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題名:考慮停利損下配置型投資策略之探討:以臺股指數型基金為例
書刊名:管理與系統
作者:高惠娟 引用關係羅仙法 引用關係
作者(外文):Kao, Erin H. C.Lowe, Alpha
出版日期:2014
卷期:21:4
頁次:頁607-639
主題關鍵詞:指數型基金配置策略單筆定期定額停利損Index mutual fundAllocation strategyLump-sumDollar cost averagingTake-profit and stop-loss
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:22
  • 點閱點閱:119
市場利率持續走低的情況下,本研究提出以債券指數替代銀行利率的「配置型定期定額策略」,即期初將資金全數放在債券指數型基金,每月由債券指數型基金定額贖回投資到股票指數型基金,配置型定期定額方式比傳統方式更能風險分散及獲得債券指數穩定報酬之效益。為避免投資人選股及擇時兩大問題,本研究分別就單筆投資、傳統型與配置型定期定額不同方式投資指數型基金策略進行探討,並進一步檢視定期定額策略在投資期間有無停利損績效之差異。實證結果發現,債券指數持續成長使得單筆投資債券指數的年化報酬率穩定在6%以上,優於單筆存放於銀行或單筆投資台股指數。配置型定期定額策略無論停利損與否,其平均年化報酬率皆顯著大於傳統策略。配置型定期定額設停利損績效顯著優於無停利損績效,其中以停利20%年化報酬率最高,投資期間三年以上其年化報酬率亦能顯著優於單筆投資債券指數。配置型定期定額同時停利停損10%策略的風險最小、風險調整後績效(Sharpe比率及Sortino比率)最佳。投資期間愈長,配置型定期定額停利損之績效提升效果愈明顯。因此,本研究提出「配置」及適時執行「停利損」是長期投資人提升定期定額投資績效不可或缺的兩個重要因素。
Since interest rates are on the decline, this study shows that the dollar-cost-averaging (DCA) allocation strategy (that is the initial principal to be invested in the bond index fund and investors redeem mutual fund each month from bond index fund to stock index fund) can diversify the portfolio risk better and has more stable return than the traditional approach. To avoid the selectivity and timing issue, this study examines primarily the lump sum strategy (LS), allocation DCA strategy, and the traditional DCA approach for the index mutual funds. We also examine the performance by incorporating the take-profit (stop-loss) approach during the investment periods. The results show that the increasing trend of bond index makes the average annualized return of lump-sum strategy in bond index fund above 6%, which performs better than funds in bank deposits or the lump-sum strategy in the stock index fund. Regardless of take-profit (stop-loss), the average annualized return of the allocation DCA strategy significantly outperforms than traditional DCA strategy. The allocation DCA strategies with take-profit (stop-loss) are better than without take-profit (stop-loss) strategy. The annualized return is the highest if the allocation DCA strategy sets up the take-profit at the 20% level, and the performance can even surpass the lump-sum for bond index fund in annualized return if investment period is longer than three years. The risk is smallest and the risk-adjusted performance (Sharpe ratio and Sortino ratio) is best if the strategy sets up take-profit and stop-loss at the 10% level. The performance improvements for allocation DCA strategy with take-profit (stop-loss) are more apparent for longer investment horizon. In other words, our study suggests that "allocation" and "take-profit (stop-loss)" are two important factors for long-term investors to increase their performance of dollar cost averaging.
期刊論文
1.Constantinides, G. M.(1979)。A Note on the Suboptimality of Dollar-Cost Averaging as an Investment Policy。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,14(2),443-450。  new window
2.Sortino, F. A.、Price, L.(1994)。Performance measurement in a downside risk framework。Journal of Investing,24(3),59-64。  new window
3.莊惠菁、管中閔(20101000)。無資料窺探偏誤的檢定評估共同基金績效。證券市場發展,22(3)=87,181-206。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Bogle, J. C.(1998)。The Implications of Style Analysis for Mutual Fund Performance Evaluation。The Journal of Portfolio Management,24(4),34-43。  new window
5.Leggio, K. B.、Lien, D.(2003)。An Empirical Examination of the Effectiveness of Dollar-Cost Averaging Using Downside Risk Performance Measures。Journal of Economics and Finance,27(2),211-223。  new window
6.Malkiel, B. G.(2003)。Passive Investment Strategies and Efficient Markets。European Financial Management,9(1),1-10。  new window
7.林灼榮、徐啟升(20100100)。臺灣共同基金績效持續性之檢定:多構面績效指標之比較。管理與系統,17(1),27-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.劉永欽、陳香如、劉偉健(20081000)。A Comparison of Dollar-Cost Averaging with Lump-Sum Investing for Mutual Funds。管理與系統,15(4),563-590。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Abeysekera, S. P.、Rosenbloom, E. S.(2000)。A Simulation Model for Deciding between Lump Sum and Dollar-cost Averaging。Journal of Financial Planning,13(6),86-96。  new window
10.Davis, J. L.(2001)。Mutual Fund Performance and Manager Style。Financial Analysts Journal,57(1),19-27。  new window
11.Bogle, J. C.(2002)。An Index Fund Fundamentalist。The Journal of Portfolio Management,28(3),31-38。  new window
12.Sharpe, W. F.(1991)。The Arithmetic of Active Management。Financial Analysts Journal,47(1),7-9。  new window
13.Rozeff, Michael S.(1994)。Lump-Sum Investing versus Dollar-Averaging。The Journal of Portfolio Management,20(2),45-50。  new window
14.Williams, R. E.、Bacon, P. W.(1993)。Lump Sum Beats Dollar-cost Averaging。Journal of Financial Planning,6(2),64-67。  new window
15.高蘭芬、陳安琳、余育欣、盧正壽(20070700)。運氣好或操作策略好?--拔靴法下共同基金之績效衡量。管理與系統,14(3),341-358。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.Wermers, R.(2000)。Mutual Fund Performance: An Empirical Decomposition into Stock-Picking, Talent, Style, Transactions Costs, and Expense。Journal of Finance,55(4),1655-1703。  new window
17.Carhart, Mark M.(1997)。On persistence in mutual fund performance。The Journal of Finance,52(1),57-82。  new window
學位論文
1.吳雅慧(2008)。股票型共同基金定期定額投資停利策略之研究(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.張淑芬(2005)。定時定額投資停利策略之實證研究(碩士論文)。東海大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.黃麗娜(2010)。國內股票型基金投資效益比較--研究定期定額、單筆投資及定期不定額之投資方式(碩士論文)。國立臺北大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.林貞君(2010)。國內股票型基金停損機制之研究以定期定額為例(碩士論文)。銘傳大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.洪惠華(2010)。定期定額投資基金之報酬率研究(碩士論文)。雲林科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.翁瑋襄(2011)。主動式ETF之績效評估(碩士論文)。南台科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.張菁惠(2001)。指數基金在台灣發行之可行性研究(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
8.賴曉莉(2009)。主動式V.S被動式管理基金之研究(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
9.葉宗杰(2007)。股票型共同基金定期定額獲利策略之研究(碩士論文)。銘傳大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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