| 期刊論文1. | Vivoda, Vlado(201207)。Japan’s Energy Security Predicament post-Fukushima。Energy Policy,46,135-143。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Apergis, N.、Payne, J. E.(2010)。Natural Gas Consumption and Economic Growth: A Panel Investigation of 67 Countries。Applied Energy,87,2759-2763。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Akay, D.、Atak, M.(2007)。Grey Prediction with Rolling Mechanism Fore Electricity Demand Forecasting of Turkey。Energy,32,1670-1675。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Bermudez, J. D.、Segura, J. V.、Vercher, E.(2008)。SIOPRED: A Prediction and Optimization Integrated System for Demand。TOP,16,258-271。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Bozidar, S.(2012)。Forecasting Natural Gas Consumption。Applied Energy,92,26-37。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Cabalu, Helen(2010)。Indicators of Security of Natural Gas Supply in Asia。Energy Policy,38(1),218-225。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Erdogdu, E.(2010)。Natural Gas Demand in Turkey。Applied Energy,87,211-219。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Ferguson, C. D.(2011)。The Need for A Resilient Energy Policy。Bulletin of The Atomic Scientisist,16。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Forouzanfar, M.、Doustmohammadi, A.、Menhaj, M. B.、Hasanzadeh, S.(2010)。Modeling and Estimation of The Natural Gas Consumption Fore Residential and Commercial Sectors in Iran。Applied Energy,87,268-274。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Gonzales, C. S.、Xiberta, B. J.、Llaneza, C. H.(1999)。Forecasting of Energy Production and Consumption in Asturias (Northern Spain)。Energy,23,182-193。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Holt, C. C.(2004)。Forecasting Seasonals and Trends by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages。International Journal of Forecasting,20(1),5-10。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Jiang, B.、Wenying, C.、Yuefeng, Yu.、Lemin, Z.、Victor, D.(2008)。The Future of Natural Gas Consumption in Beijing, Guangdong and Shanghai: An Assessment Utilizing MARKAL。Energy Policy,36,3286-3299。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Kumar, S.、Kwon, H. T.、Choi, K. H.、Cho, J. H.、Lim, W.、Moon, I.(2011)。Current Status and Future Projections of LNG Demand and Supplies: A Global Prospective。Energy Policy,39,4097-4104。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Li, J.、Dong, X.、Shangguan, J.、Hook, M.(2011)。Forecasting the Growth of China Natural Gas Consumption。Energy,36,1380-1385。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Lin, B.、Wang, T.(2012)。Forecasting Natural Gas Supply in China: Production Peak and Import Trends。Energy Policy,49,233-255。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Lochner, S.、Bothe, D.(2009)。The Development of Natural Gas Supply Coasts to Europe, the United States and Japan in A Globalizing Gas Market-Model-based Analysis Until。Energy Policy,37,1518-1528。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | Shi, G. H.、Jing, Y. Y.、Wang, S. L.、Zhang, X. T.(2010)。Development Status of Liquefied Natural Gas Industry in China。Energy Policy,38,7457-7465。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | Taylor, J. W.(2003)。Exponential Smoothing with A Damped Multiplicative Trend。International Journal of Forecastings,19,715-725。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | Vivoda, V.(2010)。Evaluating Energy Security in the Asia-Pacific Region: A Novel Methodological Approach。Energy Policy,38,5258-5263。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | Xu, G.、Wang, W.(2010)。Forecasting China’s Natural Gas Consumption Based on A Combination Model。Journal of Natural Gas Chemistry,19,493-496。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 21. | Vondracek, J.、Pelikan, E.、Konar, O.、Cermakova, J.、Eben, K.、Maly, M.、Brabec, M.(2008)。A Statistical Model for The Estimation of Natural Gas Consumption。Applied Energy,85,362-370。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 22. | Wadud, Z.、Dey, H. S.、Kabir, Md. A.、Khan, S. I.(2011)。Modeling and Forecasting Natural Gas Demand in Bangladesh。Energy Policy,39,7372-7380。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 23. | Wang, J.、Dong, Y.、Wu, J.、Mu, R.、Jiang, H.(2011)。Coal Production Forecast and Low Carbon Policies in China。Energy Policy,39,5970-5979。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 24. | Hsu, C. C.、Chen, C. Y.(2003)。Applications of Improved Grey Prediction Model for power demand forecasting。Energy Conversion and Management,44(14),2241-2249。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 25. | Engle, R. F.(1982)。Autoregressive Conditional Heteroske- dasticity with Estimates of the Variance of U.K. Inflation。Econometrica,50(4),987-1008。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 26. | Ediger, V. Ş.、Akar, S.(2007)。ARIMA forecasting of primary energy demand by fuel in Turkey。Energy Policy,35(3),1701-1708。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 27. | Witt, S. F.、Witt, Christine A.(1995)。Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research。International Journal of Forecasting,11(3),447-475。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 28. | Deng, J. L. D.(1982)。Control Problems of Grey Systems。Systems and Control Letters,1(5),288-294。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 29. | Bollerslev, Tim(1986)。Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity。Journal of Econometrics,31(3),307-327。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 30. | Makridakis, S.、Hibon, M.(1979)。Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation。Journal of the Royal Statistical Society,142,97-145。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 31. | Gardner, E. S.(2006)。Exponential Smoothing: The State of the Art-part。International Journal of Forecasting,22,637-666。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 32. | Goh, C.、Law, R.(2002)。Modeling and forecasting tourism demand for arrivals with stochastic nonstationary seasonality and intervention。Tourism Management,23,499-510。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 33. | Ho, S. L.、Xie, M.、Goh, T. N.(2002)。A Comparative Study of Neural Network and Box-Jenkins ARIMA Modeling in Time Series Prediction。Computers and Industrial Engineering,42,371-375。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書1. | Lewis, Colin D.(1982)。International and Business Forecasting Methods。London:Butterworths。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Box, E. P. G.、Jenkins, G. M.、Reinsel, C. G.(2008)。Time Series Analysis : Forecasting and Control。New Jersey:John Wiley & Sons。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | (2012)。BP Statistical Review of World Energy Full Report。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Brown, R. G.(1959)。Statistical Forecasting for Inventory Control。New York:McGraw-Hill。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Hyndman, R. J.、Koehler, A. B.、Ord, J. K.、Snyder, R. D.(2008)。Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach。Berlin:Springer。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Makridakis, S.、Anderson, A.、Carbone, R.、Fildes, R.、Hibon, M.、Lewandowski, R.(1984)。The Accuracy of Major Forecasting Procedure。New York:Wiley。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Walter, E.(2009)。Applied Econometric Time Series。John Wiley and Sons。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Makridakis, S.、Wheelwright, S. C.、Hyndman, R. J.(1998)。Forecasting Methods and Applications。New York:John Wiley & Sons。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | |
| |