| 期刊論文1. | Hulme, Mike(2010)。Cosmopolitan climates: Hybridity, foresight and meaning。Theory, Culture & Society,27(2/3),267-276。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Wilkinson, Angela、Eidinow, Esther(2008)。Evolving practices in environmental scenarios: A new scenario typology。Environmental Research Letters,3(4),1-11。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Ball, Phillip(20070329)。When it's right to be reticent。Nature。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Denniss, Richard(20120806)。Green groups cop blame for sceptics' rise。Crikey。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Hansen, James(200704-200)。Scientific reticence and sea level rise。Environmental Research Letters,2。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Griggs, Dave、Kestin, Tahl(2011)。Bridging the gap between climate scientists and decision makers。Climate Research,47,139-144。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Hallegatte, Stephane(2009)。Strategies to adapt to uncertain climate change。Global Environmental Change,19(2),240-247。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Eames, Malcolm、McDowall, William(2010)。Sustainability, foresight and contested futures: exploring visions and pathways in the transition to a hydrogen economy。Technology Analysis & Strategic Management,22(6),671-692。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Hansen, J.、Johnson, D.、Lacis, A.、Lebedeff, S.、Lee, P.、Rind, D.(1981)。Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide。Science,213(4511),957-966。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Hansen, James、Kharechaa, Pushker、Sato, Makiko、Ackerman, Frank、Hearty, Paul J.、Hoegh-Guldberg, Ove(2012)。Scientific Case for Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change to Protect Young People and Nature。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Hansen, J.、Sato, M.、Kharecha, P.、Schuckmann, K. von(2011)。Earth's energy imbalance and implications。Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics,11,13421-13449。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Hansen, James、Sato, Makiko、Kharecha, Pushker、Beerling, David、Berner, Robert、Masson-Delmotte, Valerie(2008)。Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?。The Open Atmospheric Science Journal,2,217-231。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Hansen, James、Sato, Makiko、Kharecha, Pushker、Russell, Gary、Lea, David W.、Siddall, Mark(2007)。Climate change and trace gases。Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A,365,1925-1954。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Hansen, James、Nazarenko, Larissa、Ruedy, Reto、Sato, Makiko、Willis, Josh、Genio, Anthony Del(20050603)。Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications。Science,308,1431-1435。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Hansen, James、Sato, Makiko、Ruedy, Reto(2012)。Perception of climate change。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Hoffman, Andrew J.(2012)。Climate Science as Culture War。Stanford Social Innovation Review,10(4),30-37。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | Holmes, Bob(20050317)。heat store makes climate change inevitable。New Scientist。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | Horton, Averil(2012)。Complexity science approaches to the application of foresight。Foresight,14(4),294-303。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | Hulme, Mike(20100908)。Where next for the IPCC?。Research Fortnight,17。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | Hulme, Mike(2010)。Learning to Live with Recreated Climates。Nature and Culture,5(2),117-122。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 21. | Hulme, Mike(2011)。Reducing the Future to Climate: A Story of Climate Determinism and Reductionism。Osiris,26(1),245-266。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 22. | Hulme, Mike、Brown, Olga(1998)。Portraying climate scenario uncertainties in relation to tolerable regional climate change。Climate Research,10,1-14。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 23. | Hulme, Mike、Dessai, Suraje(2008)。Negotiating future climates: a critical review of the development of climate scenarios for the UK。Environmental Science and Policy,11(1),54-70。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 24. | Manne, Robert(201208)。A Dark Victory: How vested interests defeated climate science。The Monthly,22-29。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 25. | Lenton, Timothy M.、Held, Hermann、Kriegler, Elmar、Hall, Jim W.、Lucht, Wolfgang、Rahmstorf, Stefan(2008)。Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,105(6),1786-1793。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 26. | Lacis, A.、Hansen, J.、Lee, P.、Mitchell, T.、Lebedeff, S.(1981)。Greenhouse effect of trace gases, 1970-1980。Geophysical Research Letters,8(10),1970-1980。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 27. | Maslin, Mark、Austin, Patrick(2012)。Climate models at their limit?。Nature,486(7402),183-184。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 28. | McGrail, Stephen(2011)。Environmentalism in Transition? Emerging Perspectives, Issues and Futures Practices in Contemporary Environmentalism。Journal of Futures Studies,15(3),117-144。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 29. | Markowitz, Ezra M.、Shariff, Azim F.(2012)。Climate change and moral judgement。Nature Climate Change,2,243-247。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 30. | McGrail, Stephen(20120300)。'Cracks in the System': Problematisation of the Future and the Growth of Anticipatory and Interventionist Practices。Journal of Futures Studies,16(3),21-45。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 31. | Meyer, Ryan(2012)。Finding the true value of US climate science。Nature,482,133。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 32. | Meyer, Ryan(2011)。The Public Values Failures of Climate Science in the US。Minerva,49,47-70。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 33. | Messner, Dirk、Schellnhuber, John、Rahmstorf, Stefan、Klingenfeld, Daniel(2010)。The budget approach: A framework for a global transformation toward a low-carbon economy。Journal of Renewable Sustainable Energy,2(3),10-1063。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 34. | Meehl, Gerald A.(2005)。How Much More Global Warming and Sea Level Rise?。Science,307(5716),1769-1772。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 35. | Miller, Riel(2011)。Being without existing: the futures community at a turning point? A comment on Jay Ogilvy's "Facing the fold"。Foresight,13(4),24-34。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 36. | Miller, Riel、Rossel, Pierre、Jorgensen, Ulrik(2012)。Introduction--Future studies and weak signals: A critical survey。Futures,44(3),195-197。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 37. | Mossman, Kaspar(20080212)。Profile of Hans Joachim Schellnhuber。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,105(6),1783-1785。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 38. | Pahl, Sabine、Bauer, Judith(2011)。Overcoming the Distance: Perspective Taking With Future Humans Improves Environmental Engagement。Environment and Behavior。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 39. | Rahmstorf, Stefan、Cazenave, Anny、Church, John A.、Hansen, James E.、Keeling, Ralph F.、Parker, David E.、Somerville, Richard C. J.(2007)。Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections。Science,316,709。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 40. | Socolow, Robert H.(2011)。High-consequence outcomes and internal disagreements: tell us more, please。Climatic Change,108(4),775-790。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 41. | Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim、Crutzen, Paul J.、Clark, William C.、Hunt, Julian(2005)。Earth System Analysis for Sustainability。Environment,47(8),10-25。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 42. | Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim(2009)。Tipping elements in the Earth System。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,106(49),20561-20563。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 43. | Tschakert, Petra、Dietrich, Kathleen Ann(2010)。Anticipatory learning for climate change adaptation and resilience。Ecology and Society,15(2)。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 44. | Socolow, Robert H.(2012)。Truths we must tell ourselves to manage climate change by。Vanderbilt Law Review,65(6),1455-1478。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 45. | Wilkinson, Angela、Mangalagiu, Diana(2012)。Learning with futures to realize progress towards sustainability: The WBCSD Vision 2050 Initiative。Futures,44,372-384。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 46. | Inayatullah, Sohail(199003)。Deconstructing and reconstructing the future: Predictive, cultural and critical epistemologies。Futures,22(2),115-141。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 47. | Inayatullah, Sohail(2006)。Anticipatory action learning: Theory and practice。Futures,38(6),656-666。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 48. | Wiseman, John、Biggs, Che、Rickards, Lauren、Edwards, Taegen(2011)。Scenarios for Climate Adaptation (Final Report): Victorian Centre for Climate AdaptaJournal of Futures Studiestion Research。Journal of Futures Studiestion Research。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 49. | Rockström, Johan、Steffen, Will、Noone, Kevin、Persson, Åsa、Chapin, Stuart、Lambin, Eric(2009)。A safe operating space for humanity。Nature,461,472-475。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書1. | Pielke, Roger A.(2007)。The honest broker: Making sense of science in policy and politics。Cambridge University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Giddens, Anthony(2011)。The Politics of Climate Change。Cambridge:Polity。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Hulme, Mike(2009)。Why We Disagree About Climate Change: Understanding Controversy, Inaction Opportunity。Cambridge, UK:Cambridge University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Pilkey, Orrin H.、Pilkey-Jarvis, Linda(2007)。Useless Arithmetic: Why Environmental Scientists Can't Predict the Future。New York:Columbia University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Reser, Joseph P.、Bradley, Graham L.、Glendon, A. Ian、Ellul, Michelle C.、Callaghan, Rochelle(2012)。Public Risk Perceptions, Understandings, and Responses to Climate Change and Natural Disasters in Australia and Great Britain。Gold Coast, Australia:National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim、Messner, Dirk、Leggewie, Claus、Leinfelder, Reinhold、Nakicenovic, Nebojsa、Rahmstorf, Stefan、German Advisory Council on Climate Change(2011)。World in Transition: A Social Contract for Sustainability。Berlin:German Advisory Council on Global Change。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Inayatullah, Sohail(2005)。Questioning the Future: Future studies, action learning and organizational transformation。Tamkang University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | McKibben, Bill(2010)。Eaarth: Making a life on a tough new planet。Melbourne, Australia:Black Inc.。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Creswell, John W.(2013)。Qualitative inquiry and research design: Choosing among five approaches。Sage Publications, Inc.。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 其他1. | Baranski, Marci(2011)。The linear model: science to policy,http://www.shapingsciencepolicy.com/2011/05/linear-modelscience-to-policy.html, 2012/12/28。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Hansen, James(20120804)。Climate change is here--and worse than we thought。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Hansen, James(2012)。Why I must Speak Out About Climate Change,www.ted.com/talks/james_hansen_why_i_must_speak_out_about_climate_change.html, 2012/01/04。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Hansen, James(20121010)。The Climate Crisis and the Need for an Energy Revolution (Presentation to Energy Emergency Energy Transition roundtable),http://energyemergencyenergytransition.org。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Hulme, Mike(20101117)。The year climate science was redefined。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Hulme, Mike(2010)。The IPCC on trial: experimentation continues,http://environmentalresearchweb.org/cws/article/opinion/43250, 2012/08/10。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Hulme, Mike(20120621)。What sorts of knowledge for what sort of politics? Science, sustainability and the challenges of democracy (Copenhagen Sustainability Lecture),University of Copenhagen。,http://mikehulme.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/12_05-Copenhagen-script_web.pdf, 2012/12/24。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Hulme, Mike(20110705)。You've been framed: six new ways to understand climate change,http://theconversation.edu.au/youve-been-framed-six-new-ways-to-understand-climate-change-2119, 2012/08/09。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Hulme, Mike(20110614)。We Disagree About Climate Change (public lecture),http://www.abc.net.au/tv/bigideas/stories/2011/06/14/3243518.htm, 2012/08/09。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Hulme, Mike(2011)。Mike Hulme 1978 to 2012: a research narrative,http://mikehulme.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Hulme-Research-narrative.pdf, 2012/08/09。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Hulme, Mike(2013)。Paying More Attention to Uncertainties,http://www.3s.uea.ac.uk/blog/paying-more-attention-uncertainties, 2013/01/20。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Jones, Barry(20110628)。In climate change science, everything old is new again,http://theconversation.edu.au/barryjones-in-climate-change-everything-old-is-new-again-1914, 2012/03/12。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Miller, Riel(2005)。Futures studies, scenarios, and the “possibility-space” approach,http://www.oecd.org/site/schoolingfortomorrowknowledgebase/futuresthinking/scenarios/37246742.pdf, 2012/12/04。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Moody, Chris(20100103)。On issues like global warming and evolution, scientists need to speak up。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Wilkinson, Angela(2012)。Enterprise and Environment: the Futures Agenda,http://www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/smith-in-thecity-evening-seminar-series/, 2012/08/22。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Vaughan, Adam(20130228)。Public concern for environment lowest in 20 years,http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/feb/28/public-concern-environment, 2012/03/01。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書論文1. | Hansen, James(2008)。Tipping point: Perspective of a climatologist。State of the Wild 2008-2009: A Global Portrait of Wildlife, Wildlands, and Oceans。Wildlife Conservation Society/Island Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Mulligan, Martin、Nadarajah, Yaso、Smith, Jodi-Anne、Zalchendler, Yael(2009)。Community, Scenarios and Narratives of Action: Reflections on a case study in the Hamilton region of Victoria。Climate Change in Regional Australia: Social Learning and Adaptation。Ballarat:VURRN。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Dessai, Suraje、Hulme, Mike、Lempert, Robert、Pielke, Jr. Roger(2009)。Climate prediction: a limit to adaptation?。Adapting to Climate Change: Thresholds, Values, Governance。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | |