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題名:Viability: A Priority Criterion for the Mitigation of Climate Change and other Complex Socio-Ecological Issues
書刊名:Journal of Futures Studies
作者:Taylor, Graeme
出版日期:2014
卷期:19:1
頁次:頁77-95
主題關鍵詞:Socio-ecologicalRisk managementViabilityModelingNon-linearSystemsSafetyCriticalCausal diagramsBayesian networks
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:7
  • 點閱點閱:7
期刊論文
1.Taylor, Duncan M.、Taylor, Graeme M.(20070200)。The Collapse and Transformation of Our World。Journal of Futures Studies,11(3),29-45。new window  new window
2.Ackerman, F.、Stanton, E. A.(2013)。Climate Impacts on Agriculture: A Challenge to Complacency?。Global Development and Environment Institute Working Paper,13(1),3-4。  new window
3.Akgakaya, H. R.(2000)。Population viability analyses with demographically and spatially structured models。Ecological Bulletins,48,23-38。  new window
4.Anderson, K.、Bows, A.(2011)。Beyond 'dangerous' climate change: emission scenarios for a new world。Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A,369(1934),20-44。  new window
5.Beddoe, R.、Costanza, R.、Farleya, J.、Garza, E.、Kent, J.、Kubiszewski, I.、Martinez, L.(2009)。Overcoming systemic roadblocks to sustainability: The evolutionary redesign of worldviews, institutions, and technologies。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,106(8),2483-2489。  new window
6.Bowen, J.、Stavridou, V.(1993)。Safety-critical systems, formal methods and standards。Engineering Journal,8(4),189-209。  new window
7.Evans, A.、Steven, D.(2009)。The Resilience Doctrine。World Politics Review。  new window
8.Feinberg, M.、Wilier, R.(2011)。Apocalypse soon? Dire messages reduce belief in global wanning by contradicting just world beliefs。Psychological science,22(1),34-38。  new window
9.Fowler, K.(2004)。Mission-critical and safety-critical development。IEEE Instrumentation and Measurement Magazine,7(4),52-59。  new window
10.Gregory, F. D.(1996)。Safety and mission assurance in a better, faster, cheaper environment。Acta Astronautica,39(6),465-469。  new window
11.Hansen, J.、Sato, M.、Russell, G.、Kharecha, P.(2013)。Climate sensitivity, sea level and atmospheric carbon dioxide。Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A,371(2001),1-31。  new window
12.Honisch, B.、Ridgwell, A.、Schmidt, D. N.、Thomas, E.、Gibbs, S. J.、Sluijs, A.、Williams, B.(2012)。The Geological Record of Ocean Acidification。Science,335(6072),1058-1063。  new window
13.Liedloff, A. C.、Smith, C. S.(2010)。Predicting a tree change, in Australia's tropical savannas: Combining different types of models to understand complex ecosystem behaviour。Ecological Modelling,221(21),2565-2575。  new window
14.Marten, G. G.(200507)。Environmental Tipping Points: A New Paradigm for Restoring Ecological Security。Journal of Policy Studies,20,75-87。  new window
15.Raworth, K.(2012)。A Safe and Just Space for Humanity。Oxfam Discussion Paper。  new window
16.Schuur, E. A. G.、Abbott, B.(2011)。High risk of permafrost thaw。Nature,480,32-33。  new window
17.Schwarz, J. O.(2009)。Business wargaming: developing foresight within a strategic simulation。Technology Analysis and Strategic Management,21(3),291-305。  new window
18.Sherwood, S. C.、Bony, S.、Dufresne, J. L.(2014)。Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing。Nature,505,37-42。  new window
19.Stern, Nicholas(2013)。The Structure of Economic Modeling of the Potential Impacts of Climate Change: Grafting Gross Underestimation of Risk onto Already Narrow Science Models。Journal of Economic Literature,51(3),838-859。  new window
20.Stocker, T. F.(2013)。The Closing Door of Climate Targets。Science,339(6117),280-282。  new window
21.Taylor, D.、Taylor, G.(2007)。The Requirements of a Sustainable Planetary System。Social Alternatives,26(3),10-16。  new window
22.Markley, Oliver(20110300)。Research and Action toward the Upside of Down。Journal of Futures Studies,15(3),145-174。new window  new window
圖書
1.Taylor, Graeme(2008)。Evolution's edge: The coming collapse and transformation of our world。Gabriola Island, BC:New Society。  new window
2.Alberts, C. J.、Dorofee, A. J.(2005)。Mission Assurance Analysis Protocol (MAAP): Assessing Risk in Complex Environments。Pittsburgh, PA:Carnegie Mellon University Press。  new window
3.Bierbaum, R. M.、Holdren, J. P.、MacCracken, M. C.、Moss, R. H.、Raven, P. H.(2007)。Confronting Climate Change: Avoiding the Unmanageable and Managing the Unavoidable。Washington, D.C:United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development。  new window
4.Birkeland, J.(2008)。Positive Development: From Vicious Circles to Virtuous Cycles through Built Environment Design。London:Earthscan。  new window
5.Bosker, G.、Sequeira, M.、Weins, D.(1996)。The 60-Second EMT: Rapid BLS/ALS Assessment, Diagnosis and Triage。Heights, MD:Mosby。  new window
6.Deutsch, M.(1974)。The Resolution of Conflict。London:Yale University Press。  new window
7.Gilad, B.(2008)。New Companies Can Vastly Improve Their Strategies and Outmaneuver the Competition。Pompton Plains, NJ:Career Press。  new window
8.Grimm, S.、Schneider, G.(2011)。Predicting social tipping points。Bonn, France:DIE Research Project。  new window
9.Gunderson, L.、Holling, C. S.(2002)。Panarchy。London:Island。  new window
10.Herman, M. L.、Frost, M. D.(2008)。Wargaming for Leaders: Strategic Decision Making from the Battlefield to the Boardroom。New York:McGraw-Hill。  new window
11.Homer-Dixon, T.(2006)。The Upside of Down。Washington, D.C.:Island。  new window
12.Hoverstadt, P.(2008)。The Fractal Organization: Creating sustainable organizations with the Viable System Model Chichester。UK:John Wiley and Sons Ltd。  new window
13.Jackson, M. C.(2003)。Systems Thinking: Creative Holism for Managers。Chichester:John Wiley and Sons Ltd。  new window
14.Mabey, N.、Gulledge, J.、Finel, B.、Silverthome, K.(2011)。Degrees of Risk: Defining a Risk Management Framework for Climate Security。London:Third Generation Environmentalism。  new window
15.Maani, K. E.、Cavana, R. Y.(2004)。Systems thinking modelling: Understanding change and complexity。Auckland, New Zealand:Pearson Education。  new window
16.Porritt, J.(2013)。The World We Made: Alex McKay's Story from 2050。London:Phaidon。  new window
17.Smith, E. A.(2006)。Effects-Based Approaches to Operations。Washington, D.C.:CCRP。  new window
18.The Worldwatch Institute(2013)。State of the World 2013: Is Sustainability Still Possible?。London:Island。  new window
19.Tainter, Joseph A.(1988)。The Collapse of Complex Societies。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
20.Capra, Fritjof(1982)。The turning point。New York:Simon and Schuster。  new window
21.Daly, Herman E.(1996)。Beyond Growth: The Economics of Sustainable Development。Boston:Beacon Press。  new window
22.Sterman, John D.(2000)。Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World。Irwin/McGraw-Hill。  new window
其他
1.Bloomberg(2013)。Bloomberg Carbon Risk Valuation Tool,http://about.bnef.com/files/2013/12/BNEF_WP_2013-11-25_Carbon-Risk-Valuation-Tool.pdf, 2013/12/07。  new window
2.Dunlop, I.(2013)。Submission on Recent trends in and preparedness for Extreme Weather Events,http://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate_Committees?url=ec_ctte/ex-tremeweather/submissions.htm, 2013/12/02。  new window
3.Lagi, M.,Bertrand, K. Z.,Bar-Yam, Y.(2011)。The Food Crises and Political Instability in North Africa and the Middle East,http://necsi.edu/research/social/food_crises.pdf, 2013/10/30。  new window
4.Lamberson, P. J.,Page, S. E.(2012)。Tipping Points,http://pjlamberson.org/resources/lamberson_tipping.pdf, 2013/10/30。  new window
5.Leurig, S.,Dlugolecki, A.(2013)。Insurer Climate Risk Disclosure Survey: 2012 Findings and Recommendations,https://docs.google.com/viewer?url=http://www.ceres.org/resources/reports/naic-report/at_download/fileandchrome=true, 2013/10/30。  new window
6.Moon, B.(2013)。Secretary-General's remarks at the Sorensen Distinguished Lecture on the United Nations at the Council on Foreign Relations,http://www.un.org/sg/statements/index.asp?nid=6595, 2013/10/26。  new window
7.NASA(2001)。Apollo 13. A summary of the Apollo 13 mission can be found,http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/history/apollo/ apollo-13/apollo-13.html, 2013/10/28。  new window
8.National Science Foundation Advisory Committee for Environmental Research and Education(2009)。Transitions and Tipping Points in Complex Environmental Systems,http://www.nsf.gov/geo/ere/ ereweb/ac-ere/nsf6895_ere_report_090809.pdf, 2013/11/13。  new window
9.Parkinson, G.(2014)。Citigroup says the “Age of Renewables” has begun,http://reneweconomy.com.au/2014/citigroup-says-the-age-of-renewables-hasbe-gun-69852, 2014/07/16。  new window
10.Reuters(2013)。IPCC to put "unprecedented emphasis" on risks,http://www.businessspectator.com.au/news/2013/11/11/science-environment/ipcc-put-unprecedented-emphasis risks?utm_source=exactandutm_medium=emailandutm_content=504877andutm_ campaign=cs_dailyandmodapt=, 2013/11/11。  new window
11.Taylor, A. M.(1999)。Time-Space-Technics: An Evolutionary Model of Societies and World-views,http://www.bestfutures.org/media/documents/Time-Space-Technics_Article.pdf, 2014/07/15。  new window
12.U.S. Department of Defence(2000)。Standard Practice for System Safety,http://www.system-safety.org/Documents/MIL-STD-882D.pdf, 2013/11/26。  new window
13.U.S. Department of Homeland Security(2012)。Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap,http://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/publications/Appendix%20A%20DHS%20FY2012%20Cli-mate%20Change%20Adaptation%20Plan_0.pdf, 2013/11/26。  new window
14.Wasdell, D.(2006)。The Tipping Point for Runaway Global Warming,http://www.meridian.org.uk/_PDFs/BeyondTippingPoint.pdf, 2014/07/16。  new window
15.The Fund for Peace(2013)。Failed States Index,http://global. fundforpeace.org/, 2013/07/09。  new window
圖書論文
1.Folke, C.(2013)。Respecting Planetary Boundaries and Reconnecting to the Biosphere。State of the World 2013。London:Island。  new window
2.Lynn, S.、Garschagen, M.、Khan, S.、Lehman, J.、Drew, G.、Prasad, V.、Nkem, J.(2010)。Introducing a "Hot System" Approach to Tipping Points in Humanitarian Crises。Tipping Points in Humanitarian Crisis: From Hot Spots to Hot Systems。Bonn, France:United Nations University Press。  new window
3.Taylor, A. M.(1972)。Integrative Principles in Human Society。Integrative Principles of Modern Thought。New York:Gordon and Breach。  new window
 
 
 
 
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