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題名：區域災害系統評估坡地災害風險程度：以臺東縣海端鄉為例
書刊名：地理學報
作者：洪政耀／林雪美
作者(外文)：Hung, Cheng-yao／Lin, Hsueh-mei
出版日期：2014
卷期：75
頁次：頁29-56
主題關鍵詞：區域災害系統；孕災環境敏感度；致災因子危害度；承災體曝露與脆弱度；風險；Regional disaster system；Susceptibility of potential hazard environment；Hazard of extreme natural phenomena；Exposure and vulnerability of residents；Risk
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:33
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在臺灣，過去十年來自然現象所導致的災害損失逐年上升，因此深入了解災害發生的原因有其必要性，且藉由了解災害發生之因，落實有效的預備、減災措施，可將災害損失降低。首先，需收集並確認災害的點位、分析災害的孕災環境因素以推估相鄰的環境特性，找出環境敏感地帶。再者，災害對於居民會產生多大的風險程度，並不只能考慮孕災環境與致災因子可能造成的威脅，還必須考慮承災體的曝露與脆弱程度，這扮演著相當關鍵的角色。本篇目的就是以區域災害系統論，提供一個了解人與環境之間互動的有利分析方式，並結合GIS平臺以空間化的方式展現其成果。結果顯示災害風險最高的地方並非單純的高敏感危害地區就愈易受災，仍須考量承災體曝露於塊體崩壞的量與自身的脆弱程度。顯示災害的複雜、綜合與多元的組合，必須考量不同時間、空間尺度下，區域災害系統的運作情形方能理解災害發生之因。
In Taiwan, losses from extreme natural phenomena have escalated in the past decade. There is a noticeable change in policy, with more emphasis on loss reduction through mitigation, preparedness, and recovery programs. Effective mitigation of losses from hazards requires hazard identification, analysis of the time and spatial characteristics of mass wasting, and assessment of the sensitivity of potential hazard environment along the side of study area. The vulnerability of the local population to hazards, however, is not solely dependent upon proximity to the source of the threat or the physical nature of the hazard-exposure and vulnerability of residents also play a significant role in determining vulnerability. The regional disaster system supported method of analysis relationship between residents and environment, and spatially present results through Geographic Information System (GIS). Our results suggest that the most risk places do not always spatially intersect with the most susceptibility area. For example, the exposure and vulnerability of residents must also be considered. Disaster is a state of complex and comprehensive, we used regional disaster system to interpret causes of disaster in consider the different time and space scales.
期刊論文
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2.Bui, D. T.、Lofman, O.、Revhaug , I.、Dick, O.(2011)。Landslide susceptibility analysis in the Hoa Binh province of Vietnam using statistical index and logistic regression。Natural Hazard，59，1413-1444。  new window
3.Chau, K. T.、Chan, J. E.(2005)。Regional bias of landslide data in generating susceptibility maps using logistic regression: case of Hong Kong island。Landslides，2，280-290。  new window
4.Chauhan, S.、Sharma, M.、Arora, M. K.(2010)。Landslide susceptibility zonation of the Chamoli region, Garhwal Himalayas, using logistic regression model。Landslides，7，411-423。  new window
5.Gorsevski, P. V.、Gessler, P. E.、Foltz, R. B.、Elliot, W. J.(2006)。Spatial Prediction of Landslide Hazard Using Logistic Regression and ROC Analysis。Transactions in GIS，10(3)，395-415。  new window
6.Jaiswal, P.、van Westen, C. J.、Jetten, V.(2010)。Quantitative landslide hazard assessment along a transportation corridor in southern India。Engineering Geology，116，236-250。  new window
7.Remondo, J.、González-Díez, A.,、Díaz de Terán J. R.、Cendrero, A.(2003)。Landslide Susceptibility Models Utilising Spatial Data Analysis Techniques. A Case Study from the Lower Deba Valley, Guipúzcoa (Spain)。Natural Hazards，30，267-279。  new window
8.Tunusluoglu, M. C.、Gokceoglu, C.、Nefeslioglu, H. A.、Sonmez, H.(2008)。Extraction of potential debris source areas by logistic regression technique: a case study from Barla, Besparmak and Kapi mountains (NW Taurids, Turkey)。Environmental Geology，54，9-22。  new window
9.Van Den Eeckhaut, M.、Vanwalleghem, T.、Poesen, J.、Govers, G.、Verstraeten, G.、Vandekerckhove, L.(2006)。Prediction of landslide susceptibility using rare events logistic regression: a case-study in the Flemish Ardennes (Belgium)。Geomorphology，76，392-410。  new window
10.Darbra, R. M.、Crawford, J. F. E.、Haley, C. W.、Morrison, R. J.(2007)。Safety culture and hazard risk perception of Australian and New Zealand maritimp pilots。Marine Policy，31(6)，736-745。  new window
11.Cutter, S. L.、Mitchell, J. T.、Scott, M. S.(2000)。Revealing the vulnerability of people and places: a case study of Georgetown county, South Carolina。Annals of the Association of American Geographers，90(4)，713-737。  new window
12.李錫堤、費立沅(20111100)。蘭陽溪流域之山崩土石流潛在危害預測。前瞻科技與管理，1(2)，67-83。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.周憲德、廖偉民、姚善文(20020300)。發生土石流之臨界降雨特性分析。中國土木水利工程學刊，14(1)，1-8。  延伸查詢new window
14.洪政耀、林雪美(20120700)。區域災害系統論坡地災害風險評估。工程環境會刊，29，21-41。  延伸查詢new window
15.洪政耀、林雪美(20121200)。羅吉斯回歸與不安定指數應用於塊體崩壞敏感度評估比較--以臺東縣海端鄉為例。中國地理學會會刊，49，77-103。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.徐美玲、王秋原(19910700)。安坑地區居民對山坡地社區開發所造成環境衝擊之識覺。中國地理學會會刊，19，1-19。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.陳樹群、馮智偉(20050600)。應用Logistic迴歸繪製崩塌潛感圖--以濁水溪流域為例。中華水土保持學報，36(2)，191-201。  延伸查詢new window
18.Ali, A. M. S.(2007)。September 2004 flood event in Southwestern Bangladesh: A study of its nature, causes, and human perception and adjustments to a new hazard。Natural Hazards，40，89-111。  new window
19.Bettalanffy, L. V.(1950)。The theory of open systems in physics and biology。Science，111，23-29。  new window
20.Birkmann, J.、Fernando, N.(2008)。Measuring revealed and emergent vulnerabilities on coastal communities to tsunami in Sri Lanka。Disasters，32(1)，82-105。  new window
21.Brilly, M.、Polic, M.(2005)。Public perception of flood risks, flood forecasting and mitigation。Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences，5，345-355。  new window
22.Corominas, J.、Moya, J.(1999)。Reconstructing recent landslide activity in relation to rainfall in the Llobreg at River basin Eastern Pyrenees, Spain。Geomorphology，30，79-93。  new window
23.Erener, A.、Sebnem, H.、Duzgun, B.(2010)。Improvement of statistical landslide susceptibility mapping by using spatial and global regression methods in the case of More and Romsdal (Norway)。Landslide，7，55-68。  new window
24.Galli, M.、Guzzetti, F.(2007)。Landslide vulnerability criteria: A case study from Umbria, Central Italy。Environment Management，40，649-664。  new window
25.Krasovskaia, I.、Gottschalk, L.、Ibrekk, A. S.、Berg, H.(2007)。Perception of flood hazard in countries of the north sea region of Europe。Nordic Hydrology，38(4/5)，387-399。  new window
26.Lee, S.、Ryu, J. H.、Kim, L. S.(2007)。Landslide susceptibility analysis and its verification using likelihood ratio, logistic regression, and artificial neural network models: A case study of Youngin, Korea。Landslides，4，327-338。  new window
27.Mustafa, D.(2002)。Linking access and vulnerability: Perceptions of irrigation and flood management in Pakistan。Professional Geographer，54(1)，94-105。  new window
28.Nefeslioglu, H. A.、Duman, T. Y.、Durmaz, S.(2008)。Landslide susceptibility mapping for a part of tectonic Kelkit Valley (eastern Black Sea region of Turkey)。Geomorphology，94，401-418。  new window
29.Remondo, J.、Soto, J.、González, D. A.、Díaz de Terán, J. R.、Cendrero, A.(2005)。Human impact on geomorphic processes and hazards in mountain areas in northern Spain。Geomorphology，66，69-84。  new window
30.Suzen, M. L.、Doyuran, V.(2004)。A comparison of the GIS based landslide susceptibility assessment methods: Multivariate versus bivariate。Environmental Geology，45(5)，665-679。  new window
31.Terlien, M. T. J.(1998)。The determination of statistical and deterministic hydrological landslide-triggering thresholds。Environmental Geology，5，124-130。  new window
32.Vafeidis, A.T.、Nicholls, R. J.、McFadden, L.、Tol,R. S. J.、Hinkel, J.、Spencer, T.、Grashoff, P. S.(2008)。A new global coastal database for impact and vulnerability analysis to sea-level rise。Journal of Coastal Research，24(4)，917-924。  new window
33.Van Den Eeckhaut, M.、Poe sen, J.、Vandekerckhove, L.、Van Gils,M.、Van Rompaey. A.(2010)。Human-environment interactions in residential areas susceptible to landsliding: The Flemish Ardennes case study。Area，42(3)，339-358。  new window
34.Wang, H. B.、Sassa, K.(2005)。Comparative evaluation of landslide susceptibility in Minamata area, Japan。Environment Geology，47，956-966。  new window
35.Yilmaz, I.(2010)。Comparison of landslide susceptibility mapping methodologies for Koyulhisar, Turkey: Conditional probability, logistic regression, artificial neural networks, and support vector machine。Environmental Earth Sciences，61，821-836。  new window
36.洪政耀、林雪美(2010)。新竹縣五峰、尖石鄉坡地災害對居民的災害識覺與調適行為之研究。工程環境會刊，25，23-32。  延伸查詢new window
37.Chen, Z. H.、Wang, J. F.(2007)。Landslide hazard mapping using logistic regression model in Mackenzie Valley, Canada。Natural Hazards，42，75-89。  new window
38.Das, I.、Sahoo, S.、van Westen, C.、Stein, A.、Hack, R.(2010)。Landslide susceptibility assessment using logistic regression and its comparison with a rock mass classification system, along a road section in the northern Himalayas (India)。Geomorphology，114，627-637。  new window
39.張長義(1980)。環境識覺與自然災害之研究。中國地理學會會刊，5，57-60。  延伸查詢new window
40.Cutter, Susan L.、Barnes, Lindsey R.、Berry, Melissa、Burton, Christopher G.、Evans, Elijah、Tate, Eric、Webb, Jennifer J.(2008)。A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters。Global Environmental Change: Human and Policy Dimensions，18(4)，598-606。  new window
41.Strahler, Arthur N.(1950)。Equilibrium theory of erosional slopes approached by frequency distribution analysis。American Journal of Science，248，673-696。  new window
42.Kates, R. W.(1971)。Natural hazard in human ecological perspective: hypotheses and models。Economic Geography，47(3)，438-451。  new window
研究報告
1.林雪美(2001)。台灣地區近三十年自然災害的時空特性。行政院國家科學委員會。new window  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.林冠慧(2011)。流域集水區人類與環境系統脆弱性分析架構之建立：臺灣新竹縣尖石鄉大漢溪上游石門水庫集水區泰雅族部落為例(博士論文)。臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.蕭煥章(2008)。水災脆弱性評估模式之建立--以汐止市為例(博士論文)。中國文化大學，臺北。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Smith, K.(2001)。Environmental Hazards: Assessing Risk and Reducing Disaster。New York, NY。  new window
2.Schumm, S. A.(1977)。The Fluvial System。New York：John Wiley and Sons Inc.。  new window
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6.Glade, T.、Anderson, M.、Crozier, M.(2006)。Landslide hazard and risk。Hoboken：John Wiley。  new window
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8.UNDP(2007)。Human development report。New York：Pal grave Macmillan Press。  new window
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10.Wisner, B.、Blaikie, P.、Cannon, T.、Davis, I.、Davis, I.(2004)。At risk-natural hazards, people's vulnerability and disasters。London：Routledge。  new window
11.IPCC、Solomon, S.、Qin, D.、Manning, M.、Chen, Z.、Marquis, M.、Averyt, K. B.、Tignor, M.、Miller, H. L.(2007)。Climate change 2007: The physical science basis: Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change。Cambridge University Press。  new window
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14.White, G. F.(1945)。Human Adjustment to Floods: A Geographical Approach to the Flood Problem in the United States。Chicago, IL：Department of Geography, University of Chicago。  new window
圖書論文
1.White, G. F.(1974)。Nature hazards research: Concepts, methods and policy implications。Natural hazard: Local,national global。New York：Oxford University Press。  new window
2.Carrara, A.、Cardinali, M.、Guzzetti, F.、Reichenbach, P.(1995)。GIS Technology in Mapping Landslide Hazard。Geographical information systems in assessing natural hazards。Boston, MA：Kluwer Academic Publisher。  new window
 
 
 
 
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