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題名:臺灣觀光需求--停留天數與消費金額之實證研究
書刊名:戶外遊憩研究
作者:蘇鈺雯林惠玲 引用關係
作者(外文):Su, Yu-wenLin, Hui-lin
出版日期:2012
卷期:25:1
頁次:頁85-109
主題關鍵詞:負二項模型迴歸零截尾所得旅遊價格Negative binomial modelRegressionZero-truncatedIncomePrice
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:47
本研究利用台灣觀光局的抽樣資料,估計台灣的觀光需求。以國人及外國人在台灣觀光的天數及消費為研究對象,為了符合資料分配的特性,使用零截尾負二項(Zero-truncated Negative Binomial)模型,探討影響台灣觀光需求的所得與旅遊價格因素,並提出台灣觀光產業未來的發展方向。實證結果指出,台灣的觀光需求受所得影響相當大,且不同特質的觀光客其所得的影響力不同;此外,觀光需求的尖離峰差異相當懸殊;並發現台灣觀光難以吸引商公務以及高預算的國外觀光客。
We are interested in measuring the demand of tourism for Taiwan, of both Taiwanese and foreign tourists, and simultaneously consider length of stay and expenditures as two measures of demand. Using data from the Tourism Bureau of Taiwan, we employ the Zero-truncated Negative Binomial model to study the effect of income, prices, and other characteristic variables. Based on empirical results, we first find that income would affect the demand of tourism for Taiwan significantly and this effect varies by different characteristics of tourists. Second, the variation of tourism demand is large between peak and off-peak dates. Third, tourism in Taiwan is not attractive to high-end businesses and high-budget foreign tourists.
期刊論文
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6.陳寬裕、何嘉惠、蕭宏誠(2004)。應用支援向量回歸於國際旅遊需求之預測。旅遊管理研究,4(1),81-97。new window  延伸查詢new window
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15.Rolfe, J.、Prayaga, P.(2007)。Estimating values for recreational fishing at freshwater dams in Queensland。Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics,51(2),157-174。  new window
16.Song, H.、Li, G.(2008)。Tourism demand modeling and forecasting: A review of recent research。Tourism Management,29,203-230。  new window
17.Stoeckl, N.、Mules, T.(2006)。A travel cost analysis of the Australian alps。Tourism Economics,12(4),495-518。  new window
18.Stronge, W. B.、Redman, M.(1982)。US tourism in Mexico: An empirical analysis。Annual of Tourism Research,9,21-35。  new window
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學位論文
1.Carpio,C. E.(2006)。Two-constraints models of consumer demand: An application to the demand for agritourism in the United States(-)。North Carolina State University,Raleigh, North Carolina。  new window
圖書
1.Deaton, Angus S.、Muellbauer, John(1980)。Economics and Consumer Behavior。Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.交通部観光局(2006)。91-94年台灣地區觀光衛星帳編製結果。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
3.World Travel and Tourism Council(2010)。Chinese Taipei: The 2010 travel & tourism economic research。London, United Kingdom:World Travel and Tourism Council。  new window
圖書論文
1.McFadden, D.(1979)。Quantitative methods for analyzing travel behavior of individuals: Some recent developments。Behavioral travel modeling。London:Croom Helm。  new window
 
 
 
 
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