:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:歐債主權危機對大中華區股市之影響
書刊名:管理資訊計算
作者:楊雪蘭 引用關係陳勻蓁
作者(外文):Yang, Hsueh-lanChen, Yun-chen
出版日期:2014
卷期:3:1
頁次:頁67-86
主題關鍵詞:歐債主權危機事件研究法金融風暴大中華區European sovereign debt crisisEvent studyFinancial tsunamiGreater China
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:19
  • 點閱點閱:9
2008年金融海嘯導致全球經濟衰退,波及全球股價出現暴跌,這波金融風暴災情迅速蔓延,加速歐洲各國財政赤字與政府債務大幅飆升,2009年底希臘遭到三大信評機構調降評等,揭開歐債主權危機序幕。本研究探討歐債主權危機對大中華區股票市場所造成的影響,研究方法採事件研究法,以歐債危機對大中華區股票市場進行實證分析,本文探討三方向:(1)發生歐債主權危機對上證指數是否產生異常報酬;(2)發生歐債主權危機對台灣指數是否產生異常報酬;(3)發生歐債主權危機對香港恆生是否產生異常報酬。實證結果顯示:事件研究法檢測結果,歐債主權危機事件對大中華區股市產生異常報酬,且隨時間之淡化,產生緩衝反應,2010年事件有16個異常報酬,內含9個負異常報酬7個正異常報酬,經過2年之洗禮與衝擊,2012年只剩11個異常報酬,內含4個負異常報酬7個正異常報酬,顯示歐債主權危機對大中華區有顯著影響。但也隨著歐債主權危機經過兩年歹戲拖棚未結束,讓大中華區投資人對事件再次發布與衝擊出現麻木的投資反應,漸趨樂觀。
The financial tsunami happened in 2008 has caused a global economic recession, which consequently made a global stock plunge seriously. This financial tsunami spread rapidly through over the world and sped up the financial deficit and governmental debt in European countries. In 2009, Greece was downgraded by three major credit rating agencies, as a result, the disaster-the European sovereign debt crisis commenced.This research aims to explore the impact of European sovereign debt crisis on Greater China. Event Study Method was employed in this impact on the stock market in Greater China. The research investigated three aspects: (1) Did abnormal returns occurrence in SSE (Shanghai Stock Exchange) when the European debt crisis.(2) Did abnormal returns occurrence in TAIEX when the European debt crisis.(3) Did abnormal returns occurrence in Hang Seng Index when the European debt crisis.Results show: Event Study Method also showed that European sovereign debt crisis contributed abnormal returns on the stock market of mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan; and the abnormal returns of desalinated over time resulting in numbness reaction. there were 16 abnormal returns in the event of 2010, comprised of 9 negative abnormal returns and 7 positive abnormal returns; with the shock and assault within two years, there were only 11 abnormal returns left, in which there were 4 negative abnormal returns and 7 positive abnormal returns; this results evidenced that European debt crisis did produce significant impact on Greater China. European sovereign debt crisis has swept around the world for two years and its remaining troubles seem to have no end, and the endless debt crisis seems not to paralyze investors' reaction of Greater China anymore, on the contrary, the investors in this area are growing optimism for the future.
期刊論文
1.Howe, John S.、Wei, Peihwang(1993)。The Valuation Effects of Warrant Extensions。Journal of Finance,48(1),305-314。  new window
2.陳美菊(20080300)。次級房貸風暴對全球經濟之影響。經濟研究,8,249-271。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Brown, S. J.、Warner, J. B.(1985)。Using Daily Stock Return: The Case of Event Studies。Journal of Financial Economics,14(1),3-31。  new window
4.彭德明、方耀(20101200)。歐洲主權債務危機與歐元區的未來。國際金融參考資料,60,1-26。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Reinhart, Carmen M.、Rogoff, Kenneth S.(2010)。Growth in a Time of Debt。American Economic Review,100(2),573-578。  new window
6.Dwyer, Gerald P.、Tkac, Paula(2009)。The Financial Crisis of 2008 in Fixed-income Markets。Journal of International Money and Finance,28(8),1293-1316。  new window
7.Huang, B. N.、Yang, C. W.、Hu, John W. S.(2000)。Causality and Cointegration of Stock Market among the United States, Japan, and the South China Growth Triangle。International Review of Financial Analysis,9(3),281-297。  new window
8.李秋錦(20100400)。歐元十年的成果與挑戰。經濟研究,10,375-398。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Dolley, J. C.(1933)。Characteristics and Procedure of Common Stock Split-ups。Harvard Business Review,11(3),316-326。  new window
10.李綱信(20110300)。歐洲主權債信危機之分析。經濟研究,11,231-258。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Basu, S.(1977)。Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of the Efficient Market Hypothesis。The Journal of Finance,32(3),663-682。  new window
12.Beaver, W.、Kettler, P.、Scholes, M.(1968)。The association between market determined and accounting determined risk measures。The Accounting Review,35,654-682。  new window
13.Cheng, Hwahsin、Glascock, John L.(2006)。Stock Market Linkages Before and After the Asian Financial Crisis: Evidence form Three Greater China Economic Area Stock Markets and the US。Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies,9(2),297-315。  new window
14.Ball, Ray、Brown, Philip(1968)。An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers。Journal of Accounting Research,6(2),159-178。  new window
15.Eun, Cheol S.、Shim, Sangdal(1989)。International Transmission of Stock Market Movements。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,24(2),241-256。  new window
16.Campbell, John Y.、Grossman, Sanford J.、Wang, Jiang(1993)。Trading volume and serial correlation in stock returns。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,108(4),905-939。  new window
17.Brown, Stephen J.、Warner, Jerold B.(1980)。Measuring security price performance。Journal of Financial Economics,8(3),205-258。  new window
18.Fama, Eugene F.、Fisher, Lawrence、Jensen, Michael C.、Roll, Richard J.(1969)。The adjustment of stock prices to new information。International Economic Review,10(1),1-21。  new window
19.Fama, Eugene F.(1970)。Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work。The Journal of Finance,25(2),383-417。  new window
20.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1992)。The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns。The Journal of Finance,47(2),427-465。  new window
會議論文
1.楊素柳、蘇秋鳳(2012)。由歐盟之組成看歐盟債信問題及解決方案之研究。財經學院會議,(A2)1-(A2)34。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.周自強(2012)。奢侈稅對於台灣營建股股價之影響--以事件研究法論之(碩士論文)。南華大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.何家麟(2005)。亞洲金融風暴對東南亞各國股、匯市傳導效應之影響(碩士論文)。靜宜大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.吳佩蓉(2010)。兩岸金融MOU政策之事件研究(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.李浩旭(2011)。iPad對台灣電子產業供應鏈之衝擊--以事件研究法分析(碩士論文)。國立交通大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.徐瑞陽(2010)。金融風暴下總體經濟的變化對金磚五國股市的影響(碩士論文)。世新大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.莊文智(2011)。歐元區PIIGS五國主權債務危機與金融市場發展之探討(碩士論文)。實踐大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.陳水生(2007)。台灣股市本益比投資策略深入探討(碩士論文)。國立東華大學。  延伸查詢new window
8.黃昭祥(2004)。法人投資行為、成交量、與報酬可預測性--台灣股市動能效應或反轉現象之再探(博士論文)。國立雲林科技大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.楊仁彰(2001)。事件研究法異常報酬率檢定之研究(碩士論文)。銘傳大學。  延伸查詢new window
10.萬文隆(2001)。重大事件對兩岸三地股市連動之研究--狀態空間模型及介入模式之應用(碩士論文)。國立臺北大學。  延伸查詢new window
11.劉馨薇(2002)。總體經濟變數及重大事件對中國大陸股市之影響(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
12.蔡佳燕(2003)。重大災難事件對股票市場之影響--以台灣921集集大地震對電子業、銀行業、營建業為例(碩士論文)。國立高雄第一科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
13.盧慧蘭(2009)。美國次貸風暴相關重大事件對台灣股市之影響:事件研究法之應用(碩士論文)。台南科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
14.顏振益(2010)。兩岸三地和美國股市關聯性之研究--以全球金融風暴為例(碩士論文)。國立高雄第一科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.沈中華、李建然(2000)。事件研究法--財務與會計實證研究必備。華泰文化事業公司。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
QR Code
QRCODE