-109。  new window
4.Cai, J.、Cheung, Y. L.、Lee, R. S. K.、Melvin, M.(2001)。Once-in-a-generation Yen Volatility in 1998: Fundamentals, Intervention, and Order Flow。Journal of International Money and Finance,20(3),327-347。  new window
5.DeGennaro, R.P.、Shrieves, R.E.(1997)。Public Information Releases, Private Information Arrival and Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market。Journal of Empirical Finance,4,295-315。  new window
6.Evans, M. D. D.(2010)。Order Flows and The Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle。Journal of International Economics,80,58-71。  new window
7.Evans, M. D. D.、Lyons, R. K.(2002)。Time-varying Liquidity in Foreign Exchange。Journal of Monetary Economy,49,1025-1051。  new window
8.Evans, M. D. D.、Lyons, R. K.(2002)。Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics。Journal of Political Economy,110,170-180。  new window
9.Frömmel, M.、Kiss, M.、Pintér, K.(2011)。Macroeconomic Announcements, Communication and Order Flow on the Hungarian Foreign Exchange Market。International Journal of Finance and Economics,16,172-188。  new window
10.Ito, T.、Hashimoto, Y.(2006)。Intraday Seasonality in Activities of the Foreign Exchange Markets: Evidence from The Electronic Broking System。Journal of the Japanese and International Economies,20,637-664。  new window
11.Kyle, Albert, S.(1985)。Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading。Econometrica,53,1315-1335。  new window
12.Love, R.、Payne, R.(2008)。Macroeconomic News, Order Flows, and Exchange Rates。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,43,467-488。  new window
13.Melvin, M、Yin, X.(2000)。Public Information Arrival, Exchange Rate Volatility, and Quote Frequency。The Economic Journal,110,644-661。  new window
14.Rime, D.、Sarno, L.、Sojli, E.(2010)。Exchange Rate Forecasting, Order Flow and Macroeconomic Information。Journal of International Economics,80(1),72-88。  new window
15.Meese, Richard A.、Rogoff, Kenneth S.(1983)。Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Seventies: Do They Fit Out of Sample?。Journal of International Economics,14(1/2),3-24。  new window
16.Andersen, Torben G.、Bollerslev, Tim(1996)。Deutsche Mark–Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies。The Journal of Finance,53(1),219-265。  new window
17.Andersen, T. G.、Bollerslev, T.、Diebold, F. X.、Vega, C.(2003)。Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange。The American Economic Review,93(1),38-62。  new window
18.Phillips, Peter C. B.、Perron, Pierre(1988)。Testing for a unit root in time series regression。Biometrika,75(2),335-346。  new window
圖書
1.Flood, R.P.、Taylor, M.(1996)。Exchange Rate Economics: What's Wrong with The Conventional Macro Approach?。University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.Lyons, Richard K.(2001)。The Microstructure Approach to Exchange Rates。Cambridge, Massachusetts:MIT Press。  new window
其他
1.Goodhart, C.,Ito, T.,Payne, R.(1996)。One Day in June 1993: A Study of The Working of the Reuters 2000-2 Electronic Foreign Exchange Trading System,University of Chicago Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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