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題名:總體經濟因素對國防支出之影響--以臺灣及南韓為例
書刊名:財金論文叢刊
作者:張阜民 引用關係楊浩忠柯俊禎 引用關係陳建宏 引用關係
作者(外文):Chang, Fu-minYang, Hao-chungKo, Jim-chenChen, Chien-hung
出版日期:2013
卷期:18
頁次:頁84-97
主題關鍵詞:國防支出經濟成長多元線性迴歸模型Defense expenditureEconomic growthMulti-linear regression model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:9
  • 點閱點閱:53
本研究以台灣及南韓為例,探討總體經濟因素,如經濟成長率、平均國民所得年增率、人口年增率、消費者物價指數年增率、匯率變動率、失業率年增率等,對國防支出之影響。我們使用多元線性迴歸等統計方法,實證結果顯示,台灣平均國民所得年增率及消費者物價指數年增率對國防支出呈現正向影響,經濟成長率及匯率變動率對國防支出有負向影響,可能由於台灣國防支出受限於政策及社會福利等預算排擠,未能隨經濟成長而增加。南韓匯率變動率對國防支出則呈現正向影響,平均國民所得年增率及失業率年增率對國防支出有負向影響。
This study investigates the effects of macroeconomic factors, such as the rate of economic growth, the annual growth rate in per capita GNP, the annual growth rate of population, the annual growth rate of CPI, the change rate of exchange rate, and the annual growth rate of unemployment rate, on the defense expenditure by taking Taiwan and South Korea as examples. The multi-linear regression model is applied in this study. The empirical results show that both the annual growth rate in per capita GNP and the annual growth rate of CPI present positive effects on the defense expenditure, while both the rate of economic growth and the change rate of exchange rate appear negative effects on the defense expenditure in Taiwan. The reasons for the results could be that Taiwan’s defense expenditure is limited by the budget crowd-out effects from government policies and social welfare. For the part of South Korea, the change rate of exchange rate presents positive effects on the defense expenditure, while both the annual growth rate in per capita GNP and the annual growth rate of unemployment rate appear negative effects on the defense expenditure.
期刊論文
1.郭國誠(20110400)。中國國防支出對東南亞國家國防支出與經濟成長之影響--縱橫資料迴歸分析。主計季刊,52(1)=332,1-12。  延伸查詢new window
2.聶建中、劉自強(20050500)。經濟成長與國防支出之非線性關聯性研究--縱橫門檻效果分析。國防管理學報,26(1),1-13。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Abell, J. D.(1994)。Military spending and income inequality。Journal of Peace Research,31(4),35-43。  new window
4.Karagol, E.、Palaz, S.(2004)。Does defence expenditure deter economic growth in Turkey? a cointegration analysis。Journal of Defence and Peace Economics,15(3),289-298。  new window
5.Klein, T.(2004)。Military expenditures and economic growth: Peru 1970-1996。Defense and Peace Economic,15(3),275-288。  new window
6.Mencken, F. C.(2004)。Federal defense spending and metropolitan and nonmetropolitan disparities in economic growth in the southeast。Social Science Quarterly (Blackwell Publishing Limited,85(2),324-339。  new window
7.Seiglie, C.、Liu, P.(2002)。Arms races in the developing world: some policy implications。Journal of Policy Modeling,24,693-705。  new window
8.王韋能、陳智華、謝智源(20100900)。國防支出與國外武力威脅對生育率與經濟成長影響之分析。經濟論文叢刊,38(3),327-353。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Barro, Robert J.(1990)。Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth。Journal of Political Economy,98(5),S103-S125。  new window
10.Dakurah, A. Henry、Sampath, Rajan K.、Davies, Stephen P.(2001)。Defense Spending and Economic Growth。Journal of Policy Modeling,23,651-658。  new window
11.汪進揚、趙一鳴(2005)。經濟發展與國防需求關係之研究。真理財經學報,12,23-52。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Knight, M、Loayza, N.、Villanueva, D.(1996)。The Peace Dividend: Military Spending Guts and Economic Growth。IMF Staff Paper,43(1),1-37。  new window
會議論文
1.韓曜庭(2010)。國軍組織的再精進與調整《四年期國防總檢討》的觀察與分析。陸軍官校八十六週年校慶基礎學術暨通識教育研討會。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.王廷軒(2007)。國防支出與經濟發展相關性研究--台灣與南韓之比較(碩士論文)。國防管理學院。  延伸查詢new window
2.王立安(2009)。國防支出對經濟成長的影響理論與實證分析(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.李建達(2008)。國防支出與總體經濟因素互動關係之研究(碩士論文)。雲林科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.杜國靜(2003)。我國政府支出與經濟成長關係之研究(碩士論文)。朝陽科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.來以平(2008)。東北亞四國國防支出與經濟成長相關性研究(碩士論文)。國防大學國防管理學院。  延伸查詢new window
6.彭乾彰(2009)。國防支出與GDP的關係(碩士論文)。國防大學管理學院。  延伸查詢new window
7.陳瑞章(2007)。解析軍事投資與維持之國防分項支出對台灣經濟成長的影響(碩士論文)。國立中央大學。  延伸查詢new window
8.張清興(1988)。國防支出與經濟發展因果關係之研究(碩士論文)。國防管理學院。  延伸查詢new window
9.劉裕國(2001)。後冷戰時期影響我國防預算系統之國內外政經因素分析(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
10.賴宗男(2002)。兩岸國防支出成長與經濟成長關係探討(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
11.賴瑞興(2006)。重要經濟指標對臺灣國防支出之影響(碩士論文)。南台科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
12.Dunne, J. P.,、Uye, M.(2009)。Defence spending and development(-)。British University and University of the West of, Egypt and England。  new window
13.Kim, Y. C.(1977)。Statistical analysis of the relationship between the defense burden and the economic growth of the Republic of Korea(碩士論文)。Naval Postgraduate School。  new window
14.沈振銘(200206)。我國國防支出對經濟成長影響之研究(碩士論文)。國防管理學院。  延伸查詢new window
15.林胤豪(1999)。所得與政府教育及國防支出之長期關係分析(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Benoit, E.(1973)。Defense and Economic Growth in Developing Countries。Lexington Books。  new window
 
 
 
 
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