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引文資料
題名:
灰色多目標計畫組合模式於運輸計畫規劃之研究
書刊名:
運輸計劃
作者:
溫裕弘
/
牛紀芸
作者(外文):
Wen, Yuh-horng
/
Niou, Ji-yun
出版日期:
2013
卷期:
42:1
頁次:
頁65-93
主題關鍵詞:
運輸計畫規劃
;
計畫組合模式
;
灰色多目標規劃
;
灰數
;
Transportation programming
;
Project portfolio selection
;
Grey multi- objective programming
;
Grey numbers
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:0
共同引用:
17
點閱:38
運輸計畫規劃 (transportation programming) 是運輸部門進行運輸計畫 選擇之過程,包括計畫評估、選擇、排程與預算組合,以決策核定之運輸 計畫集合。過去相關運輸計畫規劃問題較無計畫組合與綜效之考量,因此, 導入計畫組合管理概念,考慮計畫組合之利益、成本與風險,建構計畫組 合規劃模式,進行最適計畫組合方案之選擇,即成為重要之研究議題。本 研究計畫組合規劃模式以計畫組合為決策對象,有別於過去計畫規劃問題 以個別計畫為規劃對象,並考慮計畫組合之利益、風險及預算之不確定性, 建構灰色多目標0-1 整數規劃問題,並應用灰色理想解相似度順序偏好法 (technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution, TOPSIS) 求解多 目標計畫組合規劃模式之妥協解。本研究以行政院公共工程委員會之大型運輸建設計畫,作為實務數值範例應用問題之假設基礎,透過數值範例應 用分析,驗證本研究模式之可行性。藉由不同目標式權重組合下,計畫組 合規劃妥協解決策空間可顯示兩目標之間的權衡取捨率。而計畫組合規劃 模式係以計畫組合為決策對象,可作為以計畫組合管理進行運輸計畫規劃 模式之基礎;整合灰數於規劃模式中,即允許利益、風險及預算輸入值為 大概範圍之區間值,有助於規劃者面對並處理不明確規劃條件下,維持規 劃結果之變動決策彈性。
以文找文
Transportation programming is the process of selecting and determining a final set of transportation projects, including project evaluation, selection, scheduling and budget portfolio management. Since conventional transportation programming models lacked the consideration for project portfolios and synthetic effects, such important research topics arise as the introduction of a project portfolio management concept, the consideration for benefits, costs and risks of the project portfolios, the establishment of a project portfolio programming model, and the selection of optimum project portfolio solutions. This study developed a project portfolio programming model with project portfolios as the target for decision making rather than individual projects in the previous programming models. Since the programming tasks are filled with uncertainties in terms of benefits, risks and budgets of project portfolios, grey multiobjective 0-1 integer programming problems were designed. Additionally, a grey Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) approach was developed to solve the proposed model. With the large-scale transportation development projects of the Public Construction Commission, Executive Yuan, as the assumption basis of numerical examples and applications, the analysis confirmed the feasibility of the proposed model. The trade-off ratios between two goals were shown using different goal weight combinations for negotiations and decision making in regard to project portfolio programming. The proposed model uses project portfolios as the target for decision making, and can therefore set up a foundation for transportation programming models using a project portfolio management approach. The incorporation of grey numbers in the programming model allows possible ranges for the input values of benefits, risks and budgets, which helps to maintain the flexibility in decision making when planners are faced with and dealing with indefinite conditions for programming.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Niemeier, D. A.、Zabinsky, Z. B.、Zeng, Z.、Rutherford, G. S.(1995)。Optimization Models for Transportation Project Programming Process。Journal of Transportation Engineering,121(1),14-26。
2.
Teng, J. Y.、Tzeng, G. H.(1996)。A Multiobjective Programming Approach for Selecting Non-independent Transportation Investment Alternatives。Transportation Research–Part B,30(4),291-307。
3.
Teng, J. Y.、Tzeng, G. H.(1998)。Transportation Investment Project Selection Using Fuzzy Multiobjective Programming。Fuzzy Sets and Systems,96(3),259-280。
4.
Voros, J.(1986)。Portfolio AnalysisâAn Analytical Derivation of the Efficient Portfolio Frontier。European Journal of Operational Research,23(3),294-300。
5.
Best, M. J.、Hlouskova, J.(2000)。The Efficient Frontier for Bounded Assets。Mathematical Methods of Operations Research,52,195-212。
6.
Stein, M.、Branke, J.、Schmeck, H.(2008)。Efficient Implementation of an Active Set Algorithm for Large-scale Portfolio Selection。Computers & Operations Research,35,3945-3961。
7.
Yan, W.、Miao, R.、Li, S. R.(2007)。Multi-period Semi-variance Portfolio Selection: Model and Numerical Solution。Applied Mathematics and Computation,194,128-134。
8.
Arenas, M.、Bilbao, A.、Rodriguez, M. V.(2001)。A Fuzzy Goal Programming Approach to Portfolio Selection。European Journal of Operational Research,133(2),287-297。
9.
Ida, M.(2004)。Solutions for the Portfolio Selection Problem with Interval and Fuzzy Coefficients。Reliable Computing,10(5),389-400。
10.
Abiyev, R. H.、Menekay, M.(2007)。Fuzzy Portfolio Selection Using Genetic Algorithm。Soft Computing,11(12),1157-1163。
11.
Bilbao, A.、Perez, B.、Arenas, M.、Rodriguez, M. V.(2006)。Fuzzy Compromise Programming for Portfolio Selection。Applied Mathematics and Computation,173,251-264。
12.
Beaujon, G. J.、Marin, S. P.、McDonald, G. C.(2001)。Balancing and Optimizing a Portfolio of R&D Projects。Naval Research Logistics,48(1),18-40。
13.
Carlsson, C.、Fuller, R.、Hekkila, M.、Majlender, P.(2007)。A Fuzzy Approach to R&D Project Portfolio Selection。International Journal of Approximate Reasoning,44,93-105。
14.
Wang, J.、Hwang, W. L.(2007)。A Fuzzy Set Approach for R&D Portfolio Selection Using a Real Options Valuation Model。Omega–The International Journal of Management Science,35,247-257。
15.
Sadi-Nezhad, S.、Khalili Damghani, K.、Pilevari, N.(2010)。Application of 0-1 Fuzzy Programming in Optimum Project Selection。World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology,64,335-339。
16.
Inuiguchi, M.、Ramik, J.(2000)。Possibilistic Linear Programming: A Brief Review of Fuzzy Mathematical Programming and a Comparison with Stochastic Programming in Portfolio Selection Problem。Fuzzy Sets and Systems,111,3-28。
17.
Zhong, T.、Young, R.(2010)。Multiple Choice Knapsack Problem: Example of Planning Choice in Transportation。Evaluation and Program Planning,33(2),128-137。
18.
Sinha, K. C.、Muthusubramanyam, M.(1982)。Optimization Approach in Highway Programming and System Analysis。Transportation Research Record,867,12-19。
19.
Sharpe, P.、Keelin, T.(1998)。How SmithKline Beecham Makes Better Resource-Allocation Decisions。Harvard Business Review,76(2),45-57。
20.
Lai, Y. L.、Liu, T. Y.、Hwang, C. L.(1994)。TOPSIS for MACM。European Journal of Operational Research,76(3),486-500。
21.
Young, M. R.(1998)。A minimax portfolio selection rule with linear programming solution。Management Science,44(5),673-683。
22.
Ong, C. S.、Huang, J. J.、Tzeng, G. H.(2005)。A Novel Hybrid Model for Portfolio Selection。Applied Mathematics and Computation,169(2),1195-1210。
23.
林楨家、沈育生(20050600)。地區性道路間距設計之灰色規劃模式。運輸計劃,34(2),293-324。
延伸查詢
24.
Lin, J. J.、Li, C. N.(2008)。A Grey Programming Model for Regional Transit-oriented Development Planning。Papers in Regional Science,87(1),119-139。
25.
Huang, G. H.、Moore, R. D.(1993)。Grey Linear Programming, Its Solving Approach and Its Application。International Journal of Systems Science,24(1),159-172。
26.
Huang, G. H.、Baetz, B.W.、Patry, G. G.(1995)。Grey Integer Programming: An Application to Waste Management Planning under Uncertainty。European Journal of Operational Research,83(3),594-620。
27.
林楨家、李家儂(20050300)。用於都市地區活動分布之灰色TOD規劃模式。運輸計劃,34(1),63-91。
延伸查詢
28.
Deng, Ju-long(1989)。Introduction to Grey System Theory。The Journal of Grey System,1(1),1-24。
29.
Markowitz, Harry M.(1952)。Portfolio Selection。The Journal of Finance,7(1),77-91。
30.
Deng, Ju-Long(1982)。Control Problems of Grey system。System and Control Letters,1(5),288-294。
會議論文
1.
Stankeviciene, J.、Jachimaviciene, I.(2010)。A Multi-Objective Project Portfolio Formation Model: Case Study of Lithuanian Transport Sector。The 6th International Scientific Conference, Business and Management,230-238。
學位論文
1.
Young, R.(2002)。Multimodal Investment Choice Analysis: Application of Goal Programming for Selection of Transportation Projects(博士論文)。University of Washington, USA。
圖書
1.
Humphrey, T.(1974)。Summary of Findings, Issues in Statewide Transportation Planning。Washington DC:Transportation Research Board。
2.
Markowitz, H.(1987)。Analysis in Portfolio Choice and Capital。Oxford:Basil Blackwell。
3.
Cooper, R. G.、Edgett, S. J.、Kleinschmidt, E. J.(1998)。Portfolio Management for New Products。New York:Perseus Books。
4.
Sinha, K. C.、Labi, S.(2007)。Transportation Decision Making: Principles of Project Evaluation and Programming。New Jersey:John Wiley & Sons。
5.
Sinha, K. C.、Jukins, D. P.(1980)。Transportation Project Evaluation and Priority Programming: Techniques and Criteria。Washington DC:Transportation Research Board。
6.
Markowitz, Harry M.(1959)。Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investment。New York:Wiley。
7.
Hwang, Ching-Lai、Yoon, Kwangsun(1981)。Multiple Attribute Decision Making Methods and Applications A State-of-the-Art Survey。Springer-Verlag。
8.
Deng, Ju-Long、Guo, H.、Xu, S.、Xiong, J.、Chen, M.(1988)。Essential Topics on Grey System: Theory and Application。China Ocean Press:Huazhong University of Science and Technology。
其他
1.
行政院公共工程委員會(2012)。公共工程委員會列管計畫查詢,http://cmdweb.pcc.gov.tw/pccms/owa/pln90.bro1。
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