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題名:臺灣重要蔬菜價格傳遞之研究
書刊名:農業與經濟
作者:林啟淵張呈徽李仁耀 引用關係
作者(外文):Lin, Chi-yuanChang, Chung-huiLee, Jen-yao
出版日期:2012
卷期:49
頁次:頁1-36
主題關鍵詞:價格傳遞非線性模型門檻向量自我迴歸模型Price transmissionNon-Linear regression modelTVAR
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:13
  • 點閱點閱:52
為了解國內重要蔬菜在不同市場間之價格傳遞關係,本文針對不結球白菜等五項蔬菜的產地批發價格與消費地批發價格、消費地批發價格與消費地零售價格,利用門檻向量自我回歸模型,分別以產地批發價格與消費地批發價格的變動率絕對值做為門檻變數,探討他們之間短期價格傳遞的方向與幅度,並利用Hansen and Seo(2002)提出的Sup-LM 檢定統計量以及固定迴歸拔靴法來模擬臨界值並檢定模型是否存在門檻效果,即檢定其傳遞關係是否會因為門檻變數的變動幅度不同而產生差異。結果發現,產地批發價與消費地批發價間傳遞的5 個模型中,不結球白菜、花椰菜與甘藍菜的部分都出現門檻效果;至於消費地零售價與消費地批發價之門檻檢定,則僅有花椰菜存有非線性的關係。
To explore the price transmission of major vegetable crops among the market channels in Taiwan, this study utilizes threshold vector autoregressive model, TVAR, to investigate the wholesale price in production areas, the wholesale price in consumption areas, and the retail price in consumption areas for 5 types of vegetable crops. The wholesale price variation of production areas and that of consumption areas function as the threshold variables respectively in these models which are to probe into the short-term price transmission direction and extent between these prices. This study in further exploits Sup-LM test statistics and fixed regression bootstrap suggested by Hansen and Seo (2002) to simulate critical values and test the presence of a threshold. Among these 5 price transmission models, we find evidence for a threshold effect in the vegetable crops, Chinese mustard, cauliflower, and cabbage. As to the threshold test of the wholesale price or the retail price in consumption areas, only the cauliflower presents nonlinear relationship.
期刊論文
1.Abdulai, Awudu(2000)。Spatial Price Transmission and Asymmetry in the Ghanaian Maize Market。Journal of Development Economics,63(2),327-349。  new window
2.張世明(19990600)。臺灣地區豬價及其主要肉品價格變化分析--自行迴歸條件異質變異數模型之應用。農業經濟半年刊,65,117-141。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.李建強、張佩鈴、陳珮芬(20061200)。臺灣毛豬市場批發價格的非線性模型分析。農業經濟半年刊,80,59-95。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Abdulai, A.(2002)。Using Threshold Cointegration to Estimate Asymmetric Price Transmission in the Swiss Pork Market。Applied Economics,34(6),679-687。  new window
5.Sephton, P. S.(2003)。Spatial Market Arbitrage and Threshold Cointegration。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,85,1041-1046。  new window
6.Hansen, Bruce E.、Seo, Byeongseon(2002)。Testing for Two-Regime Threshold Cointegration in Vector Error-Correction Models。Journal of Econometrics,110(2),293-318。  new window
7.Meyer, J.(2004)。Measuring market integration in the presence of transaction costs--a threshold vector error correction approach。Agricultural Economics,31(2/3),327-334。  new window
8.Goodwin, B. K.、Piggott, N. E.(2001)。Spatial market integration in the presence of threshold effects。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,83(2),302-317。  new window
9.Enders, W.、Granger, C. W. J.(1998)。Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetric Adjustment with an Example Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates。Journal of Business and Economic Statistics,16(3),304-311。  new window
10.Sims, Christopher A.(1980)。Macroeconomics and Reality。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society,48(1),1-48。  new window
11.Said, S. E.、Dickey, David A.(1984)。Testing for Unit Roots in Autoregressive-Moving Average Models of Unknown Order。Biometrika,71(3),599-607。  new window
12.李佳珍(20101200)。臺灣毛豬市場不對稱價格傳遞關係之研究。農業經濟叢刊,16(1),1-32。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.行政院農業委員會(2009)。農業統計年報。  延伸查詢new window
2.Tong, H.(1983)。Threshold Models in Non-Linear Time Series Analysis。Springer-Verlag。  new window
3.許文富(1997)。農產運銷學。正中書局。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.王冠閔、李源明、李建強(2009)。青蔥價格與消費者物價指數的因果關係分析:門檻向量自我迴歸模型之應用。  延伸查詢new window
2.石輝隆(1992)。台灣毛豬市場價格傳遞非對稱性與運銷價差之硏究。  延伸查詢new window
3.台北市政府市場管理處(2002)。農產品零售市場行情查詢系統。  延伸查詢new window
4.行政院中央氣象局(2002)。颱風資料庫。  延伸查詢new window
5.行政院農業委員會農糧署(2006)。農產品交易行情站。  延伸查詢new window
6.涂旭志(1993)。台灣產地蔬菜批發市場決價效率之硏究。  延伸查詢new window
7.許聖章、張靜貞(2010)。台灣颱風災害之影響評估--以蔬菜供需爲例。  延伸查詢new window
8.蔡靜瑩、雷立芬(2000)。蔬菜三級市場價格傳遞之硏究。  延伸查詢new window
9.蕭清仁、雷立芬(2003)。台灣毛豬決價機制與多元化運銷通路之硏究。  延伸查詢new window
10.Ben-Kaabia, M.; Gil, J. M.; Boshnjaku, L.(2002)。Price Transmission Asymmetries in the Spanish Lamb Sector。  new window
11.Chen, P. F.; Lee, C. C.(2008)。Nonlinear Adjustments in Deviations from the Law of One Price for Wholesale Hog Prices。  new window
12.Goodwin, B. K.; Harper, D. C.(2000)。Price Tansmission, Threshold Behavior, and Asymmetric Adjustment in the U.S. Pork Sector。  new window
13.Goodwin, B. K.; Schroeder, T. C.(1991)。Cointegration Tests and Spatial Price Linkages in Regional Cattle Markets。  new window
14.Kesavan, T.; Aradhyula, S. V.; Johnson, S. R.(1992)。Dynamics and Price Volatility in Farm-Retail Livestock Price Relationships。  new window
15.Vavra, P.; Goodwin, B. K.(2005)。Analysis of Price Transmission Along the Food Chain。  new window
16.von Cramon-Taubadel, S.(1996)。An Investigation of Non-Linearity in Error Correction Representations of Agricultural Price Transmission。  new window
17.von Cramon-Taubadel, S.(1998)。Estimating Asymmetric Price Transmission with the Error Correction Representation: An Application to the German Pork Market。  new window
 
 
 
 
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